Israel election 2026 results live: Exit polls suggest deadlock with Eisenkot’s bloc just ahead of Netanyahu

Read the original at The Independent ↗
Cite

Reynolds, J. C., & Zakir-Hussain, M. (2026, October 27). Israel election 2026 results live: Exit polls suggest deadlock with Eisenkot’s bloc just ahead of Netanyahu. The Independent. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-election-2026-results-netanyahu-trump-iran-live-updates-b3074404.html

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Independent · collected 2026-10-27 · by James C. Reynolds, Maryam Zakir-Hussain

Quick Summary

Israel's election concluded on Tuesday with exit polls indicating a political deadlock between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his main rival, former military chief Gadi Eisenkot. Neither bloc secured the 61 seats required for a parliamentary majority in Israel’s 120-seat Knesset; Netanyahu's bloc won around 50 seats while the opposition bloc took 52-53 seats, with Arab parties securing between 17 to 18 seats. The strong performance by Arab-led parties complicates coalition-building efforts as neither major bloc has previously agreed to form a government with them.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-27, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Israelis voted in a high-stakes election on October 27, with exit polls suggesting no clear winner between Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud-led coalition and the opposition bloc led by Gadi Eisenkot. Initially, both sides claimed victory based on early projections: Eisenkot said millions of Israelis voted for change due to fatigue with Netanyahu’s "lies," while Netanyahu faced accusations of a crushing defeat from his opponents.

Exit polls indicated that Arab parties could win 18 seats in the Knesset, marking a significant surge in voter turnout among Palestinian citizens. This record-high participation reflects a shift towards political engagement by a traditionally marginalized community. The projections show a tied scenario at 51 seats each for Netanyahu's coalition and Eisenkot’s opposition bloc.

With no clear majority, forming a government will require both sides to negotiate coalitions that can secure the required 61 seats in the 120-seat Knesset. This could lead to further political instability as parties attempt to cobble together support from various factions. The election results underscore a divided electorate and highlight ongoing challenges for Israel's future governance.

Written for “Israeli Election Challenges Netenyahu” on 2026-10-28, grounded in this article and the 49 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 110428 · logged 2026-10-27

Story

📰 Israeli Election Challenges Netenyahu
Politics · 50 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 22% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
South China Morning Post · 0.92 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 50% hedged 2 of 4 📰 publisher trust 64
“Both articles describe the same election deadlock in Israel's 2026 national election, with exit polls showing neither Netanyahu nor Eisenkot on track for a majority.”
Euronews · 0.85 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 33% hedged 2 of 6 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles report on the exit polls from the same Israeli election held on 2026-10-27, covering the same political deadlock between Netanyahu and Eisenkot.”
Dawn
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 13% hedged 3 of 23 📰 publisher trust 72
“Both articles describe the same specific Israeli election held on October 27, 2026.”
BBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 24% hedged 8 of 34 📰 publisher trust 69
“Both articles describe the Israel election held on the same day, focusing on the near deadlock between Netanyahu and Eisenkot.”
South China Morning Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 20% hedged 1 of 5 📰 publisher trust 64
“Both articles describe the voting and results of Israel's 2026 election, occurring on the same day.”
New York Post
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 40% hedged 4 of 10 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles describe exit polls from Israel's 2026 election on the same day, showing Netanyahu and Eisenkot in a deadlock with neither side achieving a majority.”
The Hindu · 0.94 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 3 📰 publisher trust 78
“Both articles describe the same Israeli election deadlock on October 27, 2026, based on exit polls indicating neither Netanyahu nor Eisenkot achieving a majority.”
Al Jazeera · 0.89 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 36% hedged 5 of 14 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles report on the exit polls from Israel's 2026 election, showing a deadlock between Netanyahu and Eisenkot.”
Semafor
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 20% hedged 1 of 5 📰 publisher trust 60
“Article A describes the situation before the election, while Article B reports the results of the election.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 7% hedged 3 of 43 📰 publisher trust 68
“Both articles describe the ongoing Israeli election of 2026, specifically referencing Netanyahu's leadership and the aftermath of the October 7, 2023 attack.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
37
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
22%
8 of 37 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
59/100
The Independent's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
50
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-27 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Independent · 3178 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)

