ASX set to rise as Wall Street surges; Oil prices fall; Road clears for Paramount-Warner Bros deal

Read the original at The Sydney Morning Herald ↗
The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-09-21 · by Stan Choe

Quick Summary

The Australian sharemarket is expected to open higher today, with futures indicating a gain of 36 points or 0.4%, following positive trends in US markets where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw gains of 1.5% and 2.2% respectively. This rise comes as oil prices fell by 3.4%, dropping Brent crude to $US100.29 per barrel, easing concerns about inflation and economic pressures caused by high energy costs. Additionally, US Treasury yields eased slightly from their recent peaks above 5%.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-21, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

On Monday, global stock markets saw an uptick with the S&P 500 rising 1.5% and the Nasdaq composite jumping 2.3%, both nearing their recent highs set last month. This followed a drop in oil prices, where Brent crude fell 3.4% to $100.29 per barrel, down from its peak of nearly $110 last week. The decrease was partly due to some easing tensions around the Strait of Hormuz despite ongoing conflict with Iran, allowing for increased Middle Eastern oil shipments. In Australia, ASX futures indicated a gain of 36 points or 0.4%, suggesting an opening higher after similar positive moves in U.S. markets. Morgan Stanley analyst Michael Wilson highlighted rising fuel costs as a potential risk to further stock market gains this year.

Written for “Global Markets Movement” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 2 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
32
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
12%
4 of 32 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
61.2
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
3
Economy/Business
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-21 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Global Markets Movement
Economy/Business · 3 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 12% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 17% hedged 6 of 36 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe different market movements on separate dates with distinct outcomes for Wall Street and ASX.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 9% hedged 2 of 23 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe different market movements and economic events occurring on different dates.”
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 20% hedged 5 of 25 📰 publisher trust 64
“The articles describe market movements on different dates, with Article A covering September 17 and Article B covering a later date.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 13% hedged 5 of 38 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe similar market conditions but refer to different dates and distinct market sessions.”
ABC News (AU)
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 11 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe market conditions and predictions for different days, indicating distinct occurrences.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 3% hedged 1 of 29 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe different market movements and outcomes for both Wall Street and ASX on consecutive days.”
ABC News (AU)
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 8% hedged 2 of 24 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe different market conditions and outcomes for ASX on consecutive days, not the same specific incident.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 4 📰 publisher trust 63
“The articles describe market movements in different stock exchanges (TSX and ASX) on the same day but with distinct details that indicate separate reporting of local markets.”
Global News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 12% hedged 3 of 26 📰 publisher trust 64
“Both articles describe the same specific market movement on the same day, with nearly identical details about U.S. stock indices and oil prices.”
ABC News (AU)
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 8% hedged 3 of 40 📰 publisher trust 61
“Both articles describe the opening of the Australian share market on September 21, 2026, with similar details about ASX futures and global market conditions.”

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 2351 article(s) · 4 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 4 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

Stan Choe
9 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Wall Street indexes climbed near their all-time high after the latest update on the US job market cooled worries that a potentially hot US economy could make inflation much worse.
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to climb, with futures at 5.01am AEST pointing to a rise of 40 points or 0.5 per cent, at the open.
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to slide, with futures at 5am AEST pointing to a loss of 10 points, or 0.1 per cent, at the open.
2026-09-24 · assertive framing · ASX set to dip, Wall Street slips as oil prices seesaw
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to rise, with futures at 4.52am AEST pointing to a gain of 36 points or 0.4 per cent, at the open.
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to slump, with futures on Saturday pointing to a loss of 57 points or 0.7 per cent, at the open.
🔮 Falling oil prices and easing pressure from the bond market helped Wall Street reverse many of its moves from the prior day, when the Federal Reserve hiked its main interest rate for the first time in years and suggested more may be ahead as it tries to get the nation’s high inflation under control.
🔮 Investors would almost always prefer lower interest rates because higher rates tend to slow the economy’s growth and undercut the prices for stocks and other investments.
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to rise, with futures at 6.18am AEST pointing to a gain of 31 points, or 0.4 per cent, at the open.
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to edge lower, with futures at 6.18am AEST pointing to a slide of 16 points, or 0.2 per cent, at the open.
Also by Stan Choe
ASX eyes gains after wild night on markets; Oil prices climb
2026-10-01 · The Sydney Morning Herald
ASX set to dip, Wall Street slips as oil prices seesaw
2026-09-24 · The Sydney Morning Herald
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 9 articles by Stan Choe →

Topics

Australian China Chinese Treasury the United States

Subjects

China GPE · 5× Iran GPE · 3× the United States GPE · 3× Australian NORP · 2× Chinese NORP · 2× Treasury ORG · 2× AAA ORG · 1× Michael Wilson PERSON · 1× Morgan Stanley’s ORG · 1× Nasdaq ORG · 1×

Narrative

The parties worked through the weekend to reach the deal, which includes protections designed to limit the market power and ensure the editorial independence of the media giant, which will control two of Hollywood’s biggest studios, two major subscription streaming services and dozens of TV channels ranging from CBS to HBO.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-21
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to rise, with futures at 4.52am AEST pointing to a gain of 36 points or 0.4 per cent, at the open.

