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Victoria election 2026: Labor and Greens trade accusations of ‘dodgy deals’ as preferences squabble puts key seats on the line

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Cite

correspondent, B. K. V. s. (2026, November 13). Victoria election 2026: Labor and Greens trade accusations of ‘dodgy deals’ as preferences squabble puts key seats on the line. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/nov/13/victoria-state-election-2026-labor-greens-preference-deals-seats

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Guardian · collected 2026-11-13 · by Benita Kolovos Victorian state correspondent

Quick Summary

The Greens have announced they will refuse to direct preferences to the Labor Party in 15 Victorian electorates ahead of the November 28 election. This move follows Labor's decision to run an open ticket in the inner-city seat of Prahran, a seat currently held by the Liberals on a 1.3 per cent margin. Both parties have traded accusations of "dodgy deals," with Labor claiming the Greens are helping a Liberal-One Nation coalition and the Greens accusing Labor of making backroom deals with the Liberals.
Written by AI on 2026-11-13, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 21% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
ABC News (AU)
Hedges 1 of 112 claims Outlet record 67/100
“Article A discusses a specific conflict between Labor and the Greens regarding electoral preferences, while Article B provides a general guide to minor parties in the election.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
Leans right Hedges 4 of 18 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the election strategy and preferences among political parties, but do not clearly refer to the same specific incident or time.”
The Guardian
Leans strongly left Hedges 3 of 21 claims Outlet record 65/100
“The articles discuss related events but do not clearly describe the same specific incident occurring at the same time and place.”
ABC News (AU)
Leans left Hedges 3 of 24 claims Outlet record 67/100
“While both articles discuss the political conflict between Labor and the Greens during the Victorian election, they describe different stages or aspects of the event.”

Story

Victoria election 2026 Labor and Greens trade accusations
Other · 1 article(s) covering the same event.
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
24
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
21%
5 of 24 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
65/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Other
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-13 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 3465 article(s) · 7 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 7 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Benita Kolovos Victorian state correspondent
12 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
The move has sparked a war of words between the two parties, with each accusing the other of striking a “dodgy deal” that could help the Liberals and One Nation get elected on 28 November.
The Victorian Greens say Labor’s “frankly unforgivable” decision not to preference the minor party in a key inner-city seat could hand the upcoming election to a Liberal-One Nation coalition.
George Hasanakos, DemosAU’s head of research, said if the poll were replicated on election night then many contests across the state would be between the Liberals or Nationals and One Nation, which would then result in a “clear Coalition majority”. “If that happens, One Nation has to poll really, really well to have a chance of winning, because Labor and Greens preferences will flow to the Liberals,” he said.
One Nation’s federal leader, Pauline Hanson, and Victorian deputy leader, Colleen Harkin, were expected to visit the man in hospital on Tuesday morning.
No further action is expected to be taken.
She said it would cost $136m over four years but admitted it was a “ballpark” figure that would depend on how many babies were born each year. “We don’t go hard on figures, because we actually don’t have access to the detail of this stuff,” Harkin told reporters.
Dave Hughes says he will no longer be taking the stage at Victorian Liberal events, claiming the party decided having him on the bill could run afoul of the state’s political donation laws.
The first briefing, which Allan did not sign, warned that the industrial relations environment on MTIA projects had become “highly challenging,” with an increase in “concerning behaviour” that could “significantly impact project costs and schedule”.
Datacentres in Victoria will be banned in residential areas and required to use renewable energy and contribute to the community, under new state government rules.
A re-elected Victorian Labor government will create two new Australian-first offences aimed at closing “loopholes” it says have allowed perpetrators of family violence to escape punishment.
Also by Benita Kolovos Victorian state correspondent
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 12 articles by Benita Kolovos Victorian state correspondent →

Topics

Greens Labor Liberal Liberals One Nation

Subjects

Greens ORG · 15× Labor ORG · 14× Liberal NORP · 5× Liberals NORP · 5× One Nation ORG · 5× Victorian NORP · 3× Ashwood GPE · 2× Bellarine GPE · 2× Ellen Sandell PERSON · 2× Victoria GPE · 2×

Narrative

A Labor spokesperson turned the accusation back on the Greens on Friday, mirroring Sandell’s language. “In one of the most consequential elections in Victoria’s history – the Greens have done a dodgy deal to help elect a Liberal One-Nation Government,” the spokesperson said.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-13
The move has sparked a war of words between the two parties, with each accusing the other of striking a “dodgy deal” that could help the Liberals and One Nation get elected on 28 November.

