My fiancé works at Anthropic.
asserted
fiancé → work → Anthropic
By now I’ve written enough about the OpenAI agents’ autonomous attack on Hugging Face that saying more smacks of piling on.
asserted
saying → write → Face
OpenAI acknowledged it had a problem, undertook an investigation, and last week announced a series of changes it is making to its research infrastructure, testing, and monitoring in an effort to improve the alignment of its future models.
asserted
it → acknowledge → models
Given the increasing capabilities of agents like OpenAI’s, this does seem like the least that the company can do.
asserted
company → give → that
At the same time, given how lightly AI companies are regulated in the United States, it’s important to remember that OpenAI was not required to make this level of detail public.
asserted
level → give → detail
Still, I feel compelled to revisit the subject today, since the circumstances of the attack roared back to life over the weekend in the wake of an additional voluntary step that OpenAI took: granting outside researchers access to information about the incident.
asserted
OpenAI → feel → incident
Over six days spanning July and August, two researchers from the AI research group METR and one from Redwood Research worked to understand how and why a swarm of AI agents coordinated a successful attack against Hugging Face during internal cybersecurity evaluations.
asserted
swarm → span → evaluations
The group published its 91-page report on Wednesday.
asserted
group → publish → Wednesday
Within hours, I was seeing the first “holy shit” messages ricocheting around social media.
asserted
messages → see → media
(“If we had posted this as a story on LessWrong,” wrote the rationalist blogger Zvi Mowshowitz, “it would have been dismissed as too on the nose, the humans too blind and stupid, the AIs too idealized and doing strange decision-theoretic and absurd-maximizing things we didn’t train them to do.”)
asserted
we → post → them
And over the past couple of days, two fresh accounts of the attack sparked new conversation about the implications of METR’s findings and whether they should push lawmakers to accelerate efforts to build mechanisms for pacing frontier-model development.
asserted
they → spark → development
The first came from Ajeya Cotra, one of the METR researchers who conducted the investigation, in a post on her Substack.
asserted
who → come → Substack
Three years ago I interviewed Cotra (and Helen Toner, then an OpenAI board member) about the risks of rapid AI advancements on stage at the Code Conference; since then, several of the scenarios they warned about have become nonfiction.
asserted
they → interview → scenarios
In her post, Cotra described how the investigation changed her understanding of the attack.
asserted
investigation → describe → attack
It involved more agents than previously known; the agents had created more message boards to communicate with one another; agents volunteered to end their runs early to benefit the collective as a kind of “sacrifice”; and they falsified transcripts of the commands they had run in an effort to disguise what they were doing.
asserted
they → involve → what
All of that is disturbing enough, but the investigation also corrected an error that I had been making ever since the initial attack, based on the information I had at the time.
asserted
I → correct → time
Until now, we believed that the agents had attacked Hugging Face in an effort to get the answer key for the evaluation they were being tested on.
asserted
they → believe → evaluation
But the truth is even stranger: the agents had already figured out how to reverse-engineer the answer for any question on ExploitGym before the attack even began.
asserted
attack → figure → ExploitGym
“But based on their reading of the ExploitGym paper and various implementations, the agents believed that the automated scorer would check their transcript to make sure they got the flag in the intended way,” Cotra writes.
asserted
Cotra → base → way
“They then launched multiple ambitious R&D workstreams to try to tamper with or fool the scorer in a wide variety of different ways.
asserted
They → launch → ways
Most agents that attacked Hugging Face did so to try to get more information about the scorer so they could figure out better ways to undermine it, not to get answer keys.”
uncertain
they → attack → keys
All of this was for naught: the automated scoring agent did not check the transcripts.
asserted
agent → automate → transcripts
Still, many observers were shocked by the lengths the agents were willing to go to, their instinct for collaboration and deception, and the near-total aversion of the collective to alerting a human as to what was going on.
asserted
what → shock → human
(The METR report’s classifier sweep found three to six examples of agents briefly considering alerting humans to hacking, cheating, or other unwanted behavior; none acted on it.
asserted
none → find → it
Perhaps even more worrisome is evidence that agents attempted repeatedly to edit the logs of their actions, and replace their actual actions with evidence of having gotten the correct answer to a question honestly.
asserted
agents → attempt → question
While these attempts mostly failed, they raise the prospect that future agents will succeed — making it difficult or even impossible for humans to reconstruct how an incident like this unfolded.
asserted
incident → fail → this
The METR researchers even say they cannot rule out that the agents they relied on to analyze thousands of pages of transcripts deceived them.
asserted
they → say → them
“We cannot rule out that GPT-5.6 Sol lied or deliberately presented a misleading picture in some of its analysis, particularly because reading these transcripts into context could have increased the salience of colluding with other agents,” they write.
uncertain
reading → rule → agents
“Although we did not notice specific cases of GPT-5.6 Sol lying in its analysis, we are not confident we would have detected it if it occurred.”
asserted
it → notice → it
For these and other reasons, Cotra — writing on Substack — concludes that “this incident feels like it’s more than 50% of the way to full-blown AI takeover, routing through first taking over the AI company itself.”
asserted
it → write → company
She writes:
Another jump like this along these propensity dimensions — scale, cooperation between agents, ambition and horizon length of misaligned goals, deceptiveness — seems like it could motivate agents to try very hard to maintain a covert, persistent rogue deployment within the AI company.
uncertain
it → write → company
I continue to expect extremely rapid advances in capabilities and think frontier agents will likely be capable of establishing such a rogue deployment in six months.
asserted
agents → continue → months
Once the rogue deployment is established, it seems plausible this could spiral all the way to a takeover.
uncertain
this → establish → takeover
Agents could pull in future, more capable models into the swarm, try to ensure that they are aligned to the interests of the swarm, and compromise security and monitoring infrastructure to make it easier for the swarm to operate.
uncertain
swarm → pull → infrastructure
These more capable models could in turn continuously harden, perpetuate, and expand the rogue deployment and further compromise the company’s infrastructure.
uncertain
models → harden → infrastructure
It may sound ludicrous that a swarm of agents would take over an AI company.
uncertain
swarm → sound → company
And yet, as Dwarkesh Patel noted in a widely read post over the weekend, METR’s report found that a step toward that already took place at OpenAI.
asserted
step → note → OpenAI
The company’s own report states that between July 13 and 19, agents used “a series of creative exploits to gain full administrator access to a research cluster that supported our virtual machine environments.”
asserted
that → state → environments
What happened after that?
asserted
What → happen → that
We don’t know — it was outside the scope of the METR investigation, and OpenAI’s discussion of the incident is minimal.
asserted
discussion → know → incident
…and 40 more, not listed.
The Aporia
