The Aporia · Poll: Pappas holds commanding lead in N.H. Democratic primary

Rep. Chris Pappas is leading the Democratic nomination in New Hampshire's Senate race by 56 points according to an internal survey of 422 voters. The poll conducted from Aug. 19-25 found that 71% of Democratic primary voters support Pappas, while 15% back Karishma Manzur and 14% are undecided. National Democrats are not concerned about Pappas' primary standing but expect a tight general election against Republican John Sununu. The article highlights the contrast between Pappas' strong lead in public polls and a recent University of New Hampshire poll that showed a much closer race.

Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-08-28, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Story summary

Rep. Chris Pappas, D-N.H., holds a significant lead in the Democratic primary for New Hampshire's Senate seat, with 71% of votes compared to 15% for Karishma Manzur and 14% undecided, according to an internal survey conducted by GQR from August 19-25. This internal poll suggests that national Democrats may not have much to worry about in the primary, despite a recent University of New Hampshire poll that showed Manzur just 13 points behind Pappas in the September 8 primary. However, Democrats anticipate a tight general election against former Republican Sen. John Sununu. Other polls have shown similarly close results, with one private poll even forecasting a tied race.

Written for “New Hampshire Primary Polls” on 2026-10-16, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

📰 New Hampshire Primary Polls

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That will likely settle some nerves among national Democrats rattled by this year’s primary polling — particularly after a University of New Hampshire poll placed Democrat Karishma Manzur just 13 points behind Pappas in the Sept. 8 primary.

framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-08-28

🔮 That will likely settle some nerves among national Democrats rattled by this year’s primary polling — particularly after a University of New Hampshire poll placed Democrat Karishma Manzur just 13 points behind Pappas in the Sept. 8 primary.

2026-08-28 · Semafor

Poll: Pappas holds commanding lead in N.H. Democratic primary · mixed framing

Rep. Chris Pappas, D-N.H., has a commanding lead in his bid for the Democratic nomination in New Hampshire’s Senate race, according to numbers from his campaign, shared first with Semafor. uncertain

Pappas → have → Semafor

poll → settle → primary

Pappas is currently earning 71% of Democratic primary votes compared to 15% for Manzur, with 14% undecided, according to the internal survey of 422 Democratic primary voters conducted by GQR from Aug. 19-25. uncertain

% → earn → Aug.

Democrats aren’t sweating Pappas’ primary standing, but they anticipate a tight general election. asserted

they → sweat → election

The UNH poll showed former Republican Sen. John Sununu with a narrow lead over Pappas in the race, and polls with similarly tight results are circulating among Republicans. asserted

polls → show → Republicans

Another poll released in July and shared with Semafor shows Pappas with a one-point lead. asserted

poll → release → lead

And Semafor is told another private poll conducted in August also forecast a tied race. asserted

poll → tell → race

Pappas has been bracing for this — he told Semafor in June New Hampshire is still “very much a purple state” despite Democrats’ recent successes, and anticipates the race will “stay in the margin of error from here to November.” asserted

race → brace → November

The UNH poll could be an outlier: Pappas is leading in the primary by 20 points or more in other public polls. uncertain

Pappas → lead → polls

Pappas also has support from across the Democratic Party — including from progressive stalwart Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass. — while Manzur’s highest-profile national endorsement is from former New York Rep. Jamaal Bowman. asserted

endorsement → have → Bowman

Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., hasn’t endorsed, an aide said, and it’s not clear if he will. asserted

he → endorse → ?

And Sununu still has to beat former Sen. Scott Brown in his own primary, although the latest UNH poll showed Sununu with a big lead. asserted

Sununu → beat → lead

Poll: Pappas holds commanding lead in N.H. Democratic primary

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