Claims (24 extracted, 5 hedged)

The Greens have retaliated against Labor’s decision to run an open ticket in a key inner-city seat by refusing to direct preferences to the party in 15 electorates across the state at this month’s Victorian election. asserted
Greens → retaliate → election
The move has sparked a war of words between the two parties, with each accusing the other of striking a “dodgy deal” that could help the Liberals and One Nation get elected on 28 November. uncertain
Liberals → spark → November
On Friday, the Greens confirmed they would only be directing voters to number the Greens one and One Nation last across 15 electorates. asserted
they → confirm → electorates
The decision follows Labor’s decision on Tuesday to run an open ticket in the inner Melbourne seat of Prahran, where the Greens had been counting on Labor preferences to win it back. asserted
Greens → follow → it
It has been held by the Liberals on a tiny 1.3 per cent margin – after the Greens lost it at a byelection in 2025. asserted
Greens → hold → 2025
At the time, Greens leader Ellen Sandell told Guardian Australia Labor’s “unforgivable” decision could hand the upcoming election to a Liberal-One Nation coalition. uncertain
decision → tell → coalition
A Labor spokesperson turned the accusation back on the Greens on Friday, mirroring Sandell’s language. “In one of the most consequential elections in Victoria’s history – the Greens have done a dodgy deal to help elect a Liberal One-Nation Government,” the spokesperson said. asserted
spokesperson → turn → Government
“This is unforgivable and Victorians won’t forget it’s Ellen Sandell and the Greens to blame when Jess Wilson cuts our hospitals and schools – and One Nation winds back our nation leading reforms on women’s rights and Treaty.” asserted
Nation → forget → rights
The Greens responded by accusing Labor of “lying to Victorian voters”. asserted
Greens → respond → voters
“The Greens will be putting One Nation last in every single electorate across Victoria. asserted
Greens → put → Victoria
We always encourage people to vote in line with their values,” their spokesperson said. asserted
spokesperson → encourage → values
“After months of scaremongering about a Liberal-One Nation government, it is Labor who have done a dodgy backroom deal with the Liberals that could help elect one.” uncertain
that → scaremongere → one
The 15 electorates where the Greens will issue these how-to-vote cards are: Albert Park, Ashwood, Bellarine, Bendigo East, Bendigo West, Essendon, Euroa, Gippsland East, Mildura, Mornington, Point Cook, Polwarth, South Barwon, Tarneit, Werribee. asserted
Greens → issue → cards
Labor fears the decision will particularly hurt their chances in Albert Park, Ashwood, Bellarine, the two Bendigo seats vacated by former premier Jacinta Allan and speaker Maree Edwards, and South Barwon. asserted
decision → fear → Allan
The Coalition, meanwhile, is quietly confident it will improving its chances of fending off One Nation and snatching seats from Labor. asserted
it → improve → Labor
However, Tony Barry the Liberal strategist turned pollster with Redbridge and co-host of Guardian Australia’s Back to Back Barries podcast, said most Greens voters don’t closely follow their party’s how-to-vote cards. asserted
voters → turn → cards
“Historical preference flows from past state and federal elections shows about 85% of exhausted Greens votes flows to Labor and about 15% leakage to the Coalition and that rarely changes regardless of the particular circumstances,” Barry said. asserted
Barry → show → circumstances
But he said in Essendon, where Labor candidate Kat Theodosis is contesting the seat following Danny Pearson’s retirement, in a complex race involving the Liberals, One Nation and three independents candidates, it “might be enough to flip the seat to the Liberals.” Meanwhile, the conservative Family First party is directing its preferences to Labor candidates affiliated with the Shop, Distributive and Allied Employees’ Association (SDA), placing them second on their how-to-vote cards. uncertain
party → say → cards
The cards feature an image of a baby next to the Labor candidate name with claims they have a “pro-life voting record”. uncertain
they → feature → record
It prompted Pasoce Vale MP Anthony Cianflone, who is in a tight race against the Greens’ Angelica Panopoulos, to post a statement on social media saying he supported “women’s right to make their own decisions about their bodies and healthcare”. asserted
he → prompt → bodies
“That’s why I have supported the Victorian Labor government’s reforms protecting these rights” asserted
I → ’ → rights
Family First have also preferenced Matthew Guy last in his safe Liberal seat of Bulleen. asserted
First → preference → Bulleen
The party’s state leader, Moira Deeming, was disendorsed as a Liberal candidate after alleging Guy had placed her in a headlock earlier this year. asserted
Guy → disendorse → headlock
Deeming later conceded she misunderstood the technical meaning of “headlock”. asserted
she → concede → headlock
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