Claims extracted
21
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 21 hedged
("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
61/100
The Sydney Morning Herald's corrections and
hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
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One Nation’s support at a state level in Queensland has steadied to be within striking distance of a lagging Labor, as minor parties take a further bite from major counterparts at the election cycle’s halfway mark.
asserted
parties → steady → mark
But the Crisafulli LNP remains the clear favourite, with primary vote support of 32 per cent, the latest two-month Resolve Political Monitor conducted for this masthead shows.
asserted
Monitor → remain → masthead
Personal ratings also reveal Premier David Crisafulli again extending his lead over Opposition Leader Steven Miles, despite a second straight narrowing of his still significant lead as preferred premier.
asserted
Crisafulli → reveal → premier
This month marks two years since Crisafulli’s party swept to power for the first time in more than a decade, with the milestone looming for both leaders as a turning point towards the 2028 election.
asserted
milestone → mark → election
At its peak earlier in the year, Pauline Hanson’s One Nation party briefly level-pegged with Labor at a state level of 24 per cent.
asserted
party → peg → cent
In this latest snapshot, One Nation’s share rose from 20 per cent to 21 per cent, within the 3 per cent margin of error, amid a focus on federal matters and looming state elections in Victoria and NSW.
asserted
share → rise → Victoria
Small lifts for the Greens (one percentage point, to 11 per cent) and independents (one percentage point, to 7 per cent) have driven non-major parties to 44 per cent of primary vote support.
asserted
lifts → drive → support
Miles’ net likeability remained the same at -6, as Crisafulli’s lifted from +16 to +20.
asserted
Crisafulli → remain → +20
Crisafulli’s preferred premier support remained at 41 per cent, with Miles’ lifting two points to 24 per cent.
asserted
Miles → remain → cent
Resolve director Jim Reed said overall, the vote position had been relatively stable across the year, outside the slow gains of One Nation.
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position → say → Nation
“Crisafulli still achieves quite healthy personal ratings, so there’s no sign the electorate have tired of him during his first term,” Reed said.
asserted
Reed → achieve → term
The results come from two waves of polling conducted with registered voters from September 1 to 5, and October 6 to 10, for a total sample size of 868.
asserted
results → come → 868
Across that period, the government has continued to face pressure over its management of the state’s Child Safety system and was hit with Queensland’s first credit rating downgrade in almost two decades.
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government → continue → decades
While Miles faced publicly aired, but anonymous, criticisms of his leadership and concerns in the media about a clear path for a replacement this month, he is not yet facing an imminent threat.
asserted
he → face → threat
Labor’s primary vote support sits lower than it did in 2012, when the party was reduced to just seven seats.
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party → sit → seats
While scrutiny of One Nation’s policies and party organisation has increased with its ascendance in polling nationwide this year, this is yet to translate into an explicit focus on Queensland state politics.
asserted
this → increase → politics
State-level support for the party in Hanson’s home state had briefly passed the 22.6 per cent result achieved at her breakthrough 1998 Queensland election, which took the party from 0 to 11 seats.
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which → pass → seats
The party currently has no sitting MPs in Queensland, despite its state branch website still listing Stephen Andrew as the member for Mirani.
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website → have → Mirani
Andrew was dumped from the party by Hanson before the 2024 election.
asserted
Andrew → dump → election
The next state election will be held in late October 2028.
asserted
election → hold → October
While Crisafulli has repeatedly reiterated his pledge to return optional preferential voting, the change is yet to be enacted.
asserted
change → reiterate → voting
The Aporia
