Tom Chivers
16 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
🔮 An estimated 12.7 million graduates will join the workforce this year, the largest cohort yet.
🔮 Answering that question would win a $1 million Millennium Prize Problem; OpenAI deployed around 10,000 agents of an as-yet unreleased powerful model on Aug. 28, and solved it within 88 hours, proving that the equations sometimes break down under extreme conditions.
🔮 And an underreported — we felt — story was that the disruption to fossil fuel supplies would drive up fertilizer prices.
🔮 Paul Christiano — author of an influential 2016 paper on AI safety with future Anthropic founder Dario Amodei and a longstanding believer that the technology would take off relatively gradually and be made safe — said he now sees “meaningful risk” of “catastrophic and irreversible loss of control in the very near term.”
🔮 “Things could be out of control” by the end of next year, he argued.
🔮 “All it will take is one screw-up,” an immunologist warned.
🔮 The latest strikes were relatively low-key, but the White House is putting pressure on via other angles: The Treasury Secretary is expected to announce new sanctions on countries that deal with Iran.
🔮 LIV Golf, the Saudi-backed challenger to the US PGA Tour, could file for bankruptcy within days, the Financial Times reported, as the kingdom shifts position on several high-profile projects.
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The Aporia
