25 years after 9/11: Al-Qaeda weakened but not gone

Deutsche Welle · collected 2026-09-11 · by Kersten Knipp
Read the original at Deutsche Welle ↗

Summary

The US Treasury Department has removed Abdullah al-Muhaysini from its list of sanctioned individuals, and simultaneously removed the Nusra Front and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) from the same list. This change in policy is linked to a new approach to Syria by the US government. According to experts, Al-Qaeda's core has weakened since 2001 due to counterterrorism efforts, but regional branches remain strong across parts of Africa and Asia, with notable presences in the Sahel region, Yemen, and Afghanistan. Al-Qaeda itself now operates under different names in many areas.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-11, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
47
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
4%
2 of 47 hedged
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher trust
94.8
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-11 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

Al-Qaeda, the extremist group behind the 9/11 attacks, has been significantly weakened over the past 25 years. However, its regional branches have remained strong in parts of Africa and Asia. One such branch is in Syria, where Abdullah al-Muhaysini, a former jihadist leader, was recently removed from a US sanctions list by the US Department of the Treasury. This decision is linked to the new US government policy on Syria, which also removed other extremist groups, including Nusra Front and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), from the same list. Experts say that al-Qaeda's core has weakened due in part to successful counterterrorism efforts following 9/11, but its regional offshoots continue to operate under different names in places like Yemen, Afghanistan, and the Sahel region of Africa.

Written for “Osama bin Laden's Legacy” on 2026-09-12, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it +0.35, but 1 quote(s) could not be found in the article and the other 1 are attributed speech rather than the article's own narration, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 7924: no verified evidence · logged 2026-09-11

Story

📰 Osama bin Laden's Legacy
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 4% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Deutsche Welle
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 12% hedged 8 of 64 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A discusses an individual's personal experience with a threat in Damascus, while Article B reports on the US Treasury's removal of Abdullah al-Muhaysini from a sanctions list, without mentioning any specific event or incident related to Article A.”
The Guardian
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 11% hedged 4 of 38 📰 publisher trust 60
“Article A discusses the 9/11 attacks and its aftermath in general, while Article B specifically mentions the removal of Abdullah al-Muhaysini from a sanctions list 25 years after 9/11, implying they cover different topics related to 9/11”

Publisher

Deutsche Welle · 137 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Kersten Knipp
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 About ten years after the attacks in New York and Washington, al-Qaeda's most famous figure, Osama bin Laden, was killed in May 2011.
2026-09-11 · assertive framing · 25 years after 9/11: Al-Qaeda weakened but not gone
🔮 However, as early as April 2025, Reuters news agency cited anonymous sources saying Turkey had inspected at least three air bases in Syria where it might want to station troops as part of a planned joint defense pact.
Also by Kersten Knipp
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Afghanistan JNIM Syria Yemen al-Qaeda

Subjects

al-Qaeda ORG · 7× Afghanistan GPE · 3× JNIM ORG · 3× Yemen GPE · 3× Berger PERSON · 2× Lars Berger PERSON · 2× Qaeda ORG · 2× Syria GPE · 2× Washington GPE · 2× the Nusra Front ORG · 2×

Narrative

Regional offshoots in the Sahel, Yemen and Afghanistan Only, al-Qaeda itself is operating less and less under its own name. "This is largely due to the successful counterterrorism efforts following 2001," Lars Berger, professor of terrorism studies at the German Federal University of Administrative Sciences, told DW.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-11
🔮 About ten years after the attacks in New York and Washington, al-Qaeda's most famous figure, Osama bin Laden, was killed in May 2011.
2026-09-11 · Deutsche Welle
25 years after 9/11: Al-Qaeda weakened but not gone · assertive framing

Claims (47 extracted, 2 hedged)

