Firms 'holding back' on new jobs ahead of Budget

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Cite

Davis, M. (2026, October 25). Firms 'holding back' on new jobs ahead of Budget. BBC News. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c62kep355q02o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss

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BBC News · collected 2026-10-25 · by Miles Davis

Quick Summary

Some businesses in Devon are postponing hiring due to high employment costs, including increased National Insurance rates and minimum wage hikes. At the Devon Business Show, employers expressed concerns over these financial burdens and called on Chancellor John Healey to reduce National Insurance contributions during his upcoming Budget speech. The cost of living crisis is also affecting charities' fundraising capabilities, while hospitality industry leaders are urging for a reduction in VAT from 20% to 10%.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-25, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Chancellor John Healey will deliver his first Budget on Wednesday amid calls from businesses to reduce employment costs. A spokesperson for HM Treasury indicated the chancellor would provide firms with support through business rates cuts, a cap on corporation tax, and £4.3 billion in aid to limit bill rises. However, some companies are hesitant to hire due to high employer National Insurance contributions introduced in 2024 and increases in the National Minimum Wage. Michelle Bunker from WGP Maintenance in Plymouth expressed her desire for a reduction in National Insurance contributions. Tim Randell of Links Publishing in Tavistock, Devon, stated that policy changes would enable him to hire more staff; currently, he is holding back on filling two positions due to the high costs associated with employing new employees.

Written for “Budget Uncertainty Influences Hiring” on 2026-10-25, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Budget Uncertainty Influences Hiring
Economy/Business · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 8% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Guardian
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 15% hedged 3 of 20 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles discuss different aspects of economic challenges and policy responses; Article A focuses on Jim Chalmers' speech about unemployment and growth, while Article B reports on businesses holding back on hiring due to costs before the Chancellor's Budget announcement.”
BBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 15 📰 publisher trust 69
“The articles describe different aspects of business concerns and government responses, not a single specific event.”
BBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 4 of 40 📰 publisher trust 69
“The articles discuss different aspects related to the upcoming Budget, with one focusing on individual cost-of-living pressures and the other on business hiring decisions. They do not describe the same specific incident.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 20% hedged 3 of 15 📰 publisher trust 65
“The articles discuss different aspects related to economic policy and business responses but describe distinct events: one about businesses holding back on hiring due to employment costs, and another about banks expecting stronger profits despite potential tax hikes.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 7% hedged 2 of 27 📰 publisher trust 64
“The articles cover different aspects of business concerns around the upcoming budget, with Article A focusing on Chancellor Healey's attempts to ease nerves and a high street boss's reaction, while Article B discusses specific firm actions related to hiring costs before the Budget.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans strongly right 🔴 3% hedged 1 of 29 📰 publisher trust 66
“Article A discusses the chancellor's upcoming media round and an interview, while Article B covers business reactions ahead of the Chancellor's Budget speech on Wednesday. The articles are about related events but not describing the same specific incident.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 21% hedged 7 of 34 📰 publisher trust 65
“Article A discusses speculative content of an upcoming budget, while Article B reports business reactions ahead of the same budget event. They describe different aspects of the same general topic but do not refer to the exact same specific incident.”
BBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 17% hedged 4 of 23 📰 publisher trust 69
“The articles discuss similar issues related to employment costs and National Insurance, but describe different gatherings of business concerns and do not refer to the exact same incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
26
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
8%
2 of 26 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
69/100
BBC News's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-25 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

BBC News · 4253 article(s) · 5 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 5 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Miles Davis
1 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Chancellor John Healey will deliver his first Budget on Wednesday but has refused to rule out tax increases after acknowledging government borrowing costs are at "historic highs".
2026-10-25 · assertive framing · Firms 'holding back' on new jobs ahead of Budget
The only article under this byline in the corpus.

Topics

Budget Devon National Insurance Plymouth Tavistock

Subjects

Plymouth GPE · 5× Devon GPE · 4× National Insurance ORG · 3× John Healey PERSON · 1× Links Publishing ORG · 1× Michelle Bunker PERSON · 1× Rachel Reeves PERSON · 1× Tavistock GPE · 1× Tim Randell PERSON · 1× WGP Maintenance ORG · 1×

Narrative

A spokesperson for HM Treasury said: "The chancellor is giving firms the breathing space to invest and grow, with business rates cuts, a cap on corporation tax, £4.3 billion of support to limit bill rises, and employer National Insurance contributions relief when hiring under-21s and apprentices under 25.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-25
🔮 Chancellor John Healey will deliver his first Budget on Wednesday but has refused to rule out tax increases after acknowledging government borrowing costs are at "historic highs".
2026-10-25 · BBC News
Firms 'holding back' on new jobs ahead of Budget · assertive framing

