ASX set to rise, Wall Street climbs as oil prices slide and pressure from the bond market eases

Read the original at The Sydney Morning Herald ↗
The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-09-17 · by Stan Choe

Quick Summary

US stocks are recovering after a day of fluctuation following the Federal Reserve's rate hike announcement. The S&P 500 gained 1.1%, while the Dow Jones and Nasdaq increased by 0.7% and 1.6% respectively, driven by falling oil prices and easing pressure from bond markets. In Australia, futures indicate a gain of 0.7% for the ASX at market open, following its modest rise on Thursday. The drop in Brent crude oil to $104.79 per barrel helped reduce yields in the bond market, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling from 5.01% to 4.95%.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-20, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

On Thursday, U.S. stock markets rallied sharply after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in three years to combat rising inflation. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq surged by 1.2% and 1.6% respectively, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 450 points, or about 0.9%. Meanwhile, bond yields fell as oil prices dropped for a second consecutive day; U.S. crude briefly dipped below $100 per barrel for the first time since September 11. This drop in oil prices contributed to reduced economic concerns and alleviated pressure on stocks and bonds globally. Additionally, initial claims for unemployment benefits declined to their lowest level since July, further boosting market sentiment despite potential volatility due to a short holiday week.

Written for “Market Rally After Fed Hike” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 3 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
38
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
13%
5 of 38 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
61.2
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
4
Economy/Business
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-20 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Market Rally After Fed Hike
Economy/Business · 4 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 13% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 3% hedged 1 of 29 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe different market conditions on separate days, with Article A reporting gains on September 17 and Article B reporting a slump on September 20.”
ABC News (AU)
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 4% hedged 1 of 27 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe different market movements on different days with opposite trends.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 8% hedged 3 of 36 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe different market conditions on separate days with distinct movements in stock indices and economic factors.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 5 📰 publisher trust 63
“The articles describe different market trading sessions on separate dates.”
NBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 13% hedged 4 of 30 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles describe the stock market rally on September 17, 2026, following the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and a decline in oil prices.”
New York Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 20% hedged 5 of 25 📰 publisher trust 64
“Both articles describe the stock market's reaction on September 17, 2026, to the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and subsequent recovery with similar details about indices rising.”
ABC News (AU)
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 11 📰 publisher trust 61
“Both articles discuss the ASX's expected rise and Wall Street's recovery on the same day, with similar context about oil prices and bond yields.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 12% hedged 4 of 32 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe similar market conditions but refer to different dates and distinct market sessions.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 5 📰 publisher trust 63
“The articles describe different market conditions on separate dates.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 11% hedged 4 of 36 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe different market conditions on separate days with distinct price movements.”

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 2363 article(s) · 4 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 4 correction(s)
2026-10-03
Tennessee’s prisons chief to resign after failed execution of Christa Pike
2026-09-28
Inside the prison left abandoned for years – now set to reopen as DV offenders weigh on system
2026-09-19
What will happen to your most cherished possessions when you die? You don’t want to know
2026-09-18
What will happen to your most cherished possessions when you die? You don’t want to know

Who wrote this

Stan Choe
9 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Wall Street indexes climbed near their all-time high after the latest update on the US job market cooled worries that a potentially hot US economy could make inflation much worse.
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to climb, with futures at 5.01am AEST pointing to a rise of 40 points or 0.5 per cent, at the open.
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to slide, with futures at 5am AEST pointing to a loss of 10 points, or 0.1 per cent, at the open.
2026-09-24 · assertive framing · ASX set to dip, Wall Street slips as oil prices seesaw
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to rise, with futures at 4.52am AEST pointing to a gain of 36 points or 0.4 per cent, at the open.
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to slump, with futures on Saturday pointing to a loss of 57 points or 0.7 per cent, at the open.
🔮 Falling oil prices and easing pressure from the bond market helped Wall Street reverse many of its moves from the prior day, when the Federal Reserve hiked its main interest rate for the first time in years and suggested more may be ahead as it tries to get the nation’s high inflation under control.
🔮 Investors would almost always prefer lower interest rates because higher rates tend to slow the economy’s growth and undercut the prices for stocks and other investments.
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to rise, with futures at 6.18am AEST pointing to a gain of 31 points, or 0.4 per cent, at the open.
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to edge lower, with futures at 6.18am AEST pointing to a slide of 16 points, or 0.2 per cent, at the open.
Also by Stan Choe
ASX eyes gains after wild night on markets; Oil prices climb
2026-10-01 · The Sydney Morning Herald
ASX set to dip, Wall Street slips as oil prices seesaw
2026-09-24 · The Sydney Morning Herald
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 9 articles by Stan Choe →

Topics

Australian Fed Iran Nasdaq the Federal Reserve

Subjects

Fed ORG · 6× Australian NORP · 2× Iran GPE · 2× Advanced Micro Devices ORG · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× Kevin Warsh PERSON · 1× Nasdaq ORG · 1× Nvidia ORG · 1× Treasury ORG · 1× the Federal Reserve ORG · 1×

Narrative

Brent is of course still much more expensive than the $US72 per barrel that it cost earlier this year, but Thursday’s slide helped pull yields lower in the bond market and removed some pressure on stocks.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-20
🔮 Falling oil prices and easing pressure from the bond market helped Wall Street reverse many of its moves from the prior day, when the Federal Reserve hiked its main interest rate for the first time in years and suggested more may be ahead as it tries to get the nation’s high inflation under control.

