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Fox News Voter Poll: 2026 midterm elections usher in a blue wave as Democrats win control of Congress

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Fox News Polling Unit. (2026, November 4). Fox News Voter Poll: 2026 midterm elections usher in a blue wave as Democrats win control of Congress. Fox News. https://www.foxnews.com/politics/voter-poll-2026-midterm-elections-usher-blue-wave-democrats-win-control-congress

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Fox News · collected 2026-11-04 · by Fox News Polling Unit analysis

Quick Summary

Fox News released a voter poll showing Democrats winning control of both houses of Congress in the 2026 midterm elections, marking a significant shift from the previous election results. According to the poll conducted between October 19 and November 3, 2026, Democrats secured a 54-seat majority in the Senate and 228 seats in the House, while one Senate race in Alaska remained too close to call. The poll highlights voter discontent over economic issues, government corruption, and U.S.-Iran relations, contributing to Democratic gains particularly among suburban voters, women, Hispanics, and young people.
Written by AI on 2026-11-05, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of November 3, 2026, the U.S. midterm elections concluded with a decisive victory for the Democratic Party, which took control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate, stripping President Donald Trump's Republican party of their majorities in Congress. Democrats secured over 260 seats in the House and at least 56 seats in the Senate, marking a significant shift from previous expectations that they would only capture one chamber.

The elections were held amid rising concerns about affordability issues under Trump’s presidency, despite his reassurances to the contrary. Voter turnout was near-record high, with over 122 million ballots counted, reflecting widespread dissatisfaction among Americans with the state of the country and policies enacted during Trump's term.

Political analysts had initially predicted a challenging path for Democrats due to factors like voter fatigue and regional strongholds traditionally supporting Republicans. However, Democratic candidates performed exceptionally well across several previously Republican-held states such as Texas, South Carolina, and Kansas.

This outcome could significantly impact U.S. domestic policy over the next two years but may also escalate existing trade tensions and conflicts with global partners like China, given Trump’s continued hardline stance on foreign relations despite the new political landscape in Washington.

Written for “US Midterm Elections Results” on 2026-11-05, grounded in this article and the 721 other(s) covering the same event.
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The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans left for article 129293 (high confidence, 3 verified quotes) · logged 2026-11-05

Story

📰 US Midterm Elections Results
Politics · 722 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
New York Post
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 4 of 30 claims Outlet record 66/100
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 19 claims Outlet record 59/100
“Article A reports on Nate Silver's update to his midterm election predictions, while Article B describes the actual results of the midterm elections based on a Fox News poll.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 6 of 39 claims Outlet record 66/100
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 81 claims Outlet record 59/100
CBS News
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 65/100
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 3 claims Outlet record 69/100
“Article A discusses potential changes in election laws if Democrats win control of battleground states, while Article B reports on the actual results of the midterm elections where Democrats won control of Congress.”
ABC News (US)
Hedges 0 of 1 claims Outlet record 67/100
“The articles describe different but related events: a summary of midterms' state and a report on final election outcomes.”
Al Jazeera
Hedges 6 of 44 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the midterm elections; Article A discusses voter sentiment and poll results about various issues, while Article B reports on the outcome of the election itself.”
ABC News (US)
Hedges 0 of 1 claims Outlet record 67/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the election day and its outcomes; one is a general overview of race status before voting, while the other reports results after.”
Reason
Hedges 6 of 49 claims Outlet record 67/100
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Claims extracted
124
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 124 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
68/100
Fox News's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
722
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
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Fox News · 6677 article(s) · 13 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 13 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Fox News Polling Unit
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Graham did manage to hang on to non-MAGA Republican voters, amid concerns that they would defect.
🔮 Democrats also held an advantage when it came to which party would do a better job handling six of the eight issues tested, though often by modest margins.
Wire or desk byline, not an individual reporter.
Also by Fox News Polling Unit
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Democratic Democrats House Republicans Senate

Subjects

Democrats NORP · 10× House ORG · 8× Republicans NORP · 8× Democratic NORP · 6× Harris PERSON · 5× Republican NORP · 5× Trump PERSON · 5× Senate ORG · 4× Hispanic NORP · 3× MAGA ORG · 2×

Narrative

Survey weights adjust to population totals for demographic and geographic characteristics, as well as voter-specific information including partisanship, and, once votes are counted, the results are weighted to the national popular vote for the House of Representatives.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-05
🔮 Democrats also held an advantage when it came to which party would do a better job handling six of the eight issues tested, though often by modest margins.

