Support for One Nation drops as Albo's popularity rises in the polls

Read the original at Daily Mail ↗
Daily Mail · collected 2026-10-11 · by Ashley Nickel

Quick Summary

A recent Newspoll for The Australian shows a decline in support for One Nation from 30% to 28%, while Labor's primary vote increased slightly to 29%. This poll, conducted between Monday and Thursday last week with 1,241 voters surveyed, also indicates that the Coalition received 20% of the primary vote. Additionally, a separate Resolve Poll for The Sydney Morning Herald recorded similar shifts: One Nation dropped two points to 25%, Labor rose one point to 29%, and the Coalition fell one point to 23%.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-11, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

The latest Newspoll in Australia shows a shift in voter preferences, with Labor leading at 29%, followed closely by One Nation at 28% and the Coalition at 20%. The poll, conducted between October 31 and November 3, surveyed 1,241 voters nationwide. This marks a decline for One Nation from its peak of 31% in early June and 30% in September to its current level of 28%. Additionally, Pauline Hanson's personal net rating dropped to -9, reflecting dissatisfaction from 52% of voters compared to the 43% who were satisfied with her performance. These changes indicate a potential waning influence of One Nation as Anthony Albanese's popularity rises.

Written for “Australian Politics Polls” on 2026-10-11, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 72092 · logged 2026-10-11

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
25
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
0%
0 of 25 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
64.6
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-11 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Australian Politics Polls
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Guardian
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 11% hedged 3 of 28 📰 publisher trust 68
“The articles discuss different topics: one is about a Labour byelection win, and the other is about polling data for political parties.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 15% hedged 11 of 73 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles discuss different aspects of political situations; one focuses on interviews regarding potential electoral deals, while the other reports poll results about party support.”
ABC News (AU)
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 2 📰 publisher trust 61
“Article A describes Hanson's speech at a conservative conference, while Article B reports on polling data about political party support.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 20% hedged 6 of 30 📰 publisher trust 67
“The articles discuss different poll results for political parties in the UK and Australia respectively.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 3% hedged 1 of 29 📰 publisher trust 61
“While both articles discuss a decline in One Nation's voter support and mention Pauline Hanson, they describe different aspects of the political situation at distinct times with varying details.”

Publisher

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Running correction rate · 13 correction(s)
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Clarifications and corrections

Who wrote this

Ashley Nickel
58 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
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Also by Ashley Nickel
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 58 articles by Ashley Nickel →

Topics

Albanese Coalition Labor Newspoll One Nation

Subjects

Coalition ORG · 6× Hanson PERSON · 6× Albanese PERSON · 5× Labor ORG · 5× One Nation ORG · 5× Angus Taylor PERSON · 2× Newspoll ORG · 2× Pauline Hanson's PERSON · 2× Taylor PERSON · 2× One Nation's ORG · 1×

Narrative

Coalition leader Angus Taylor (right) was the least-preferred prime minister between himself, Albanese and Hanson across two polls More than half (55 per cent) called for lower government spending.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-11
2026-10-11 · Daily Mail
Support for One Nation drops as Albo's popularity rises in the polls · assertive framing

Claims (25 extracted, 0 hedged)

One Nation's primary vote has fallen but Pauline Hanson's party remains on similar footing as the two major parties with support for all three less than nine per cent apart. asserted
party → fall → apart
The latest Newspoll for The Australian on Sunday revealed primary support was strongest for Labor at 29 per cent, one point ahead of One Nation at 28 per cent and the Coalition at 20 per cent. asserted
support → reveal → cent
The poll interviewed 1,241 voters across Australia between Monday and Thursday last week. asserted
poll → interview → Monday
Of the remaining voters, 14 per cent chose the Greens as their top party while just nine per cent gave their support to the 'others' category - made of independents and minor parties. asserted
cent → remain → independents
While the 28 per cent primary vote is still a strong result for One Nation, it marks a slip from the 30 per cent recorded in September. asserted
it → mark → September
Hanson's party recorded its strongest result in early June with a record high of 31 per cent. asserted
party → record → cent
The slip was coupled with a drop in Hanson's personal net rating, which dropped to -9. asserted
which → couple → -9
That result came from 43 per cent of voters who were satisfied with her performance compared to 52 per cent who were dissatisfied. asserted
who → come → cent
Popularity for Pauline Hanson's (above) One Nation fell across two polls on Sunday Support for Anthony Albanese's (above) Labor recorded a slight rise asserted
Support → fall → rise
The latest poll marked the first time primary support for Labor, One Nation and the Coalition were all in the 20s. asserted
support → mark → 20s
Labor's primary vote has risen by two points since the last Newspoll but remains at Gillard government-era lows. asserted
vote → rise → lows
Party leader and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's personal net rating also saw a slight improvement, rising from –27 to –24. asserted
rating → see → 24
The Coalition's primary vote also recorded an improvement from 19 per cent to 20 per cent. asserted
vote → record → cent
Similarly, Coalition leader Angus Taylor's net personal rating lifted to -11. asserted
rating → lift → -11
The Opposition leader also improved his position in the three-way contest as preferred prime minister against Albanese and Hanson. asserted
leader → improve → Albanese
The Newspoll also included a special question ahead of the parliament sitting this week: how should the government respond to high inflation and cost-of-living pressures? asserted
government → include → living
Coalition leader Angus Taylor (right) was the least-preferred prime minister between himself, Albanese and Hanson across two polls More than half (55 per cent) called for lower government spending. asserted
half → prefer → spending
More than half were also in favour of subsidising energy and fuel, while almost a third supported cuts to income taxes. asserted
third → subsidise → taxes
About 27 per cent wanted reduced regulation and costs for businesses and 11 per cent backed one-off payments. asserted
cent → want → payments
Meanwhile, a separate poll by Resolve for The Sydney Morning Herald also recorded a two-point fall in support for One Nation. asserted
poll → record → Nation
Its primary vote dropped to 25 per cent, compared to a one-point drop for the Coalition at 23 per cent and a one-point rise for Labor at 29 per cent. asserted
vote → drop → cent
Hanson's likability rating fell from seven points to zero, while Taylor's fell two points to eight. asserted
Taylor → fall → eight
Albanese improved by one point to –15. asserted
Albanese → improve → 15
Albanese also remains the preferred Prime Minister in the Resolve Poll. asserted
Albanese → remain → Poll
Of those surveyed, 32 per cent backed Albanese compared to 26 per cent for Hanson and 22 per cent for Taylor. asserted
cent → survey → Taylor
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