El Nino Death Toll Warning
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- Sibi ArasuToronto Star
- Authors; ContributorsThe Hindu
- Al Jazeera StaffAl Jazeera
- Mariamne EverettAl Jazeera
- Damian CarringtonMother Jones
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El Nino Death Toll Warning. (2026, October 13). The Aporia. https://the-aporia.com/event/28900
“El Nino Death Toll Warning.” The Aporia, 13 Oct. 2026, https://the-aporia.com/event/28900.
“El Nino Death Toll Warning.” The Aporia, October 13, 2026. https://the-aporia.com/event/28900.
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BENGALURU, India (AP) — This year’s powerful El Nino and the record global heat it’s driving, along with severe droughts, wildfires and shrinking water supplies, could lead to nearly half a million more deaths worldwide by the end of February, according to a research report released Wednesday.
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The study’s authors came to their projections after researching the relationship between temperature and excess mortality in 24,378 regions, taking local climate and vulnerability into account.
The researchers described this year’s El Nino as a “postcard from the future”, ushering in temperatures that will become the new normal in just a few decades.
The study by Greenstone and his colleagues also warns that the Global South — a term that isn’t geographical but a reference to developing countries in general — will bear the heaviest burden of the excessive heat.
The country likely to suffer the most excess heat-related deaths is Nigeria with 31,400, followed by Indonesia with 19,300 and Sudan with 17,600.
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The Climate Impact Lab reports that this year’s powerful "super El Nino" could cause an additional 451,000 heat-related deaths globally between June and February next year compared to average years. The study analyzed temperature forecasts and local climate data across 24,378 regions, identifying areas most at risk and recommending emergency measures such as issuing heat warnings and establishing cooling centers.
Scientists warn super El Nino could cause 450,000 deaths: Should we worry? →2 articles from Al Jazeera on this storyA research report by the University of Chicago’s Climate Impact Lab predicts nearly 451,000 additional deaths worldwide due to El Nino-driven extreme heat from June 2026 to February 2027. The study forecasts that poorer countries in Africa, South and Southeast Asia, and Latin America will be hardest hit, with the Sahel region alone expecting about 66,800 more heat-related deaths. The report highlights the…
This year's El Nino-driven heat could cause nearly half a million more deaths, group says →A research report from the University of Chicago's Climate Impact Lab projects that this year’s El Niño could cause nearly 451,000 additional heat-related deaths worldwide by February 2027 compared to a typical year. The study, released on September 23, 2026, indicates the highest death tolls will occur in poorer countries already facing challenges like food insecurity and high energy costs due to climate change and…
This year’s El Niño-driven heat could cause nearly half a million more deaths, group says →A new report from the University of Chicago's Climate Impact Lab warns that this year’s El Niño event could lead to nearly 451,000 additional heat-related deaths worldwide by the end of February 2027 compared to a typical year. The study predicts the highest number of fatalities in poorer nations already facing food insecurity and high energy costs due to climate change and geopolitical issues. Researchers estimate…
El Niño-driven heat could cause half a million extra deaths, report says. Here's where →Climate scientists estimate that more than 450,000 people will die from extreme heat caused by the current super El Niño event by February 2027. The projected deaths are highest in countries like Nigeria, Indonesia, Sudan, India, and Brazil, with the United States expected to see around 3,500 additional heat-related fatalities. Researchers suggest that implementing measures such as better heat forecasts and cooling…
El Niño’s Estimated Death Toll From Extreme Heat Alone: 451,000 by February →Analysis
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- 23 Sep
The study combined seasonal temperature forecasts with localized estimates of how high temperatures affect mortality across more than 24,000 regions worldwide.
- 25 Sep
The El Niño is also a “postcard from our future,” the researchers said, pushing up temperatures to the level the climate crisis is projected to deliver in 20 years.
Coverage 6 articles
Suggested from 5 outlets (1 flagged as leaning left, 0 right): the fullest account of the event, no political position was found in its wording and its publisher is declared as reporting rather than commentary.
25 Sep El Niño’s Estimated Death Toll From Extreme Heat Alone: 451,000 by FebruaryClimate scientists estimate that more than 450,000 people will die from extreme heat caused by the current super El Niño event by February 2027. The projected deaths are highest in countries like Nigeria, Indonesia, Sudan, India, and Brazil, with the United States expected to see around 3,500 additional heat-related fatalities. Researchers suggest that implementing measures such as better heat forecasts and cooling…Mother Jones- 23 Sep El Niño-driven heat could cause half a million extra deaths, report says. Here's whereA new report from the University of Chicago's Climate Impact Lab warns that this year’s El Niño event could lead to nearly 451,000 additional heat-related deaths worldwide by the end of February 2027 compared to a typical year. The study predicts the highest number of fatalities in poorer nations already facing food insecurity and high energy costs due to climate change and geopolitical issues. Researchers estimate…CBC
23 Sep Scientists warn super El Nino could cause 450,000 deaths: Should we worry?The Climate Impact Lab reports that this year’s powerful "super El Nino" could cause an additional 451,000 heat-related deaths globally between June and February next year compared to average years. The study analyzed temperature forecasts and local climate data across 24,378 regions, identifying areas most at risk and recommending emergency measures such as issuing heat warnings and establishing cooling centers.Al Jazeera
23 Sep Powerful El Nino could cause more than 450,000 deaths, scientists sayScientists from the University of Chicago’s Climate Impact Lab project that over 450,000 additional deaths may occur globally due to heat linked to the strong El Nino event lasting until February 2027. Developing nations and Africa’s Sahel region are expected to be particularly affected, with Nigeria seeing the highest projected toll at around 31,400 deaths. Michael Greenstone, a cofounder of the lab, emphasizes…Al Jazeera
23 Sep This year’s El Niño-driven heat could cause nearly half a million more deaths, group saysA research report from the University of Chicago's Climate Impact Lab projects that this year’s El Niño could cause nearly 451,000 additional heat-related deaths worldwide by February 2027 compared to a typical year. The study, released on September 23, 2026, indicates the highest death tolls will occur in poorer countries already facing challenges like food insecurity and high energy costs due to climate change and…The Hindu
23 Sep This year's El Nino-driven heat could cause nearly half a million more deaths, group saysA research report by the University of Chicago’s Climate Impact Lab predicts nearly 451,000 additional deaths worldwide due to El Nino-driven extreme heat from June 2026 to February 2027. The study forecasts that poorer countries in Africa, South and Southeast Asia, and Latin America will be hardest hit, with the Sahel region alone expecting about 66,800 more heat-related deaths. The report highlights the…Toronto Star
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Built 2026-10-13 from 6 articles. Every sentence on this page is quoted from the linked article; nothing was written by a model except the Summary and the items marked AI, which cite their sources, and the questions and labels under "Disputed". Photos are from the outlets that covered the story, never from articles our check marks sensitive.