Claims (124 extracted, 0 hedged)

In a historic midterm election, Democrats swept both the House and Senate, riding a blue wave spurred by widespread voter discontent. asserted
Democrats → sweep → discontent
The economy, government corruption, war in Iran and increasingly negative views of President Donald Trump's job performance created a perfect storm for Democrats to flip Senate seats in Republican stronghold states. asserted
Democrats → create → states
At the time of publication, Democrats hold a 54-seat majority in the Senate and have secured 228 seats in the house. asserted
Democrats → hold → house
The tossup Senate race in Alaska remains too close to call at this time. asserted
race → remain → time
The Fox News Voter Poll surveyed more than 100,000 registered voters nationwide from Oct. 19 to Nov. 3, 2026, combining online and telephone interviews with in-person surveys of Election Day voters. asserted
Poll → survey → voters
After the strong rightward shifts in the 2024 election, this year’s midterms marked a turn back to the left. asserted
midterms → mark → left
The electorate remained divided by community type, gender, and education, a pattern that has become commonplace in recent elections. asserted
that → remain → elections
Suburban and urban voters, women and Hispanics sided with Democrats, while rural voters, men and voters without a college degree favored Republicans. asserted
voters → side → Republicans
Groups that helped power Trump’s 2024 win — namely rural, Hispanic, young, and independent voters — moved decidedly toward Democrats. asserted
that → power → Democrats
A pivotal group in his win, rural voters backed Trump by 28 points in 2024. asserted
voters → back → 2024
That advantage dropped by 10 points, to just 18 points in favor of Republican House candidates. asserted
advantage → drop → candidates
Republicans underperformed among rural women. asserted
Republicans → underperform → women
After Trump carried them by 21 points in 2024, Republican House candidates led among them by 8 points this year, an 13-point decline. asserted
candidates → carry → decline
At the same time, suburban women marched firmly toward Democrats. asserted
women → march → Democrats
Harris won them by a 14-point margin, and they broke for Democratic House candidates by 24 points. asserted
they → win → points
That shift extended beyond community divides. asserted
shift → extend → divides
Hispanic voters, who showed surprising support for Trump two years ago, backed Democratic House candidates by 27 points, after breaking for Harris by just 12 points. asserted
who → show → points
This was driven largely by Hispanic men, who after narrowly voting for Harris by 2 points in 2024, sided with the Democrats by 15 points. asserted
who → drive → points
Young voters also followed a similar pattern. asserted
voters → follow → pattern
Often considered a reliable Democratic voting bloc, those under age 30 defied conventional wisdom and narrowly backed Harris by 4 points in 2024. asserted
those → consider → 2024
Now, they backed Democratic House candidates by nearly 3-to-1. asserted
they → back → 3
Young men made a complete reversal in their party preference, going from a 15-point margin for Trump to a 33-point margin for the Democratic House candidates, a 48-point swing. Slightly more Democrats than Republicans backed their party’s House candidates. asserted
Democrats → make → candidates
While there was a small amount of defection on the right, the bigger move came from the middle. asserted
move → be → middle
Independents backed Democratic candidates by 22 points, a 16-point shift from 2024, when they backed Harris by just 6 points. asserted
they → back → points
Within the Republican Party, the divide between MAGA and non-MAGA Republicans widened. asserted
divide → widen → MAGA
A narrow majority of Republicans (54%) considered themselves MAGA, and they voted almost unanimously for Republican candidates (99%). asserted
they → consider → candidates
Fewer non-MAGA Republicans stayed with their party (85%). asserted
Republicans → stay → party
Beyond the demographic shifts, this was an election cycle marked by voter pessimism, economic frustration, and disillusionment with the Republican brand. asserted
this → mark → brand
Voters cast their ballots with a bleak view of the country in their minds. asserted
Voters → cast → minds
Three-quarters said they felt dissatisfied or angry about how things were going, while just a quarter were satisfied or enthusiastic. asserted
quarter → say → ?
The anger divides along partisan lines: more than 6 in 10 Democrats were angry with how things were going, compared with 1 in 10 Republicans and more than a third of independents. asserted
things → divide → independents
This is a reversal from the 2022 midterms, when roughly half of Republicans were angry, compared with 15% of Democrats and 27% of independents. asserted
half → compare → independents
Frustration with the present extended into the future. asserted
Frustration → extend → future
Half said they expected life for the next generation to be worse than life today, twice the share who expected it to be better. asserted
it → say → life
Voters took those frustrations out on the president. asserted
Voters → take → president
Trump’s job approval stood at 38%-62%, a net rating of -24, and that disapproval was intense. asserted
disapproval → stand → -24
More than half strongly disapproved of his job performance, double the number who strongly approved. asserted
who → disapprove → performance
More said they cast their House vote to express opposition to him than to support him, nearly a 3-to-1 margin. asserted
they → say → him
Part of that opposition came from a sense that Trump did not understand what voters were going through. asserted
voters → come → what
More voters said Trump prioritized his own personal interests than the country’s. asserted
Trump → say → country
…and 84 more, not listed.
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