Trump’s approval hits new low among Hispanic voters ahead of midterms

Read the original at Al Jazeera ↗
Al Jazeera · collected 2026-10-05 · by Al Jazeera Staff

Quick Summary

A recent Reuters-Ipsos poll shows President Donald Trump's approval rating among Hispanic voters dropped to 24%, the lowest since he took office. This decline comes as midterm elections approach in November, with Democrats hoping to capitalize on Trump’s low approval ratings across all demographics to gain majorities in Congress. The poll indicates that 52% of Hispanic voters plan to vote for Democratic candidates compared to 26% for Republicans, signaling a shift from earlier gains Trump made among this group during the 2024 presidential race.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-05, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

A new NBC News/Telemundo poll indicates a significant shift in Latino voter preferences away from President Donald Trump and the Republican Party ahead of the midterms. Conducted September 21-28, the survey found that 69% of Latino voters disapprove of Trump's performance, with only 27% approving. Additionally, 75% of respondents disapproved of how Trump handled the economy and cost of living, while 66% felt his deportation policies had gone too far. Democrats now hold a 24-point lead among Latino voters on who should control Congress in 2026 compared to Republicans' previous edge in 2024. This shift could significantly impact midterm elections in states with large Latino populations, potentially affecting Republican control of the House and Senate.

Written for “Latino Voters Swing Away From Trump” on 2026-10-06, grounded in this article and the 5 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.35, but all 2 of its quote(s) are attributed speech - words the article quotes from someone, not the article's own narration, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 58708: attributed speech only · logged 2026-10-05

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
25
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
8%
2 of 25 hedged
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Correction & hedging signals
60.3
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
6
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-05 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Latino Voters Swing Away From Trump
Politics · 6 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 8% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Straits Times · 0.93 cosine similarity
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 12% hedged 1 of 8 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles report on the same Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted in late October 2026 finding President Trump's approval rating at a record low among Hispanic voters before the midterm elections.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 50% hedged 5 of 10 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles describe the same record-low approval rating for Donald Trump reported by the same poll conducted on the same day.”
Fox News
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 4% hedged 1 of 24 📰 publisher trust 69
“The articles report on different polls with distinct findings and dates.”
NBC News
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 5% hedged 4 of 75 📰 publisher trust 95
“The articles report on different polls conducted by different organizations with slight differences in methodology and timing.”
NBC News
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 4% hedged 2 of 54 📰 publisher trust 95
“The articles discuss different aspects of Trump's approval ratings among Hispanic voters and general US voters, not a single specific event.”

Publisher

Al Jazeera · 2196 article(s) · 2 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 2 correction(s)
2026-10-03
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2026-09-30
Indonesia suspends five officials over luxury apartments for inmates

Who wrote this

Al Jazeera Staff
453 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The declaration will remain in effect through November 4.
🔮 The upcoming midterm is largely viewed as a referendum on Trump’s second term and will decide whether the Republicans maintain their majorities in the US House of Representatives and the Senate.
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🔮 Polanski said he, however, did not support the reference to a single Palestinian state and external entities should not decide what a future state would look like.
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🔮 Sanchez said on Monday that the vote would take place on November 29.
🔮 Schmidt said on Monday that the words and gesture were inappropriate regardless of what was intended at the gathering and apologised for the offence they could cause.
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Wire or desk byline, not an individual reporter.
Also by Al Jazeera Staff
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 453 articles by Al Jazeera Staff →

Topics

Democratic Hispanic Republican Republicans Reuters

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 15× Hispanic NORP · 4× Republican NORP · 4× Republicans NORP · 4× Democratic NORP · 2× Democrats NORP · 2× Hispanics NORP · 2× Republican Party ORG · 2× Reuters ORG · 2× Ipsos ORG · 1×

