Democracy indicators in US at lowest levels for 50 years, data shows

The Guardian · collected 2026-09-15 · by Jason Burke International security correspondent
Read the original at The Guardian ↗

Summary

According to data from the International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (International IDEA), key indicators of democracy in the US have reached their lowest levels in 50 years, with significant declines noted globally since 2014. The report attributes this downturn partly to actions taken during the Trump administration that undermined judicial independence and press freedom. International IDEA’s annual Global State of Democracy report, which analyzes democratic performance across 174 countries from 1975 onward, highlights a continuous global decline in democracy over the last eleven years, with 2025 marking the eleventh consecutive year showing more declines than improvements.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-16, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
26
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
4%
1 of 26 hedged
Leaning
Leans strongly left
of the writing, not the subject
Correction & hedging signals
59.9
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
2
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-16 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

The International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (IDEA), based in Stockholm, released a report on September 15 indicating that key US democracy indicators such as press freedom and judicial independence have reached their lowest levels in 50 years. IDEA's secretary-general Kevin Casas-Zamora attributed the global impact of this decline to former President Donald Trump’s actions and refusal to accept his election loss, which has emboldened authoritarian leaders worldwide. The report found that 57% of countries studied experienced a decrease in at least one aspect of their democratic health between 2020 and 2025, highlighting a broader trend of declining democracy.

Written for “Decline of Us Democracy” on 2026-09-17, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score -0.65 Confidence high
Leaning score -0.65 for article 10740 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-09-16

Story

📰 Decline of Us Democracy
Politics · 2 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly left and hedges 4% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Straits Times · 0.89 cosine similarity
⚖️ Leans left further right than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 13 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles refer to the same report by the International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance released on September 15, 2026, detailing the decline of US democracy indicators to their lowest levels in half a century.”

Publisher

The Guardian · 337 article(s) · 1 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 1 correction(s)
2026-09-07
Former Louisiana mayor completes 90-day jail term for raping 16-year-old boy

Who wrote this

Jason Burke International security correspondent
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 “I am not willing to say the deterioration of the quality of democracy is inevitable or permanent.
🔮 Bruce Hoffman, a terrorism expert at Georgetown University, said: “I remember [9/11] and this pure chaos and pandemonium in the streets and I remember thinking that we would never lower our guard again and complacency against a threat that is episodic but when it is revealed highly consequential.”
Also by Jason Burke International security correspondent
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

International Idea International Idea’s International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance Stockholm the United States

Subjects

International Idea ORG · 3× Bangladesh GPE · 2× Nepal GPE · 2× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× International Idea’s ORG · 1× International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance ORG · 1× Kevin Casas-Zamora PERSON · 1× Stockholm GPE · 1× Trump PERSON · 1× the United States GPE · 1×

Narrative

The International Idea report did highlight some positive developments, including in Australia – where civil society groups were consulted on an anti-racism strategy and children’s online privacy among other issues – and in Syria, where the repressive dictatorship of Bashar al-Assad was overthrown.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-16
🔮 “I am not willing to say the deterioration of the quality of democracy is inevitable or permanent.
2026-09-16 · The Guardian
Democracy indicators in US at lowest levels for 50 years, data shows · assertive framing

Claims (26 extracted, 1 hedged)

Key indicators of democracy in the US have fallen to their lowest levels in 50 years, with the global rule of law significantly undermined by the Trump administration’s “threats and actions”, data from a leading thinktank shows. asserted
data → fall → thinktank
Around the world, judicial independence, credible elections and freedom of expression, press freedom and access to justice are all at their lowest levels for at least 30 years, according to the Stockholm-based International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (International Idea). uncertain
independence → accord → Democracy
The intergovernmental organisation’s annual Global State of Democracy report is considered the most comprehensive of its kind, covering 174 countries and measuring democratic performance since 1975. asserted
report → consider → 1975
International Idea said the decline in the US was particularly marked, but part of a global trend, with 2025 the 11th consecutive year in which more countries declined than improved democratically – the longest continuous downturn since the thinktank’s records began. asserted
records → say → which
“In 2025, the global challenges to democracy and the difficulty in stemming its erosion were both exemplified and compounded by political developments in the United States,” the report’s authors said. asserted
authors → stem → States
“President Donald Trump quickly amassed power in the executive branch and wielded it to further a narrow set of personal goals and pursue retaliation against perceived enemies … asserted
Trump → amass → enemies
The results have been far-reaching, undermining the rule of law domestically and internationally and testing longstanding alliances and multilateral cooperation.” asserted
results → reach → alliances
Kevin Casas-Zamora, International Idea’s secretary general, warned that the risk of conflict rose as democracies deteriorated. asserted
democracies → warn → conflict
“The key message from our research is that investing in democracy should be at the heart of any country’s security strategy,” he said. asserted
he → invest → strategy
“The connection between the erosion of the quality of democracy and increasing conflict is not being made either in policymaking or in the public debate.” asserted
connection → increase → debate
The separate Uppsala Conflict Data Program, based at Uppsala University in Sweden, shows that 2025 had the most violent conflicts – including the most interstate conflicts – of any year in its dataset, which goes back to 1946. asserted
which → base → 1946
The International Idea report did highlight some positive developments, including in Australia – where civil society groups were consulted on an anti-racism strategy and children’s online privacy among other issues – and in Syria, where the repressive dictatorship of Bashar al-Assad was overthrown. asserted
dictatorship → highlight → Assad
In Bangladesh, Nepal and Sri Lanka, youth-led popular protests unseated long-serving leaders, but, the report noted, “it has proven difficult to create far-reaching, meaningful reform in a short period of time”. asserted
it → lead → time
Casas-Zamora said it was clear that events in the US influenced other countries. asserted
events → say → countries
International Idea added the US to its list of “backsliding” democracies for the first time in 2021, pointing to a “visible deterioration” it said began in 2019. asserted
it → add → 2019
The thinktank bases its assessments on 50 years of democratic indicators, assigning countries to one of three categories: democracies, “hybrid” governments and authoritarian regimes. asserted
thinktank → base → categories
Globally, it found rule of law was the weakest area of democracy in 2025, with 71 countries – 41% of those assessed – ranked as low-performing. asserted
countries → find → those
It was also found to be deteriorating quickly, with 29 countries registering downturns. asserted
countries → find → downturns
“Whatever happens in the US goes global. asserted
happens → happen → US
There is now an epidemic of election denialism, of which the patient zero is the current occupant of the White House,” Casas-Zamor said. asserted
Zamor → be → House
“I am not willing to say the deterioration of the quality of democracy is inevitable or permanent. asserted
deterioration → say → democracy
It can be reversed,” he added. asserted
he → reverse → ?
“We live in a volatile world and that means things can happen which create very positive political openings.” asserted
which → live → openings
Yet, despite the positive signs in Nepal, Bangladesh and elsewhere, the report paints a bleak picture overall. asserted
report → paint → picture
“While people continue to push back against democratic deterioration, civic space is narrowing,” its authors wrote. asserted
authors → continue → deterioration
“Civil society and civic engagement have suffered, due in part to the widespread use of strategic lawsuits against public participation, foreign agent laws, and the criminalisation of peaceful protests.” asserted
society → suffer → protests
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