Who wrote this

James C. Reynolds
50 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 An inconclusive result would leave Israel in political limbo after the country’s first national election since the October attack in 2023.
🔮 Netanyahu, 77, boasted of his endorsement from Donald Trump on the eve of the election, suggesting that the US president was willing to “finally remove the Iranian threat” but only so long as Netanyahu himself remains in power. But the White House said that the United States would not be attacking Iran “at any time prior to the midterm elections” in November.
🔮 Israelis are set to vote on October 27 in the first national elections since the deadly October 7 attacks, and the devastating Gaza war that followed.
🔮 As many as 70,000 police and gendarmes will be mobilised throughout France to keep order on Saturday, with unions and political parties calling for renewed anti-government protests, after demonstrations last week led to curfews in several cities and thousands of arrests.
🔮 Shopkeepers in Paris have stocked up on self-defence weapons amid fears that planned demonstrations this weekend could turn violent, according to a report.
🔮 The French Interior Ministry also has not addressed whether its agents used the phrase, but did tell the New York Times that enforcement officials may use online personas to speak with people suspected of organising unlawful activities during protests.
🔮 “And when I landed, I felt safe and relieved - I would finally see my family soon.
🔮 Witkoff thanked him for the goodwill gesture.
🔮 Zelensky was blindsided by Trump’s announcement that Washington would lift sanctions on Russia to trade diesel in a bid to bring down US energy prices ahead of the midterm elections next month.
2026-10-16 · assertive framing · Zelensky’s despair as Trump turns towards Russia
🔮 A Treasury department official told the FT the administration was considering allowing the sale of blacklisted vessels to “legitimate” operators and lifting sanctions so they could trade in the global market.
Also by James C. Reynolds
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 50 articles by James C. Reynolds →
Maryam Zakir-Hussain
12 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 An inconclusive result would leave Israel in political limbo after the country’s first national election since the October attack in 2023.
🔮 Reports of explosions, fires and air defence operations circulated on social media, but The Kyiv Independent said it could not independently verify them.
🔮 Togloatti mayor Ilya Sukhikh said several industrial facilities were damaged in the attack.
🔮 French prime minister Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu announced classes would be suspended for the rest of the week in a bid to calm the situation down.
🔮 Student protests have gripped France as thousands have rallied in increasingly violent demonstrations, which are expected to hit a peak today.
🔮 It comes as Benjamin Netanyahu said on Friday that Israel was looking into whether the co-pilot had acted under anyone's direction, warning in a video statement released by his office that whoever was involved would pay a "heavy price".
🔮 The Israeli prime minister said that Israel was looking into whether the co-pilot had acted under anyone's direction, warning in a video statement released by his office that whoever was involved would pay a "heavy price".
🔮 Ukraine has sought to play down the row as a “diplomatic misunderstanding”, but on Friday South Korean president Lee Jae Myung said his country would take “further action” if Kyiv does not apologise and continues to deny the existence of a confidentiality agreement related to the POWs.
🔮 Representatives of all three outlets could be seen working in the White House on Friday afternoon following Trump's post.
🔮 The State Duma election, the first since Russia launched its full-scale war in February 2022, is widely expected to see the ruling pro-Putin United Russia party retain its dominance in Russia's tightly controlled political system.
Also by Maryam Zakir-Hussain
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 12 articles by Maryam Zakir-Hussain →

Topics

Arab Independent Israel Israeli Knesset

Subjects

Netanyahu PERSON · 10× Israel GPE · 5× Arab NORP · 4× Israelis NORP · 4× Gadi Eisenkot PERSON · 3× Israeli NORP · 3× Knesset ORG · 3× Benjamin Netanyahu PERSON · 2× the Central Elections Committee ORG · 2× Independent NORP · 1×

Narrative

Israelis smash turnout records to pass wartime judgment on Netanyahu Israelis streamed to the polls on Tuesday in record numbers to pass wartime judgment on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in what some described as the most consequential election in the nation's history.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-27
🔮 An inconclusive result would leave Israel in political limbo after the country’s first national election since the October attack in 2023.

Claims (37 extracted, 8 hedged)

