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‘Discontent and distrust’: annual social cohesion checkup shows exactly what’s making Australia angry

Read the original at The Guardian ↗
Cite

Butler, J., & Hohnen, M. (2026, November 4). ‘Discontent and distrust’: annual social cohesion checkup shows exactly what’s making Australia angry. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/nov/04/social-cohesion-report-australia-cost-of-living-economy-immigration-multiculturalism-ai-ntwnfb

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Guardian · collected 2026-11-04 · by Josh Butler, Mike Hohnen

Quick Summary

The annual Scanlon report on social cohesion reveals that despite high support for immigration and multiculturalism, Australians feel increasingly poorer and pessimistic about their future. Economic pressures are causing discontent and distrust, with hardship-driven voters turning towards One Nation. Though social cohesion remains steady at 78 out of 100 since 2023, concerns over antisemitism and Islamophobia have risen. The report finds nearly one-third of respondents expect worsening conditions in the next four years, up from 29% last year, with pessimism about Australia’s future increasing to 48%.
Written by AI on 2026-11-05, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of November 4, 2026, The Scanlon Foundation's latest report with the Australian National University, based on surveys of over 10,000 people, reveals a significant rise in negative attitudes towards immigration and multiculturalism among Australians. While support for immigration remains high overall, confidence in these policies has dipped, with more Australians than ever thinking immigration levels are too high. The report also highlights that financial hardship is driving voters away from traditional parties like Labor and the Coalition to One Nation led by Pauline Hanson. Despite rising concerns about antisemitism and Islamophobia, social cohesion in Australia remains steady, though economic pressures and distrust in government are increasing.

Written for “Australian Immigration Backlash Increases” on 2026-11-05, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.35, but every quote it verified points right, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 128914: score contradicts its own evidence · logged 2026-11-05

Story

📰 Australian Immigration Backlash Increases
Politics · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 6% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ Leans strongly right Hedges 1 of 39 claims Outlet record 61/100
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
49
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
6%
3 of 49 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
66/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-05 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 2985 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Josh Butler
22 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 About one in five reported they sometimes had to go without medicine or healthcare, could not afford to heat or cool their homes, or had to ask friends or family to borrow money.
🔮 Just 12% of voters in October’s poll said they regularly wagered on horse races and would bet on Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup, down 5 points from 2025.
🔮 Altering copyright law to allow AI companies to scrape music, books and journalism could trigger a constitutional breach, Coalition senators and the recording industry have warned, as they raise new fears it could open Australia to massive legal action and compensation claims from rights holders worldwide.
🔮 The secretary of the defence department approved a senior official’s controversial idea to tell a Senate hearing that footage of public servants giving evidence should not be shared on social media because it could invite online bullying and raise national security concerns.
🔮 The digital duty of care bill passed the House of Representatives on Wednesday and will be debated by the Senate in coming weeks.
🔮 But Australians are still not convinced One Nation or the Coalition would do a better job than the current government, with Labor still the most trusted party on the economy and managing the country.
🔮 Security agencies will review safety precautions for MPs’ homes and offices after numerous federal politicians told police and Asio in safety briefings that they were worried about widening threats after the alleged attack on Helen Haines.
🔮 At his first speech to the national press club on Wednesday, he said he wasn’t launching a bid for prime minister – no matter how much some people might like the softly spoken senator to have more say in federal politics.
🔮 Whether you agree with her or you don’t on issues, you would be proud to see how she approaches issues in the Parliament; with compassion, with rigour, everything that you would want from a politician.”
🔮 Nine newspapers reported last week that seven party members had demanded an investigation into allegations Steel-John had acted inappropriately towards women between 2017 and 2025. Steele-John, in his Sunday night statement, said he was not on leave, contrary to Shoebridge’s comments last week, and claimed he had been pressured by the leader to request leave on Thursday as Nine’s story was breaking. “I feel that he used those meetings to repeatedly pressure me to say that I would take leave,” Steele-John said on Sunday.
Also by Josh Butler
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 22 articles by Josh Butler →
Mike Hohnen
1 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 About one in five reported they sometimes had to go without medicine or healthcare, could not afford to heat or cool their homes, or had to ask friends or family to borrow money.
The only article under this byline in the corpus.

Topics

Australia Australians One Nation Scanlon the Australian National University

Subjects

Australians NORP · 8× Scanlon ORG · 5× Australia GPE · 4× James O’Donnell PERSON · 1× One Nation ORG · 1× O’Donnell PERSON · 1× the Australian National University ORG · 1× the Scanlon Foundation ORG · 1×

Narrative

The Scanlon report found this is changing votes. “Among people who voted for Labor or the Coalition at the 2025 federal election, we estimate that 47% who are experiencing financial hardship now prefer some other party or candidate compared with 36% of people who reported no hardship,” it said, with most of that vote shifting to One Nation.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-05
🔮 About one in five reported they sometimes had to go without medicine or healthcare, could not afford to heat or cool their homes, or had to ask friends or family to borrow money.