The extremist preacher Abdullah al-Muhaysini no longer has to worry about US sanctions. asserted
preacher → have → sanctions
In late August 2026, the US Department of the Treasury removed the former jihadist from the Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons list, or SDN List. asserted
Department → remove → list
It includes individuals and organizations whose assets are frozen in the US and with whom US citizens are generally not allowed to do business. asserted
citizens → include → business
After Syria's civil war broke out in 2011, al-Muhaysini recruited fighters and helped establish a governing structure shaped by the Nusra Front, which emerged from al-Qaeda. asserted
which → break → Qaeda
His removal from the list is linked to the new US government policy on Syria: Washington also removed the Nusra Front and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) from the SDN List. 25 years after the September 11 attacks, this is a remarkable snapshot. asserted
this → link → attacks
Al-Qaeda — which means "the base" in Arabic — has neither disappeared nor remained the same organization: Its core has weakened, but its regional branches have remained strong across parts of Africa and Asia, observers agree. asserted
observers → mean → Africa
Regional offshoots in the Sahel, Yemen and Afghanistan Only, al-Qaeda itself is operating less and less under its own name. "This is largely due to the successful counterterrorism efforts following 2001," Lars Berger, professor of terrorism studies at the German Federal University of Administrative Sciences, told DW. asserted
Berger → operate → DW
The military campaign in Afghanistan, along with cooperation between intelligence agencies and police, has significantly weakened the group. asserted
campaign → weaken → group
"From this perspective, the September 11 attacks were a major strategic failure for al-Qaeda," Berger said. asserted
Berger → say → Qaeda
The hoped-for radicalization of the Arab world and the overthrow of its regimes failed to materialize. asserted
radicalization → hop → regimes
About ten years after the attacks in New York and Washington, al-Qaeda's most famous figure, Osama bin Laden, was killed in May 2011. uncertain
figure → kill → May
As a result, al-Qaeda reorganized itself. asserted
Qaeda → reorganize → itself
"The militia sought out areas where it could establish a permanent foothold, for example in parts of Africa or Yemen," Berger said, adding that "countries with weak state structures, overwhelmed security forces and unresolved local conflicts are particularly favorable. uncertain
countries → seek → structures
" "Today, this is particularly true of Africa," Rüdiger Lohlker, professor emeritus of Islamic studies at the University of Vienna, notes. asserted
Lohlker → note → Vienna
In the Sahel, Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin, or JNIM, has emerged as a powerful al-Qaeda offshoot, he said. asserted
he → emerge → offshoot
An analysis by the think tank Critical Threats Project uses Niger as an example to show how JNIM and the Islamic State's Sahel Province (ISSP) compete for territory, fighters and resources. asserted
JNIM → use → territory
In June 2026, JNIM claimed responsibility for an attack on the international airport in Niger's capital, Niamey. asserted
JNIM → claim → capital
In Somalia, al-Shabab — a group closely linked to al-Qaeda — is strong, and in Yemen, al-Qaeda is present in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP). asserted
Qaeda → link → Peninsula
Afghanistan also remains a safe haven for the terrorist organization. asserted
Afghanistan → remain → organization
However, the success of these offshoots cannot be explained solely by jihadist ideology, Lohlker added. asserted
Lohlker → explain → ideology
Rather, it often coincides with a kind of "economy of violence," he said, noting that "violence including kidnappings, smuggling and looting has long been an economic factor for terrorism. asserted
violence → coincide → terrorism
He also said that there are veritable "markets for violence:" asserted
He → say → violence
Where money can be made through violence, jihadist organizations can also recruit and retain followers. asserted
organizations → make → followers
"We fundamentally need to move away from a Eurocentric perspective," Lohlker further points out. asserted
Lohlker → need → perspective
In his view, al-Qaeda and other jihadist groups have always been far more present outside Europe and the US than it has appeared from a Western perspective. asserted
it → appear → perspective
However, over the years, the offshoots' strategies have undergone a change. asserted
strategies → undergo → change
"We are now seeing an attempt to proceed in an alternative and gradual manner, namely instead of spectacular acts of violence ordered from the highest levels, there are smaller-scale actions that are more grassroots in nature," he said. asserted
he → see → nature
In the Sahel, this entails forming local alliances, gaining influence in communities, and controlling territories. asserted
this → entail → territories
The Critical Threats Project describes this development as "localization." asserted
Project → describe → localization
Al-Qaeda is thus surviving precisely through this differentiation. asserted
Qaeda → survive → differentiation
JNIM capitalizes on ethnic and social conflicts in the Sahel, while al-Shabaab exploits conflicts within Somali clan structures. asserted
Shabaab → capitalize → structures
The global jihadist goal remains as an ideological framework, but the actual fighting takes place on the ground. asserted
fighting → remain → ground
Al-Qaeda competes with the "Islamic State" asserted
Qaeda → compete → State
In the competition for public attention, however, al-Qaeda faces a superior rival: the so-called "Islamic State," or IS. asserted
Qaeda → face → rival
"Ultimately, younger jihadists tend to be more drawn to the 'Islamic State,'" terrorism expert Behnam Heidenreuter-Said, head of the research center for Strategic Police Research at the Hamburg Police Academy, told DW. asserted
Said → tend → DW
IS has carried out "more spectacular" and media-effective terrorist attacks, he said, highlighting that "al-Qaeda has taken a more long-term approach." asserted
Qaeda → carry → approach
Heidenreuter-Said, who published a comprehensive history of al-Qaeda in 2018, added that "IS wanted to make a splash and demonstrate successes as quickly as possible in order to grow explosively." However, IS's expansion was followed by its collapse, he said. asserted
he → publish → collapse
Al-Qaeda, on the other hand, continues to exist, albeit under changed circumstances. asserted
Qaeda → continue → circumstances
The terrorist group meanwhile faces the question of whether it can replace its aging fighters. asserted
it → face → fighters
Although this is conceivable, al-Qaeda as a brand is visibly fading, Heidenreuter-Said observed. asserted
Said → fade → brand
…and 7 more, not listed.
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