Michael Taube: Chow’s hard-left base resorts to fearmongering against Bradford

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Cite

Sarkonak, J. (2026, October 25). Michael Taube: Chow’s hard-left base resorts to fearmongering against Bradford. National Post. https://nationalpost.com/opinion/michael-taube-chows-hard-left-base-resorts-to-fearmongering-against-bradford

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

National Post · collected 2026-10-25 · by Jamie Sarkonak analysis

Quick Summary

Michael Taube argues that Olivia Chow's lead in the Toronto mayoral race has significantly diminished as polls show her main challenger, city councillor Brad Bradford, gaining momentum. Recent polls by Build Canada, Mainstreet Research, and Liaison Strategies indicate that Bradford is now ahead of Chow by narrow margins. Taube claims that Chow and her supporters are resorting to fearmongering tactics to undermine Bradford's campaign, including unsubstantiated claims about his proposed policies affecting public services and a push to label him as extreme right-wing.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-25, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of October 25, 2026, Brad Bradford has overtaken Olivia Chow in recent polls for the Toronto mayoral race, with Build Canada’s poll showing Bradford leading by 48-44 percent and Mainstreet Research indicating Bradford ahead by 49-48 percent. Previously seen as a foregone conclusion due to Chow's initial lead based on her left-wing ideology and fiscal stance, the election has shifted dramatically in less than three weeks. Torontonians now express concern about handing over the city’s drinking water system to provincial control under Chow's leadership, potentially leading to higher water bills. This shift reflects a significant change in voter sentiment against Chow’s perceived fiscal irresponsibility.

Written for “Chow's Base Engages In Fearmongering” on 2026-10-25, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.65, but every quote it verified points right, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 105546: score contradicts its own evidence · logged 2026-10-25

Story

📰 Chow's Base Engages In Fearmongering
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 14% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
National Post · 0.89 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 6% hedged 2 of 36 📰 publisher trust 60
“The articles describe different stages of the mayoral election, with Article A focusing on a debate and Article B discussing shifts in polling trends.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans strongly left 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 6 📰 publisher trust 64
“The articles discuss different aspects of the Toronto mayoral election without focusing on the same specific incident.”
Global News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 7% hedged 2 of 29 📰 publisher trust 63
“The articles discuss different aspects of the election scenario, with Article A focusing on a recent poll showing a close race between candidates, while Article B discusses a shift in voter sentiment and Chow's declining lead over time.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 3% hedged 1 of 38 📰 publisher trust 64
“The articles discuss different aspects of the Toronto mayoral election; Article A is a general commentary on the city's needs, while Article B focuses specifically on Olivia Chow's declining support.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
42
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
14%
6 of 42 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
60/100
National Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-25 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

National Post · 1127 article(s) · 2 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 2 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Jamie Sarkonak
22 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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🔮 You’d think a municipal ward with the name “Toronto Centre” would be the last electoral district to turn its back on a left-wing incumbent.
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🔮 “I should have understood that supporting people who come forward about sexual violence does not require, and cannot justify, acting in ways that may lead others to conclude that unproven allegations are true or failing to give the person accused a fair opportunity to be heard and considered.”
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🔮 Which, if you think about it, might as well strike out the entire Criminal Code.
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Also by Jamie Sarkonak
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 22 articles by Jamie Sarkonak →

Topics

Build Canada’s Liaison Strategies’ Mainstreet Research Toronto Torontonians

Subjects

Chow PERSON · 11× Bradford PERSON · 10× Toronto GPE · 8× Brad Bradford PERSON · 2× Torontonians NORP · 2× Build Canada’s ORG · 1× John Tory PERSON · 1× Liaison Strategies’ ORG · 1× Mainstreet Research ORG · 1× Olivia Chow PERSON · 1×

Narrative

“These incumbent Councillors expressed concern about handing over Toronto’s drinking water system to Provincial control, removing Toronto’s say over rates and planning, and increasing debt to pay for critical water infrastructure, which will ultimately lead to higher water bills,” the letter stated.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-25
🔮 It seems like only yesterday that the Toronto mayoral election appeared to be a foregone conclusion.

Claims (42 extracted, 6 hedged)