Claims (49 extracted, 3 hedged)

The vast majority of Australians support immigration and multiculturalism despite more feeling poorer – and increasingly pessimistic and distrustful of government, the annual Scanlon report on social cohesion has revealed. asserted
report → support → cohesion
People are more worried about artificial intelligence than climate change or going to war, but a global economic downturn and cost-of-living pressures are Australians’ key concerns. asserted
downturn → go → living
Economic pain is also changing the way people vote, with people suffering hardship jumping ship to One Nation, according to the report, which is one of the country’s most extensive social research projects. uncertain
which → change → projects
But, despite rising concern about antisemitism and Islamophobia, social cohesion in Australia has actually remained steady. asserted
cohesion → rise → Australia
The lead author of the report concedes many findings are cause for concern, but notes support for multiculturalism and diversity remains high, as does the sense of connection Australians feel to their communities. asserted
Australians → concede → communities
“People are clearly under pressure with economic pressures, there’s discontent and distrust, people are blaming immigration … but we don’t necessarily see a permanence to that,” said Dr James O’Donnell from the Australian National University. asserted
O’Donnell → ’ → University
“It’s not just that people are getting angry generally. asserted
people → ’ → ?
They’re really under pressure and that plays out in different ways.” asserted
that → ’re → ways
More than 10,000 Australians were asked 100 questions by the Scanlon Foundation on topics ranging from life satisfaction and financial circumstances to voting intent. asserted
Australians → ask → intent
The report found happiness had declined most for millennials and generation Xers. asserted
happiness → find → millennials
The headline figure, the Scanlon index of social cohesion, remained at 78 out of 100 – a consistent figure since 2023. asserted
figure → remain → 2023
The philanthropy organisation calculates this number through data about Australians’ sense of belonging, worth, social inclusion and justice, participation in society, and attitudes about acceptance. asserted
organisation → calculate → acceptance
“The really important stuff for social cohesion – the sense of belonging and acceptance – a lot of that is built into our daily life. asserted
lot → build → life
There’s a resilience to that; we’re still volunteering, there’s a high level of trust in the people around us and local communities,” O’Donnell said. asserted
O’Donnell → ’ → us
But Scanlon concedes this headline number can “disguise” important shifts in individual numbers, including “increasing strain on Australia’s social cohesion”. asserted
number → concede → cohesion
Despite the index remaining static, 62% of adults believe social cohesion has declined in recent years. asserted
cohesion → remain → years
Nearly one-third of respondents expect their lives to get worse over the next four years. asserted
lives → expect → years
That’s up from 29% last year. asserted
That → ’ → %
While 79% of people said they had been happy in the past year – a number which has remained stable since 2021 – 48% said they were pessimistic about Australia’s future. asserted
they → say → future
The Scanlon report said happiness had declined the most for millennials (born between 1981 and 1996) and gen X (born 1965-1980). asserted
happiness → say → 1981
“Since 2014, the proportion of Millennials who are happy or very happy declined from 84% to 75%, while the proportion who are unhappy or very unhappy increased from 16% to 25%. asserted
who → decline → %
Among Gen X, the proportion who are unhappy or very unhappy increased from 19% to 23%,” the report said. asserted
report → increase → %
Economic pressures ‘harmful to social cohesion’ Cost of living was by far the most-cited issue facing Australia, with 36% of people rating it as their top issue. asserted
% → cite → issue
On a different measure, about “major issues” facing the nation, 77% of Australians were concerned about a severe global economic downturn. asserted
% → face → downturn
Scanlon warned many Australians were facing financial stress in ways which were “likely harmful to social cohesion”. asserted
which → warn → cohesion
While 10% described themselves as “poor”, 13% said they had gone without food at least sometimes, and struggled to pay their rent or mortgage on time. asserted
they → describe → time
About one in five reported they sometimes had to go without medicine or healthcare, could not afford to heat or cool their homes, or had to ask friends or family to borrow money. uncertain
they → report → money
Another 16% said they’d had to sell possessions because they needed cash. asserted
they → say → cash
While the social cohesion index remained steady, several key measures of cultural diversity have eroded. asserted
measures → remain → diversity
Negative attitudes toward Indian immigrants rose to 33% in 2026, up from 25% in 2024. asserted
attitudes → rise → 2024
In new questions asked in 2026, 36% of people said they had a negative attitude toward immigrants from Israel, 39% toward immigrants from Palestine and 41% toward those from Iran. asserted
they → ask → Iran
Some 18% reported a negative attitude toward Jewish people, up from 13% in 2024, while 43% said the same of Muslim people, up from 33% in 2024. asserted
% → report → 2024
Negative attitudes to Hindus (17%, up from 13%) and Sikhs (20%, up from 14%) also rose since 2024, while negativity toward Christians dropped from 19% to 13%. But public support for multiculturalism, despite a toxic political debate, remains very high. asserted
support → rise → debate
Some 87% of Australians believe immigrants are just as likely to be “good citizens” as Australian-born people, 76% agreed multiculturalism has been good for the nation and 73% agreed immigrants were good for the economy. asserted
immigrants → believe → economy
What is keeping Australians up at night? asserted
What → keep → night
After cost of living (36%), Australians’ top issues fell away quickly, to housing (11%), economic issues and immigration. asserted
issues → fall → housing
When asked about “major issues” facing Australia, 77% were concerned or very concerned about a global economic downturn. asserted
% → ask → downturn
Despite only 1% rating it among their top issues, another 69% said they were worried about artificial intelligence – that ranked above climate change (55%) and a military conflict involving Australia (51%). asserted
that → rat → change
What does it mean for politics? asserted
it → mean → politics
The report cross-references various figures with voting intention. asserted
report → cros → intention
…and 9 more, not listed.
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