Burnham's national security chief 'explicitly warned PM and Ed Miliband against Israel West Bank sanctions before crunch elections'… but was ignored

Daily Mail · collected 2026-09-17 · by David Wilcock
Read the original at Daily Mail ↗

Summary

Britain's national security adviser, Jonathan Powell, advised Prime Minister Andy Burnham and Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband against implementing sanctions on illegal Israeli settlements in the West Bank before Israel’s October 27 elections. The advisers believed that early action could bolster Benjamin Netanyahu, who supports settlement expansion and faces potential defeat. Despite this warning, Burnham and Miliband proceeded with the sanctions, leading to strained relations between Britain and Israel. These actions include personal sanctions on two Israeli ministers for incitement against Palestinians and a ban on imports from illegal settlements in the Occupied Palestinian Territories.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-17, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
24
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
17%
4 of 24 hedged
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject
Correction & hedging signals
58.7
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-17 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

Andy Burnham and Ed Miliband, British political figures, ignored advice from Jonathan Powell, Britain's national security adviser, to delay imposing sanctions on illegal Israeli settlements in the West Bank. The proposed sanctions were seen as potentially bolstering Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s prime minister, who faces election challenges on October 27, 2025. Powell and others, including the UK ambassador in Tel Aviv, warned that premature action could strengthen Netanyahu's position. Despite these warnings, Burnham and Miliband proceeded with sanctions, leading to strained relations between Britain and Israel. In June 2025, two Israeli ministers, Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich, were personally sanctioned for their role in inciting violence against Palestinian civilians. A source told the Spectator that Miliband wanted to weaken Netanyahu’s government but was explicitly advised this would be counterproductive if acted upon too soon.

Written for “Israel Sanctions Warning Ignored” on 2026-09-17, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score -0.35 Confidence medium
Leaning score -0.35 for article 15531 (medium confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-09-17

Story

📰 Israel Sanctions Warning Ignored
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 17% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 11% hedged 4 of 36 📰 publisher trust 96
“While both articles discuss Ed Miliband's announcement regarding the UK's boycott on Israeli settlements and mention national security concerns, they describe different aspects of the event. Article A focuses on the announcement itself and its context, while Article B reports on prior advice given to Miliband about delaying the sanctions.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 8% hedged 3 of 36 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A describes the response to sanctions and diplomatic actions by Israel, while Article B discusses internal British political advice preceding the announcement of sanctions.”
Semafor
⚖️ Centre further right than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 5 📰 publisher trust 95
“The articles discuss related issues but describe different aspects and timings of actions regarding Israel's West Bank settlements. Article A discusses Israel's reaction to trade restrictions, while Article B focuses on internal UK political decisions about sanctions timing.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this 🔴 6% hedged 1 of 18 📰 publisher trust 95
“The articles discuss related issues but describe different aspects: one focuses on legal experts criticizing UK sanctions as insufficient, while the other reports that national security advisers warned against implementing those sanctions before elections.”
Semafor
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 4 📰 publisher trust 95
“While both articles discuss UK sanctions on Israeli settlements, Article B focuses on internal advice and decision-making prior to the announcement, rather than the announcement itself as covered in Article A.”

Publisher

Daily Mail · 808 article(s) · 5 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 5 correction(s)
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Clarifications and corrections

Who wrote this

David Wilcock
6 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The ministers were warned that going too early could bolster PM Benjamin Netanyahu, a strong supporter of settlement expansion, who is in danger of losing power on October 27.
🔮 - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Labour stands accused of 'dancing to the union barons' tune' after giving workers even more rights over their employers. Deputy PM Louise Haigh revealed on Tuesday Labour would 'strengthen the right to flexible working' for employees as she stood in for Andy Burnham at the annual meeting of trade unions.
🔮 Mr Swinney said the meeting between the leaders represents a 'pivotal moment in the constitutional journey of the UK' and claimed that Mr Burnham would be its last prime minister.
🔮 - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Reform has started spending its £72million windfall from its two crypto-billionaire donors, despite fears that they may have to hand it back.
🔮 'Millions of workers no longer protected from exploitative zero-hours contracts, millions of workers back to waiting three days to be paid when they're sick, millions of workers who could be fired and rehired on worse terms and conditions.
🔮 - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Andy Burnham has reportedly shelved plans to address the UK's massive welfare bill in this year's Budget – as his Chancellor suggested the October economic blueprint will include a 'mansion tax'.
More on this subject from David Wilcock
All 6 articles by David Wilcock →

