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Victorian Labor’s ‘unforgivable’ preferences decision risks Liberal-One Nation government, Greens warn

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correspondent, B. K. V. s. (2026, November 10). Victorian Labor’s ‘unforgivable’ preferences decision risks Liberal-One Nation government, Greens warn. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/nov/11/labor-decision-greens-preference-one-nation-battleground-seat-prahran-ntwnfb

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The Guardian · collected 2026-11-10 · by Benita Kolovos Victorian state correspondent

Quick Summary

The Victorian Greens are criticizing Labor for not directing preferences to them in the key inner-city seat of Prahran, which could help a Liberal-One Nation coalition win the upcoming election. The Greens' leader Ellen Sandell claims this decision is "frankly unforgivable" and could lead to One Nation holding the balance of power. In the 2025 byelection for Prahran, the Greens received a significant swing but lost due to factors including low voter turnout and unfavorable preference flows from other candidates. Labor’s open ticket strategy in Prahran and neighboring Caulfield is seen as potentially aiding the Liberals and One Nation, despite Labor's message to voters to prioritize their own candidates.
Written by AI on 2026-11-10, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

The Victorian Greens have criticized Labor for its decision not to preference their party in the key inner-city seat of Prahran, warning that this could result in a Liberal-One Nation coalition government. On Tuesday, Ellen Sandell, leader of the Greens, described Labor’s open ticket strategy as "frankly unforgivable," highlighting concerns over the upcoming election. In Prahran, currently held by the Liberals with a narrow 1.3% margin, Labor's how-to-vote material will encourage voters to place their candidate first but leave preference allocation up to voters, potentially aiding One Nation and the Liberals instead of the Greens. The Greens previously lost this seat in a 2025 byelection due to a combination of factors including low voter turnout and unfavorable preferences from other candidates like former Labor MP Tony Lupton who contested as an independent.

Written for “Victorian Labor's Preferences Decision” on 2026-11-10, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans strongly left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans strongly left for article 141853 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-11-10

Story

Victorian Labor's Preferences Decision
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly left and hedges 14% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
Leans right further right than this Hedges 4 of 18 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles describe different aspects of electoral strategy decisions by opposing political parties, rather than the same specific incident.”
The Guardian
Leans left further right than this Hedges 0 of 26 claims Outlet record 65/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the Victorian election context, with Article A focusing on poll results and concerns among Labor MPs, while Article B focuses on a decision regarding preferences in a specific seat.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
Leans right further right than this Hedges 1 of 28 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles discuss different political actions in distinct regions and contexts: one focuses on a 'anyone but Labor' campaign by shooting groups targeting several seats, while the other highlights Victorian Greens’ concern over Labor's preference decision in Prahran.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
21
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
14%
3 of 21 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans strongly left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
65/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-10 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 3203 article(s) · 7 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 7 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Benita Kolovos Victorian state correspondent
11 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
The Victorian Greens say Labor’s “frankly unforgivable” decision not to preference the minor party in a key inner-city seat could hand the upcoming election to a Liberal-One Nation coalition.
George Hasanakos, DemosAU’s head of research, said if the poll were replicated on election night then many contests across the state would be between the Liberals or Nationals and One Nation, which would then result in a “clear Coalition majority”. “If that happens, One Nation has to poll really, really well to have a chance of winning, because Labor and Greens preferences will flow to the Liberals,” he said.
One Nation’s federal leader, Pauline Hanson, and Victorian deputy leader, Colleen Harkin, were expected to visit the man in hospital on Tuesday morning.
No further action is expected to be taken.
She said it would cost $136m over four years but admitted it was a “ballpark” figure that would depend on how many babies were born each year. “We don’t go hard on figures, because we actually don’t have access to the detail of this stuff,” Harkin told reporters.
Dave Hughes says he will no longer be taking the stage at Victorian Liberal events, claiming the party decided having him on the bill could run afoul of the state’s political donation laws.
The first briefing, which Allan did not sign, warned that the industrial relations environment on MTIA projects had become “highly challenging,” with an increase in “concerning behaviour” that could “significantly impact project costs and schedule”.
Datacentres in Victoria will be banned in residential areas and required to use renewable energy and contribute to the community, under new state government rules.
A re-elected Victorian Labor government will create two new Australian-first offences aimed at closing “loopholes” it says have allowed perpetrators of family violence to escape punishment.
Pauline Hanson announced who would be her party’s upper house candidates and Victorian leader, Warren Pickering, at a press conference last month.
Also by Benita Kolovos Victorian state correspondent
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 11 articles by Benita Kolovos Victorian state correspondent →