Narrative

Recommended Stories list of 3 items- list 1 of 3‘Bordering on angry’: The state of play as US midterms enter final month - list 2 of 3Trump defiant about midterm chances as he rallies for Republicans in Ohio - list 3 of 3US adds just 29,000 jobs as unemployment rises before midterm elections
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-05
🔮 The upcoming midterm is largely viewed as a referendum on Trump’s second term and will decide whether the Republicans maintain their majorities in the US House of Representatives and the Senate.
2026-10-05 · Al Jazeera
Trump’s approval hits new low among Hispanic voters ahead of midterms · assertive framing

Claims (25 extracted, 2 hedged)

A new poll from the news agency Reuters and the research firm Ipsos has found that United States President Donald Trump’s approval rating remains at a record low as the midterm elections approach in November. asserted
elections → find → November
The six-day survey, completed on Monday, found that just 32 percent of US voters approve of the job Trump is doing as president. asserted
Trump → complete → president
Recommended Stories list of 3 items- list 1 of 3‘Bordering on angry’: The state of play as US midterms enter final month - list 2 of 3Trump defiant about midterm chances as he rallies for Republicans in Ohio - list 3 of 3US adds just 29,000 jobs as unemployment rises before midterm elections asserted
unemployment → 3‘bordere → elections
While that low rate has held steady since September, the latest Reuters-Ipsos poll suggests his support among Latino voters is continuing to slide. uncertain
support → hold → voters
Trump’s approval rating shrunk this month to 24 percent among Hispanic voters, its lowest point in either of his two terms in office. asserted
rating → shrink → office
The Republican leader had previously made substantial inroads with that constituency. asserted
leader → make → constituency
The Pew Research Center estimated that Trump and his Democratic rival, Kamala Harris, were within three percentage points of each other in the 2024 presidential race, earning 48 percent and 51 percent of the Hispanic vote, respectively. asserted
Trump → estimate → vote
That rate marked a significant jump for Trump over the 2020 election, when he only earned 36 percent of the Hispanic vote. asserted
he → mark → vote
Experts have credited the boost in Hispanic support with helping Trump win the 2024 race. asserted
Trump → credit → race
His 2020 bid, by contrast, ended in defeat to Democrat Joe Biden. asserted
bid → end → Biden
The Monday poll found that Trump’s gains among Hispanics have largely evaporated. asserted
gains → find → Hispanics
About 52 percent plan to vote for the Democrats in the November midterms, compared to 26 percent for Republicans. asserted
percent → vote → Republicans
The upcoming midterm is largely viewed as a referendum on Trump’s second term and will decide whether the Republicans maintain their majorities in the US House of Representatives and the Senate. asserted
Republicans → view → Representatives
Democrats have seized on Trump’s low approval ratings, hoping to translate frustration with the president into voter momentum for their party. asserted
Democrats → seize → party
A Democratic majority in one or both houses of Congress would place substantial constraints on Trump’s agenda for the remainder of his time in office. asserted
majority → place → office
But Trump has also faced rumblings from within his Republican Party as the November 3 midterms approach. asserted
midterms → face → Party
One Republican incumbent, Representative Maria Elvira Salazar of Florida, released a campaign advertisement last month that addressed Trump directly, saying, “The same Hispanics who helped you get to the White House in 2024 feel betrayed today.” asserted
you → release → 2024
She cited Trump’s hardline immigration crackdown as a source of tension. asserted
She → cite → tension
“Some of your immigration enforcement efforts have gone too far,” she said, pointing to the detention and deportation of immigrants with no criminal record. asserted
she → go → record
Experts have also warned that the president’s shrinking popularity, driven in part by concerns about the cost of living and his decision to launch a war on Iran, could weigh down Republican candidates in key races across the country. uncertain
popularity → warn → country
Still, Trump has continued to express confidence about the prospects of his Republican Party in the upcoming midterms. asserted
Trump → continue → midterms
He has also defended his decision to place himself at the centre of the Republican election campaign strategy. asserted
He → defend → strategy
Trump recently launched a 32-day blitz of cross-country rallies ahead of the November 3 midterms. asserted
Trump → launch → midterms
“Just so you understand, they all want me to go,” Trump said, denying that some Republicans would prefer he keep his distance. asserted
he → understand → distance
“They all want me to go campaign.” asserted
me → want → ?
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