It seems like only yesterday that the Toronto mayoral election appeared to be a foregone conclusion. asserted
election → seem → yesterday
Olivia Chow, in spite of her left-wing ideology, fiscal irresponsibility and tax-and-spend mentality, had led in the polls from the start. asserted
Chow → lead → start
She had outpaced and outlasted an assortment of potential challengers, including former mayor John Tory, and was on the cusp of victory. asserted
She → outpace → victory
That’s not the case any longer. asserted
That → ’ → ?
In less than three weeks, a significant number of Torontonians have had second thoughts about giving Chow a second destructive term in office. asserted
number → have → office
Her lead has completely disintegrated — and her main challenger, city councillor Brad Bradford, has been riding a massive wave of political change that may propel him to a historic victory. uncertain
that → disintegrate → victory
Recommended Videos Some recent polls are showing Bradford in the lead for the first time. asserted
Bradford → show → time
Build Canada’s Oct. 11-16 poll put him in front of Chow by 48-44 per cent. asserted
poll → put → cent
Mainstreet Research had Bradford ahead by 49-48 per cent in its Oct. 16-18 poll. asserted
Bradford → have → poll
Liaison Strategies’ Oct. 18-19 poll suggested Bradford was on top by 49-47 per cent. uncertain
Bradford → suggest → cent
Things could easily change in this election at the mere drop of a hat. uncertain
Things → change → hat
Nevertheless, it’s quite clear that Bradford, and not Chow, has all the momentum before voters go to the polls on Oct. 26. asserted
voters → ’ → Oct.
Chow and her team may be putting on a brave face in public, but they surely know in private that this election has unexpectedly slipped from their grasp. uncertain
election → put → grasp
Losing by a close margin now seems like a distinct possibility. asserted
Losing → lose → possibility
Hence, they’ve been throwing everything and the kitchen sink at Bradford and his team in hopes that something — anything — would break his momentum. asserted
something → throw → momentum
Nothing has succeeded to date. asserted
Nothing → succeed → date
The mayor critiqued her main rival’s plan at the Oct. 6 debate, for instance, and brazenly claimed his policies would cut library services, transit services and affordable housing for Torontonians. asserted
policies → critique → Torontonians
Chow suggested that Bradford’s campaign promises would ultimately close libraries and the Toronto Zoo without any supporting evidence. uncertain
promises → suggest → evidence
Progress Toronto, a left-wing ally of Chow’s, unsuccessfully attempted to give the mayor a boost by releasing a bizarre meme that stated, “One does not simply vote for a man named Brad Bradford” — attacking his name, of all things. asserted
One → attempt → things
Chow announced some recent endorsements from two of the least successful premiers of Ontario, Bob Rae and Kathleen Wynne, as well as far-left B.C.-based environmental activist David Suzuki, that barely caused much of a stir. asserted
that → announce → stir
Chow’s hysteria and desperation to score cheap political points reached a new low this week. asserted
hysteria → score → low
She claimed that Bradford wants to privatize Toronto’s water if he becomes mayor. asserted
he → claim → water
Chow held a press conference on Oct. 21 to speak out against Bradford’s plan to transform Toronto Water from a City of Toronto department into a municipal corporation, which would be along the lines of a public utility like Toronto Hydro. asserted
which → hold → Hydro
The aforementioned Suzuki made an appearance, calling the idea “crazy” and asking, “Why the hell are we trying to privatize things where the public has already invested in the infrastructure to deliver our water?” asserted
public → make → water
Chow also rejected Bradford’s campaign promise of lowering the city’s water prices, noting, “My opponent cannot promise what the water bill will be. asserted
bill → reject → prices
He cannot promise that Toronto will remain in control.” asserted
Toronto → promise → control
“These incumbent Councillors expressed concern about handing over Toronto’s drinking water system to Provincial control, removing Toronto’s say over rates and planning, and increasing debt to pay for critical water infrastructure, which will ultimately lead to higher water bills,” the letter stated. asserted
letter → express → bills
“Toronto residents expect water services to be safe, reliable and publicly accountable.” asserted
services → expect → ?
Bradford has never supported or called for water privatization as either a Toronto city councillor or mayoral candidate. asserted
Bradford → support → councillor
He couldn’t do it even if he actually wanted to, either. asserted
he → do → it
“Provincial law bans private ownership of Toronto’s water,” Bradford campaign spokesperson Laryssa Waler correctly pointed out in an Oct. 21 statement. asserted
Waler → ban → statement
“Under the Water and Wastewater Public Corporations Act, as amended this May, shares in a municipal water corporation can only be held by a municipality, the Province or the Government of Canada. uncertain
shares → amend → Canada
Private ownership is prohibited in the statute itself.” asserted
ownership → prohibit → statute
Waler also stated that under Bradford’s plan, “the City is the sole shareholder, and a City bylaw bars private investment of any kind. asserted
bylaw → state → kind
Toronto’s water stays 100% public.” asserted
water → stay → ?
Bradford’s campaign position seems pretty clear-cut. asserted
position → seem → ?
There’s no insinuation that he’s thinking about anything other than keeping the city’s water in public hands. asserted
he → ’ → hands
Chow’s current strategy against Bradford is remarkably easy to understand. asserted
strategy → understand → Bradford
She, like most candidates who have witnessed their once-successful campaigns crumble near the finish line, is hoping beyond hope that political spin and fearmongering will salvage her flailing re-election bid. asserted
spin → witness → bid
It’s not working, however. asserted
It → work → ?
…and 2 more, not listed.
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