Topics

Greens Labor Liberal Liberals Prahran

Subjects

Labor ORG · 15× Greens NORP · 5× Liberal NORP · 4× Liberals ORG · 4× One Nation ORG · 4× Prahran GPE · 4× Caulfield GPE · 3× Victorian NORP · 3× Sandell PERSON · 2× Ellen Sandell PERSON · 1×

Narrative

On Tuesday, the Liberals and Nationals also confirmed they would exchange preferences with One Nation, with the opposition leader, Jess Wilson, telling reporters how-to-vote cards for Coalition candidates would instruct voters to put Labor, the Greens and the Victorian Socialists “at the bottom of the ticket, and all other parties above that”.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-10
The Victorian Greens say Labor’s “frankly unforgivable” decision not to preference the minor party in a key inner-city seat could hand the upcoming election to a Liberal-One Nation coalition.

Claims (21 extracted, 3 hedged)

The Victorian Greens say Labor’s “frankly unforgivable” decision not to preference the minor party in a key inner-city seat could hand the upcoming election to a Liberal-One Nation coalition. uncertain
decision → say → coalition
The party’s leader, Ellen Sandell, lambasted Labor’s decision on Tuesday to run an open ticket in Prahran, an inner Melbourne seat currently held by the Liberals’ Rachel Westaway on a tiny 1.3% margin. asserted
leader → lambast → margin
It means Labor’s how-to-vote material will encourage voters to place their candidate, Meghan Hopper, first on the ballot but will not direct them how to allocate their remaining preferences. asserted
material → mean → preferences
Instead, the remaining boxes on its how-to-vote material will probably remain blank. asserted
boxes → remain → material
Labor preferences are key to the Greens cinching back the seat, which they lost in a 2025 byelection. asserted
they → cinch → byelection
The Greens received a 13.4% swing at the poll, with the result influenced by several factors, including Labor’s decision not to field a candidate, low voter turnout, a well-resourced campaign urging voters to put them last and unfavourable preference flows from other candidates. asserted
result → receive → candidates
This included the former Labor MP Tony Lupton, who contested the byelection as an independent. asserted
who → include → independent
Sandell told Guardian Australia Labor was “showing its true colours” by running an open ticket, as it could inadvertently help the Liberals and One Nation not only secure the seat but also government. uncertain
Liberals → tell → seat
“After months of scaremongering about a Liberal-One Nation government, Labor is now using its preferences to help elect one,” she said. asserted
she → scaremongere → one
The result may come down to a single seat, and a divisive party like One Nation could hold the balance of power. uncertain
party → come → power
“It is frankly unforgivable that Labor would do a dodgy back-room deal to help elect a Liberal-One Nation government – and it’s something that Victorian voters will not easily forget.” asserted
voters → do → that
Sandell said Labor voters would be also “shocked” to see the party refusing to preference a “local, progressive Greens woman in Prahran”, Angelica Di Camillo, who also ran at the byelection. asserted
who → say → byelection
Labor is also running an open ticket in the neighbouring seat of Caulfield, held by the Liberals’ David Southwick on a 2.1% margin. asserted
Labor → run → margin
But it is expected Southwick will see a swing in his favour and comfortably retain the seat. asserted
Southwick → expect → seat
It is understood the local campaigns in Prahran and Caulfield requested the open ticket arrangement, which is consistent with the position Labor took at the 2025 federal election in the overlapping seat of Macnamara, held by Josh Burns, amid the height of the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza. asserted
Labor → understand → Gaza
A Labor spokesperson said: “Our message is simple: put a 1 next to Labor candidates everywhere. asserted
message → say → candidates
We’re fighting for majority government.” asserted
We → fight → government
Caulfield is home to Victoria’s largest Jewish community, which also extends into St Kilda East in the Prahran electorate. asserted
which → extend → electorate
On Tuesday, the Liberals and Nationals also confirmed they would exchange preferences with One Nation, with the opposition leader, Jess Wilson, telling reporters how-to-vote cards for Coalition candidates would instruct voters to put Labor, the Greens and the Victorian Socialists “at the bottom of the ticket, and all other parties above that”. asserted
cards → confirm → that
Just hours after Wilson confirmed the position, One Nation moved to disendorse its Preston candidate, Franco Guardiani, over tweets, including one that described Hitler as the “GOAT”, an acronym which stands for greatest of all time. asserted
which → confirm → time
The Victorian Liberal Senator Jane Hume told ABC’s Afternoon Briefing Guardiani’s tweets were “vile” and confirmed he would be last on the party’s how-to-vote material in the electorate. asserted
he → tell → electorate
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