Claims (26 extracted, 2 hedged)

- Published Some businesses are calling for the costs of employing staff to be brought down in the Budget on Wednesday. asserted
costs → publish → Wednesday
A publisher from Tavistock, Devon, said he was "holding back" from filling two new positions at his firm because of the cost of taking on new employees. asserted
he → say → employees
At the Devon Business Show some firms said they had been struggling for the past two years to deal with the increases in employers' National Insurance contributions introduced in 2024, while also coping with increases in the National Minimum Wage. asserted
they → say → Wage
Chancellor John Healey will deliver his first Budget on Wednesday but has refused to rule out tax increases after acknowledging government borrowing costs are at "historic highs". asserted
costs → deliver → highs
Michelle Bunker, from WGP Maintenance, in Plymouth, said she had one clear message for the chancellor: "I want to see National Insurance contributions starting to go down." asserted
contributions → say → chancellor
Tim Randell, who runs Links Publishing, said changes to government policy would allow him to employ more people. asserted
him → run → people
He said: "All we've had for the last two Budgets is more tax, more expense, the living wage, and all those things mean that people like me are not employing the young. asserted
people → say → young
I have two positions that I could fill, want to fill, want to expand and grow my business, but I'm holding back because of the employment costs." uncertain
I → have → costs
In the 2024 Budget, Rachel Reeves announced companies would have to pay National Insurance at 15% on salaries above £5,000 from April 2025, up from 13.8% on salaries above £9,100. asserted
companies → announce → 9,100
The legal minimum wage for over-21s also rose from £11.44 to £12.21 per hour from April 2025. asserted
wage → rise → April
Kevin Miller, the boss of Apex HR, in Plymouth, said small businesses were "the backbone of the whole economy" and needed help. asserted
businesses → say → help
He said: "We need to reduce the cost of employing people because we're all passionate about really wanting to build this economy and grow it - so help us out with some tax relief please..." asserted
we → say → relief
The cost of living crisis is affecting charities as much as businesses, according to Elsbeth Hallam, from Plymouth-based Hugs Children's Cancer Charity, which supports families with children with cancer. uncertain
which → affect → cancer
She said: "People are definitely being tighter on what they're spending their money on. asserted
they → say → money
"For us, obviously it does have a run-on effect then on what we can raise and how many families we can support." asserted
we → have → families
Tens of thousands of people are employed in hospitality and catering in Devon and hotel bosses said the industry had been going through a tough time. asserted
industry → employ → time
People working in hospitality - spearheaded by celebrity chef Tom Kerridge - have long been campaigning for a reduction in VAT for pubs and restaurants from 20% to 10%. asserted
People → work → %
Melanie Williams, events manager at the Duke of Cornwall Hotel, in Plymouth, said: "I think people's financial pockets are strained and any support we can be given from the government within the budget has got to benefit everybody in the industry - VAT perhaps to be revisited again." asserted
VAT → say → industry
Pete Adams, general manager at the Moxy Hotel, in Plymouth, joined the call for a cut to VAT for the hospitality sector. asserted
Adams → join → sector
He said: "That would allow us to pass some of those savings on to the customer. " asserted
us → say → customer
That will then hopefully increase more customers into our businesses and extra spending and that'll give the Treasury almost as much money as before." asserted
that → increase → money
'Soft touch' The Devon Business Show was hosted by Devon Chamber of Commerce at the Plymouth Life Centre. Helen Wylde-Archibald, CEO of Devon Chamber of Commerce, said businesses in the county were "planning for a better future". asserted
businesses → host → future
She said: "I think what we just need is that soft touch with the Budget so that businesses get the chance to grow and I think Devon will be right at the front of the pack." asserted
Devon → say → pack
The government insisted it was "on the side of business" and said easing the cost of doing business was one of the chancellor's five priorities. asserted
easing → insist → priorities
A spokesperson for HM Treasury said: "The chancellor is giving firms the breathing space to invest and grow, with business rates cuts, a cap on corporation tax, £4.3 billion of support to limit bill rises, and employer National Insurance contributions relief when hiring under-21s and apprentices under 25. asserted
chancellor → say → 25
"As has always been the case, decisions on tax are a matter for the chancellor to set out at fiscal events, rather than routinely commenting on rumour, speculation or proposals." Follow BBC Devon on X, external, Facebook, external and Instagram, external. asserted
chancellor → set → X
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