Topics

Britain British Israel Israeli Tel Aviv

Subjects

Israel GPE · 4× Miliband PERSON · 4× British NORP · 3× Israeli NORP · 3× Netanyahu PERSON · 3× Benjamin Netanyahu PERSON · 2× Britain GPE · 2× Jonathan Powell PERSON · 2× Palestinian NORP · 2× Tel Aviv GPE · 2×

Narrative

- See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Andy Burnham and Ed Miliband ignored advice from Britain's national security adviser to delay bringing in controversial sanctions on illegal Israeli settlements in the West Bank, it was reported today.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-17
🔮 The ministers were warned that going too early could bolster PM Benjamin Netanyahu, a strong supporter of settlement expansion, who is in danger of losing power on October 27.

Claims (24 extracted, 4 hedged)

- See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Andy Burnham and Ed Miliband ignored advice from Britain's national security adviser to delay bringing in controversial sanctions on illegal Israeli settlements in the West Bank, it was reported today. asserted
it → see → Bank
Jonathan Powell is said to have joined others including the UK ambassador in Tel Aviv in saying action over the occupation of Palestinian land should be held back until after elections in Israel. asserted
action → say → Israel
The ministers were warned that going too early could bolster PM Benjamin Netanyahu, a strong supporter of settlement expansion, who is in danger of losing power on October 27. uncertain
who → warn → October
But they went ahead anyway, sparking a major row with Netanyahu's hard right nationalist government that drove already poor relations with a key intelligence ally to a new low. asserted
that → go → low
Two of his ministers, Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich, were personally sanctioned in June 2025, over the pair's 'repeated incitement of violence against Palestinian civilians'. asserted
Two → sanction → civilians
A source told the Spectator: 'Ed wants to get rid of Netanyahu and the Smotrich/Ben-Gvir lot. ' asserted
Ed → tell → Netanyahu
He was explicitly told that would be less likely if he did this.' asserted
he → tell → this
Jonathan Powell is said to have joined others including the UK ambassador in Tel Aviv that sanctions should be held back until after elections in Israel The ministers were warned that going too early could bolster PM Benjamin Netanyahu, a strong supporter of settlement expansion, who is in danger of losing power on October 27 The Foreign Office has been approached to comment. uncertain
Office → say → October
Yesterday Mr Miliband admitted he is not 'definite' the sanctions on illegal Israeli West Bank settlements will work. asserted
sanctions → admit → settlements
The Foreign Secretary said the British Government was trying to 'cut off the supply lines of British finance … (and) construction' to help stop illegal settlement expansion. asserted
Government → say → expansion
Mr Miliband also said he felt 'a sense of frustration' that Britain cannot do more on Gaza, as he said Netanyahu is making Israel 'less secure' with his policies on Palestine. asserted
Israel → say → Palestine
The Foreign Secretary last week introduced a ban on imports from illegal settlements in the Occupied Palestinian Territories and sanctions on individuals and firms providing services to settlers. asserted
Secretary → introduce → settlers
Mr Miliband made the announcement in the Commons after a tender for the new E1 settlement area was published. asserted
tender → make → area
He told MPs it would render the two-state solution 'unviable' by 'cutting through the heart of Palestine'. asserted
solution → tell → Palestine
However, speaking to former Labour spin doctor Alastair Campbell and former Conservative minister Rory Stewart on the Rest is Politics podcast, Mr Miliband said he was not certain the action – taken jointly with France and Canada – would work. asserted
action → speak → France
He said: 'Can we have an impact on the settlement expansion? asserted
we → say → expansion
We believe we can with the sanctions regime, because what we're trying to do is to cut off what you might call the supply lines of British finance, British construction, and so on to help settlement expansion. uncertain
you → believe → expansion
'Will it definitely succeed? asserted
it → succeed → ?
I can't say it'll definitely succeed. asserted
it → say → ?
Does it have a chance of succeeding, particularly with other international partners acting? asserted
partners → have → chance
Maybe it does. asserted
it → do → ?
He also acknowledged the impact of attacks by the Israeli armed forces on Palestinians since Hamas' terror attack on Israel on October 7 2023. asserted
He → acknowledge → October
The attack by Hamas killed more than 1,200 Israelis. asserted
attack → kill → Israelis
Since then more than 70,000 Palestinians have been reportedly killed in attacks by the Israeli Defence Force, including by drones. uncertain
Palestinians → kill → drones
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