ESPN’s Mel Kiper Jr. reveals shocking Arch Manning fall on NFL draft big board

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Richter, E. (2026, October 15). ESPN’s Mel Kiper Jr. reveals shocking Arch Manning fall on NFL draft big board. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/10/15/sports/espns-mel-kiper-jr-reveals-arch-manning-fall-in-draft-rankings/

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New York Post · collected 2026-10-15 · by Erich Richter

Quick Summary

ESPN draft analyst Mel Kiper Jr. has dropped quarterback Arch Manning's ranking for the 2027 NFL Draft to No. 24 overall and sixth among quarterbacks, citing inconsistency and subpar statistics. Despite initial hype, Kiper notes that Manning’s completion rate is only 63%, with fewer touchdowns than interceptions. However, he suggests potential improvement if Manning performs well in upcoming games against ranked opponents.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-15, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Mel Kiper Jr., ESPN's top NFL draft insider, recently revealed a significant drop in the rankings for Arch Manning, nephew of football legends Peyton and Eli Manning. Kiper now rates Arch Manning at No. 24 overall among all prospects and No. 6 among quarterbacks for the 2027 NFL Draft. This is a stark contrast to his previous status as a potential top draft pick.

Kiper cited Manning's inconsistency, stating that watching any game he plays feels like "riding a roller coaster." Statistically, Manning has a 63% completion rate, with 1,122 passing yards, 10 touchdown passes, and five interceptions. He also had 174 rushing yards.

Manning is currently ranked behind several other quarterbacks such as Drew Mestemaker of Oklahoma State (No. 2 overall), Darian Mensah of Miami (No. 4), Trinidad Chambliss of Ole Miss (No. 6), and CJ Carr of Notre Dame (No. 8). Despite this, Kiper still rates Manning ahead of Dante Moore, Oregon's quarterback, who was previously seen as a possible No. 2 overall pick in the 2025 draft by several prognosticators.

This drop in ranking comes after Manning’s team lost to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry game, further questioning his performance and consistency.

Written for “Arch Manning NFL Draft Fall” on 2026-10-15, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Arch Manning NFL Draft Fall
Sports · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

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Claims extracted
13
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
8%
1 of 13 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
67/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
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Publisher

New York Post · 10569 article(s) · 30 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 30 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Erich Richter
64 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 With some positivity, Kiper has Manning rated ahead of Oregon QB Dante Moore, whom many prognosticators believed would be the No. 2 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, a pick held by the Jets.
🔮 McAfee threw cold water on a Front Office Sports opinion piece stating he could replace Aikman, who is in the last year of his deal and remains without a new contract while partner Joe Buck has been extended.
🔮 Fox colleague Curt Menefee previously said the former signal caller would never leave the NFL pregame show, and this is an honest admission from Bradshaw about his future.
🔮 The bizarre situation comes as the Astros are uncertain about nearly everything that involves the team’s future, with Espada’s contract set to expire at the end of October.
🔮 We move into Week 6 with two games featuring favorites of more than two scores that will garner the lion’s share of attention.
🔮 A Patriots weapon is set to miss time, just as another is nearing a return.
🔮 During a halftime show alongside Scott Van Pelt and Pat McAfee on Sept. 28, when the Bears made easy work of the Eagles on “Monday Night Football,” Kelce couldn’t stop referring to the Eagles as his team.
🔮 Mevis would line up for the field goal and it would be blocked by star defensive lineman Greg Rousseau to keep Buffalo alive.
🔮 Add in that Tyler Shough has cleared this number twice this season and faces a blitz-heavy team that Brian Flores brings, and I see Shough being willing to move more often than usual.
🔮 With it having been a while since we’ve been in the warehouse that’s located in the middle of the desert, and we’ll have another 12 fights to enjoy and bet on. Of the 12 fights, a whopping eight of them are projected to end inside distance.
Also by Erich Richter
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 64 articles by Erich Richter →

Topics

ESPN NFL NFL Draft Oregon Texas

Subjects

Manning PERSON · 6× Kiper PERSON · 5× Texas GPE · 2× Arch Manning PERSON · 1× ESPN ORG · 1× Eli Manning PERSON · 1× Kiper Jr. PERSON · 1× Mel Kiper Jr. PERSON · 1× NFL ORG · 1× Peyton PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Though the reality is Manning, coming off a loss to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry game, is currently behind the likes of top-ranking QB Drew Mestemaker of Oklahoma State (No. 2 overall), Miami’s Darian Mensah (No. 4), Ole Miss’ Trinidad Chambliss (No. 6), Notre Dame’s CJ Carr (No. 8) and Missouri QB Austin Simmons (No. 10).
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-15
🔮 With some positivity, Kiper has Manning rated ahead of Oregon QB Dante Moore, whom many prognosticators believed would be the No. 2 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, a pick held by the Jets.

Claims (13 extracted, 1 hedged)

Mel Kiper Jr. is selling everyone’s shares of Arch Manning. asserted
Jr. → sell → Manning
The nephew of Peyton and Eli Manning has long been heralded as a future No. 1 overall pick, but it appears that ESPN’s top NFL draft insider is all out on that lofty buzz for the lightning rod prospect. asserted
insider → herald → prospect
Kiper Jr. has Manning ranked No. 24 among all prospects for the 2027 NFL Draft and No. 6 among quarterbacks. asserted
Manning → have → quarterbacks
“Manning is too inconsistent,” Kiper wrote. asserted
Kiper → write → ?
“He’s going to be a tough evaluation. asserted
He → go → ?
Watch just about any game he plays, and you’ll ride the roller coaster.” asserted
you → watch → coaster
Kiper also points to Manning’s stats as a reason for the lackluster rating: 63% completion rate, 1,122 passing yards, 10 touchdown passes, five interceptions and 174 rushing yards. asserted
Kiper → point → rate
With some positivity, Kiper has Manning rated ahead of Oregon QB Dante Moore, whom many prognosticators believed would be the No. 2 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, a pick held by the Jets. asserted
prognosticators → have → Jets
Though the reality is Manning, coming off a loss to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry game, is currently behind the likes of top-ranking QB Drew Mestemaker of Oklahoma State (No. 2 overall), Miami’s Darian Mensah (No. 4), Ole Miss’ Trinidad Chambliss (No. 6), Notre Dame’s CJ Carr (No. 8) and Missouri QB Austin Simmons (No. 10). asserted
Manning → come → State
Mestermaker’s rise to the top of Kiper big board — behind only Ohio State wideout Jeremiah Smith — is shocking given his background: he didn’t start for his high school team and walked on at North Texas before transferring to the Cowboys this season. asserted
he → give → Cowboys
Kiper admits Manning’s stock could rise if he has a strong finish to the season on a loaded Texas team with plenty of talent. uncertain
he → admit → talent
“I’m very curious to see how the rest of this season plays out,” he wrote. asserted
he → ’m → season
Texas faces four ranked opponents in the next five weeks, and even up next, Florida was rated in the top 15 before two disappointing losses. asserted
Florida → face → losses
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