Claims (32 extracted, 4 hedged)

US stocks are climbing with markets worldwide after oil prices and yields in the bond market gave back some of their jumps from last week. asserted
prices → climb → week
The S&P 500 rose 1.5 per cent and pulled within 0.4 per cent of its all-time high set last month. asserted
S&P → rise → high
The Australian sharemarket is set to rise, with futures at 4.52am AEST pointing to a gain of 36 points or 0.4 per cent, at the open. asserted
futures → set → open
The ASX closed flat on Monday. asserted
ASX → close → Monday
The Australian dollar was steady at US71.22¢. They got help from the price for a barrel of Brent oil falling 3.4 per cent to $US100.29. asserted
They → get → US100.29
While that’s still much higher than its roughly $US72 price from earlier this summer, it’s down from the nearly $US110 it touched last week. asserted
it → ’ → US110
Oil prices are swinging up and down as some crude from the Middle East is able to sail through the Strait of Hormuz, though nowhere nearly as much as the industry and customers would like because of the war with Iran. asserted
industry → swing → Iran
Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson said another leg higher in prices for oil, gasoline and other refined products is the main risk he sees in the near term that could keep the US stock market from rising to his forecasted target for the year’s end. uncertain
that → say → end
The average price for a gallon of regular gasoline across the United States has already climbed to nearly $US4.48, according to AAA. uncertain
price → climb → AAA
That’s up from less than $US4.32 just a week earlier and from $US3.18 a year ago. asserted
That → ’ → US3.18
Monday’s pullback in oil prices helped lower the pressure coming from the bond market. asserted
pullback → help → market
The yield on the 10-year Treasury eased to 4.97 per cent from 5.01 per cent late Friday after it crossed above the 5 per cent threshold last week for the first time in three years. asserted
it → ease → years
That hurts the economy because high yields make it more expensive not only for the US government to borrow money to pay its bills but also for households and businesses. asserted
government → hurt → households
Worries remain about how much oil is available for customers worldwide, ING commodities strategists Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson wrote in a commentary on Monday. asserted
strategists → remain → Monday
However, they said profit-taking by investors after the recent jump in oil prices, together with hopes for constructive discussions at this week’s UN General Assembly and at a meeting between China’s and the United States’ leaders, helped improve optimism. asserted
they → say → optimism
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told reporters following talks Sunday with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in New York that the US had “a very successful engagement” with the Chinese side. asserted
US → tell → side
Bessent said talks with China touched on trade and AI. asserted
talks → say → trade
China and the United States have been discussing reciprocal tariff reductions on $US30 billion ($42.1 billion) worth of goods from each side. asserted
China → discuss → side
In Beijing, China’s Foreign Ministry on Monday confirmed that Xi Jinping will pay a state visit to the United States between September 23 and 25. asserted
Jinping → confirm → September
Experts and policymakers believe trade, tariffs, and AI safety are likely among the topics to be on the agenda. asserted
trade → believe → agenda
The war in Iran and developments in the Middle East and ties between China and Iran could also be discussed. uncertain
war → discuss → China
On Wall Street, stocks in the artificial-intelligence industry continued to stabilise following their worldwide slide at the start of last week. asserted
stocks → continue → week
Leaders of the AI industry have recently warned a slowdown is needed in the industry’s development for the safety of humanity. asserted
slowdown → warn → humanity
Advanced Micro Devices rallied 8.8 per cent and could finish the day with a total market value above $US1 trillion, while Nvidia added 2.2 per cent. uncertain
Nvidia → rally → cent
Stocks enmeshed in the cryptocurrency industry, meanwhile, rallied after bitcoin’s price rose back above $US85,000 and returned to where it was in January. asserted
it → enmesh → January
Coinbase Global jumped 4.8 per cent, and Robinhood Markets rose 4.2 per cent. asserted
Markets → jump → ?
Skydance-owned Paramount fell 1.6 per cent as it reached a settlement in lawsuits brought by 12 state attorneys general and the Writers Guild trade union challenging its $US110 billion ($154 billion) acquisition of Warner Bros Discovery, which jumped 10.8 per cent. asserted
which → own → Discovery
The parties worked through the weekend to reach the deal, which includes protections designed to limit the market power and ensure the editorial independence of the media giant, which will control two of Hollywood’s biggest studios, two major subscription streaming services and dozens of TV channels ranging from CBS to HBO. asserted
which → work → HBO
Paramount has promised to release 30 movies a year at the combined studios, a move designed to placate cinema owners and Hollywood talent who believed the merger would reduce film output. asserted
merger → promise → output
Under the terms of the deal , half of those films must be produced by the new company. asserted
half → produce → company
Stock indexes around the world also climbed thanks to the easing of oil prices and bond yields. asserted
indexes → climb → prices
Indexes gained 0.9 per cent in France, 1.2 per cent in Hong Kong and 1.6 per cent in South Korea. asserted
Indexes → gain → Korea
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