Israel's election ended in an apparent deadlock on Tuesday, exit polls by major television networks showed, with neither Prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu nor his main rival Gadi Eisenkot on track for a majority. asserted
Netanyahu → end → majority
An inconclusive result would leave Israel in political limbo after the country’s first national election since the October attack in 2023. asserted
result → leave → 2023
The vote served as a referendum on Netanyahu’s wartime leadership. asserted
vote → serve → leadership
Exit polls released by major Israeli TV stations suggest that neither Netanyahu’s political bloc nor that of his main rival, former military chief Gadi Eisenkot, secured the 61 seats needed for a parliamentary majority. asserted
bloc → release → majority
Those polls indicated that Netanyahu's bloc won 50 seats, the opposition won 52-53 and Arab parties won 17-18. asserted
parties → indicate → seats
The strong showing by Arab-led parties could allow them to decide the next prime minister, but both blocs have until now refused to partner with them. uncertain
blocs → lead → them
Netanyahu had been tipped for a stunning defeat in today’s legislative elections despite receiving a glowing endorsement from Donald Trump. asserted
Netanyahu → tip → Trump
Before polls opened, the US president reiterated his “complete and total” support for Netanyahu, writing that he had been “strong, brave and brilliant in the face of tremendous opposition”. asserted
he → open → opposition
Lack of majority could work in Netanyahu's favour The stalemate in today’s election could work in Benjamin Netanyahu's favour, allowing the prime minister to remain in power in a caretaker capacity while parties try to forge a governing coalition. uncertain
parties → work → coalition
Final results could take days, and Israel's fragmented political system leaves smaller parties potential kingmakers. uncertain
system → take → kingmakers
No single party has ever won 61 seats outright in the 120-seat Knesset, making coalitions the norm. Knesset seat projections exit poll According to Israel’s Channel 12 exit poll, the Knesset seat projections are as follows: - Likud - 24 - Yashar - 22 - B’Yaschad - 12 - Joint List - 11 - The Democrats - 9 - Yisrael Beytenu - 9 - Shas - 8 - Ra’am - 7 - Otzma Yehudit - 6 - Religious Zionism - 6 - United Torah Judaism - 6 What have we learned from the exit polls? Exit polls indicated that Netanyahu's bloc won 50 seats, the opposition won 52-53 and Arab parties won 17-18. The strong showing by Arab-led parties could allow them to decide the next prime minister, but both blocs have until now refused to partner with them. uncertain
blocs → win → them
Netanyahu’s fate hangs in the balance Exit polls released by major Israeli TV stations suggest that neither Netanyahu’s political bloc nor that of his main rival, former military chief Gadi Eisenkot, secured the 61 seats needed for a parliamentary majority. asserted
bloc → hang → majority
Preliminary results are expected in the coming hours. asserted
results → expect → hours
Final results are expected in the coming days and may vary from the exit polls. uncertain
results → expect → polls
Exit polls show deadlock with no party on track for majority Israeli election has no clear winner, exit polls indicate, likely meaning weeks of jockeying to form a government. We’ll bring you more as we have it. asserted
we → show → it
Almost three-quarters of Israelis turned out for vote Voter turnout stood at 74.3 per cent as of 8 p.m. — or more than 5.4 million Israelis — according to the Central Elections Committee, up from 66.3 per cent at the same time in the 2022 election. uncertain
turnout → turn → election
Israelis smash turnout records to pass wartime judgment on Netanyahu Israelis streamed to the polls on Tuesday in record numbers to pass wartime judgment on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in what some described as the most consequential election in the nation's history. asserted
some → smash → history
Long lines formed outside polling stations for the first election since the Hamas-led attacks on October 7, 2023, as voters grappled with the trauma of Israel's deadliest day and its ensuing wars in Gaza, Lebanon and Iran. asserted
voters → form → Gaza
The Central Elections Committee reported the turnout at 6 p.m. (1600 GMT) at 66.7%, a record at that point of the day. asserted
Committee → report → day
With four hours left to go, more people had voted than in the entire previous election. asserted
people → leave → election
The policies of Netanyahu's right-wing coalition have been divisive at home and have deepened Israel's international isolation. asserted
policies → deepen → isolation
But he has portrayed himself as the only leader with the mettle to face down Israel's foes Netanyahu urged supporters to come out to vote to balance high turnout among his opponents on the left and Arab Israelis. asserted
Netanyahu → portray → left
"You all need to stream to the polls," he said. asserted
he → need → polls
Watch: Netanyahu claims 'they're trying to steal the election' as Israel goes to the polls The latest: Israelis shatter turnout records to pass wartime judgment on Netanyahu Israelis surged to the polls on Tuesday at a pace that shattered records, to pass wartime judgment on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in what voters described as the most consequential election in the nation's history. uncertain
voters → watch → history
Long lines formed outside polling stations for the first election since the October 7, 2023, Hamas-led attacks, with voters passionately engaged over the trauma of the country's deadliest day and the ensuing wars in Gaza, Lebanon and Iran. asserted
voters → form → Gaza
The Central Elections Committee reported that 44.9% of eligible voters had already cast their ballots within the first seven hours of voting, with eight more hours to go. asserted
% → report → hours
That "broke all records", it said. asserted
it → break → records
Policies of Netanyahu's right-wing coalition have been divisive at home and have deepened Israel's international isolation, while he has defended his record, calling himself the only leader with the mettle to face down Israel's foes. asserted
he → deepen → foes
Netanyahu, Israel's longest-serving leader with 19 years in office, is an unmatched political survivor, and his nationalist politics are increasingly entrenched. asserted
politics → serve → office
Israel's fragmented system makes it difficult for an array of opponents to force out his coalition of right-wing, far-right and ultra-Orthodox parties. asserted
array → make → parties
Miliband 'deeply concerned' after MPs say they were detained on way to West Bank asserted
they → say → Bank
Foreign secretary Ed Miliband said he was “deeply concerned” after MPs said they were detained for eight hours by Israeli authorities and denied entry to the West Bank. asserted
they → say → Bank
Labour’s Clive Lewis and the SNP’s Lara Bird, along with MSP Kate Nevens of the Scottish Greens, said they were interrogated and denied access to the territory on Monday. asserted
they → say → Monday
Mr Miliband told the Commons on Tuesday that the government has now raised the issue with the Israeli authorities. asserted
government → tell → authorities
The MPs had travelled as part of a delegation organised by political group Progressive International. asserted
MPs → travel → International
According to Progressive International, the group – which also included former MP Sam Tarry and Spanish senator Josu Estarrona Elizondo – was stopped while making the crossing from Jordan and had planned to undertake “a programme of meetings with Palestinian academics, students and civil society organisations” as well as join the olive harvest following what it claims are “mounting attacks” against farmers in the territory. uncertain
it → accord → territory
The Israeli embassy said the group were refused entry after “providing false information about the purpose of their visit” and failing to co-operate with officials. asserted
group → say → officials
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