The Aporia
4 articles about 3 events for “James Talarico Leading In Texas Polls” from Silver Bulletin.
“Conditional upon James Talarico winning in Texas — Texas! — Democrats will be huge favorites to flip the Senate.”
“So if, say, Democrat James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton in our Texas polling average by 2 points, that reflects a 13-point outperformance relative to the baseline.”
“And James Talarico is slightly ahead in Texas.”
“But James Talarico would prevail by 0.6 points, and Troy Jackson would hold on by 0.7 points in Maine.4 Democrats still take the Senate 52-48.”