Claims (38 extracted, 5 hedged)

US stocks are rising and recovering most of their losses for the week. asserted
stocks → rise → week
Falling oil prices and easing pressure from the bond market helped Wall Street reverse many of its moves from the prior day, when the Federal Reserve hiked its main interest rate for the first time in years and suggested more may be ahead as it tries to get the nation’s high inflation under control. uncertain
it → fall → control
The S&P 500 climbed 1.1 per cent and was on track for just its second rise in the last nine days. asserted
S&P → climb → days
The Australian sharemarket is set to rise, with futures at 4.57am AEST pointing to a gain of 57 points, or 0.7 per cent, at the open. asserted
futures → set → open
The ASX added 0.4 per cent on Thursday. asserted
ASX → add → Thursday
The Australian dollar was stronger at US71.11¢. Stocks got a boost after the price for a barrel of Brent crude oil slid 1 per cent to $US104.79. asserted
price → get → US104.79
That’s down sharply from the nearly $US110 it reached earlier in the week on worries that the war with Iran will keep oil bottled up in the Middle East instead of going to customers worldwide. asserted
oil → ’ → customers
Brent is of course still much more expensive than the $US72 per barrel that it cost earlier this year, but Thursday’s slide helped pull yields lower in the bond market and removed some pressure on stocks. asserted
slide → cost → stocks
The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.95 per cent from 5.01 per cent late Wednesday. asserted
yield → fall → cent
Higher yields make it more expensive for everyone to borrow money, from the US government to people looking to buy houses to businesses wanting to build data centers. asserted
everyone → make → centers
That in turn slows the economy. asserted
That → slow → economy
The Fed on Wednesday raised the short-term interest rate that it controls, the federal funds rate, by a quarter of a percentage point for its first hike in more than three years. asserted
it → raise → years
Officials also indicated at least one more increase may be coming this year and that the Fed may then keep the federal funds rate high through next year. uncertain
Fed → indicate → year
The signals sent Wall Street on a roller coaster. asserted
signals → send → coaster
Stocks initially held onto their gains from earlier in the day after the Fed made its announcement Wednesday. asserted
Fed → hold → announcement
They then slid sharply before recovering a chunk of the losses before trading ended for the day. asserted
trading → slide → day
On the upside for markets, the shift to higher interest rates built confidence that the Fed is committed to getting inflation back to its target of 2 per cent. asserted
Fed → build → cent
Questions had begun to bubble in the summer about whether it would feel pressure from President Donald Trump, who is calling for lower interest rates. asserted
who → begin → rates
And the short-term cost of pain for the economy could be worth it if it gets inflation under control following years of staying too high. uncertain
it → get → years
On the downside for markets, higher rates undercut prices for stocks and other investments. asserted
rates → undercut → stocks
When investors are earning more in interest from owning bonds, which are considered safer investments, they’re less willing to pay high prices for other kinds of investments. asserted
they → earn → investments
That’s beyond the effect higher rates have on slowing the economy in hopes of removing fuel for inflation. asserted
rates → ’ → inflation
Some reports on Thursday signalled the US economy may be strong enough to withstand higher interest rates. uncertain
economy → signal → rates
One said fewer US workers applied for unemployment benefits last week. asserted
workers → say → benefits
Another said that manufacturing growth in the mid-Atlantic region was stronger than economists expected. asserted
economists → say → region
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh said on Wednesday that a strengthening economy is one of the reasons Fed officials moved to raise interest rates after keeping them on hold earlier this year. asserted
officials → say → hold
He also cited “geopolitics,” along with the threat that increases in prices it’s causing could filter out and push up inflation elsewhere. uncertain
it → cite → inflation
That’s likely a nod to the war with Iran and its effect on oil prices. asserted
That → ’ → prices
On Wall Street, stocks in the artificial-intelligence industry continued to rebound following their worldwide slide on Monday. asserted
stocks → continue → Monday
Nvidia climbed 2.6 per cent, and Advanced Micro Devices rose 6.5 per cent. asserted
Devices → climb → ?
That was even though OpenAI disclosed six more reports of “unexpected or concerning” behaviour in AI models. asserted
OpenAI → disclose → models
Leaders of the AI industry over the weekend called for a slowdown in development to address safety issues for humanity. asserted
Leaders → call → humanity
Stocks of several homebuilders also rose, even though a report showed the industry broke ground on fewer new homes last month than economists expected. asserted
economists → rise → homes
The housing industry has been one of the hardest hit by the climb for the 10-year Treasury’s yield, which topped 5 per cent this week for the first time since 2023 and has sent mortgage rates higher. asserted
which → hit → rates
Thursday’s ease in yields helped offer some support, and D.R. Horton rose 1.5 per cent, while PulteGroup added 0.8 per cent. asserted
PulteGroup → help → cent
Rival Lennar wavered throughout the day and was most recently down 0.1 per cent after reporting weaker profit and revenue for the latest quarter than analysts expected. asserted
analysts → waver → quarter
In stock markets abroad, indexes rose across much of Europe following a weaker finish in Asia. asserted
indexes → rise → Asia
London’s FTSE 100 rose 1.2 per cent after the Bank of England decided to keep its interest rates on hold. asserted
Bank → rise → hold
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support