How popular is Donald Trump?

Silver Bulletin · collected 2026-08-24 · by Nate Silver commentary
Read the original at Silver Bulletin ↗

Summary

The latest update on Donald Trump's presidential approval ratings shows a slight improvement from an all-time low of -20.6 to -19.5. As of August 28, 2026, this net disapproval rating is still far from popular, and it's comparable to the same point in Joe Biden's presidency when his rating was at -11.6. The article comes from Silver Bulletin, a news source that tracks presidential approval ratings through its website. The outlet uses a weighted average of polls to provide an accurate picture of Trump's popularity, which is still largely negative despite some recent fluctuations.
Written by the local model on 2026-08-31, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
22
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
0%
0 of 22 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher trust
not scored
Commentary is not rated for newsroom trust
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-08-31 · source text last changed 2026-08-31 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

Donald Trump's net approval rating has risen slightly from an all-time low of -20.6, but he still remains unpopular with a current net approval of -19.5. This is a significant improvement from the same point in his presidency, when he was at -11.6. Despite this increase, Trump's approval rating is far from positive. For comparison, Joe Biden had a similar net approval rating of -11.6 at the same stage in his presidency.

Written for “Donald Trump's Popularity Polls” on 2026-08-31, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 2024 · logged 2026-08-31

Story

📰 Donald Trump's Popularity Polls
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
How popular is the Iran War? different event · 80%
Silver Bulletin
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 9% hedged 3 of 32
“The articles cover different topics (Trump's approval rating vs. the Iran War's popularity), although they share a similar format and source.”

Publisher

Silver Bulletin · 8 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected

Commentary. The three signals behind a trust score all measure a newsroom's record with its own reporting, so they are not computed for this source. How trust is scored.

No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Nate Silver
6 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Topics

Americans House Senate Silver Bulletin Substack

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 11× Silver Bulletin ORG · 3× Americans NORP · 2× Donald Trump’s PERSON · 2× House ORG · 1× Joe Biden PERSON · 1× Senate ORG · 1× Truman PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Inevitably, there’s a lot of disagreement from survey to survey, not just because of statistical variation but because pollsters have long had trouble pegging down Trump’s popularity.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-08-24
🔮 In other Silver Bulletin news, we launched our 2026 midterm election forecast this month.
2026-08-31 · Silver Bulletin
How popular is Donald Trump? · assertive framing

Claims (22 extracted, 0 hedged)

🕒 The latest on Trump’s approval rating Updated August 28, 2026 asserted
latest → update → rating
In other Silver Bulletin news, we launched our 2026 midterm election forecast this month. asserted
we → launch → forecast
We’ll regularly update the charts below as new polls about Donald Trump’s approval rating come in.1 asserted
polls → update → rating
This page is designed to be viewed on the web rather than in our email client or in the Substack app. asserted
page → design → app
Click here for more information on how the average works. asserted
average → click → information
The Silver Bulletin average weights more reliable polls heavily — you can find our latest pollster ratings here. asserted
you → weight → ratings
Our default average reflects a combination of all polls, whether conducted among adults, registered voters or likely voters. asserted
average → reflect → adults
If a pollster releases multiple versions of the same survey, we use the all-adult version of the poll before the registered voter version.2 asserted
we → release → poll
This is because all Americans have a say in how popular the president is — whether or not they vote. asserted
they → have → say
The polls: What do the surveys say? asserted
surveys → say → What
Each poll gets an “influence” score based on its pollster rating, its sample size, its recency, and how often a pollster is publishing numbers.3 asserted
pollster → get → rating
Sometimes, surveys with mediocre pollster ratings have more weight in the model just because they were conducted very recently or polled more people. asserted
they → have → people
Inevitably, there’s a lot of disagreement from survey to survey, not just because of statistical variation but because pollsters have long had trouble pegging down Trump’s popularity. asserted
pollsters → ’ → popularity
By clicking on the “adjusted results” tab, you can see how the “house effects” adjustment that corrects for these predictable differences works in our model. asserted
that → click → model
You can also click here to download every Trump approval poll in our database — including some additional details not shown in the chart below. asserted
You → click → chart
The issues: What do Americans think of Trump’s policies? asserted
Americans → think → policies
Pollsters don’t just ask about Trump’s overall job approval, they also ask about how well he’s dealing with different issues. asserted
he → ask → issues
We’re tracking how the public feels about Trump’s handling of four topics: the economy, immigration, trade and tariffs, and the cost of living. asserted
public → track → living
The deep dive We also have a few features we’re reserving for paying subscribers: How do Trump’s approval ratings compare to every past president since Truman? asserted
ratings → have → Truman
How many voters strongly approve or disapprove of Trump? asserted
voters → approve → Trump
What are Trump’s numbers in only polls of adults or only polls of likely and registered voters? asserted
numbers → register → voters
You can find all of that, plus downloadable data on every president’s approval rating every day since 1945, down below. asserted
You → find → 1945
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