Snowy Hydro 2.0 has blown out to 12 times its original cost – but the CEO says it ‘could have been worse’

Read the original at The Guardian ↗
Cite

editor, T. M. P. (2026, October 22). Snowy Hydro 2.0 has blown out to 12 times its original cost – but the CEO says it ‘could have been worse’. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/oct/22/snowy-hydro-2-0-blows-out-to-12-times-original-cost

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Guardian · collected 2026-10-22 · by Tom McIlroy Political editor

Quick Summary

The cost of Snowy Hydro 2.0 has surged to approximately $25 billion, up from an initial estimate of $2 billion in 2017. Construction delays and technical complexities have pushed back completion until late 2029 or later. The project aims to connect two existing reservoirs with tunnels up to 27km long, generating 2,200 megawatts of power once completed. Despite the massive cost overruns and delays, CEO Dennis Barnes maintains a positive outlook, citing potential worse outcomes without recent adjustments in contractor relationships.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-22, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of October 22, 2026, the cost of Snowy Hydro 2.0, Australia's largest renewable energy project, has skyrocketed to up to $25 billion, which is about 12 times its initial budget of $2 billion set in 2017 under the Turnbull government. The project, originally scheduled to start operations in 2021 and complete by late 2028 after a revision in 2023, now faces delays with full operation expected only by the end of 2029. Recent reviews reveal that machine tunnelling is 65% complete and cavern excavations are nearing completion, but construction involves approximately 5,000 workers, significantly more than initially anticipated. The Albanese government plans additional oversight and financing measures to support Snowy Hydro's current cost estimate of $22.2 billion, with a contingency for it to rise to $25 billion if necessary.

Written for “Snowy Hydro 2.0 Cost Overrun” on 2026-10-22, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 98939 · logged 2026-10-22

Story

📰 Snowy Hydro 2.0 Cost Overrun
Economy/Business · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 7% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
ABC News (AU) · 0.86 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 4 of 41 📰 publisher trust 68
“Both articles report on the same major review of Snowy 2.0 project cost and timeline updates released on the same day, indicating the same specific incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
28
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
7%
2 of 28 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-22 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 2276 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Tom McIlroy Political editor
18 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The cost of Snowy Hydro 2.0 has blown out to as much as $25bn, with a major reassessment finding the long-delayed renewable energy project will not be completed until the end of the decade.
🔮 “She is a determined person who will do her best with our support and love to recover, and that is what we hope for,” he said.
🔮 What happened will urgently change how MPs assess their personal safety, not least because local settings are no longer free from danger.
🔮 Paul Brereton, the first boss of the commission, quit in May, saying criticism of him was “drawing attention away” from the body’s purpose.
🔮 After sustained criticism of the government’s handling of the ban on tax bills being paid by credit card, Chalmers last week announced new funding for the ATO to ensure card payments could continue until the end of the financial year.
🔮 The Greens will push Labor to dramatically toughen new laws designed to rein in big tech, calling for individuals to have the right to take platforms to court and win financial compensation.
🔮 Announced on Tuesday, the policy would see net overseas migration rates of 130,000 in the third year and 160,000 in the fourth.
🔮 Taylor’s plan will cut 60,000 more people from net overseas migration (Nom) than the reductions proposed by Peter Dutton just before the 2025 election.
🔮 The Coalition is expected to reveal deep cuts to immigration today which the party says would maintain working holidaymaker places and prioritise skills as part of attempts to dent growing support for One Nation.
🔮 More than 200 Coles and Woolworths supermarkets would be nationalised, and hundreds of government grocery stores opened, under a $25bn plan being put forward by former Greens MP Max Chandler-Mather.
Also by Tom McIlroy Political editor
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 18 articles by Tom McIlroy Political editor →

Topics

Albanese FGJV Future Generation Joint Venture Snowy Hydro Snowy Hydro 2.0

Subjects

Australia GPE · 2× Barnes PERSON · 2× FGJV ORG · 2× Snowy Hydro ORG · 2× Albanese NORP · 1× Chris Bowen PERSON · 1× Dennis Barnes PERSON · 1× Future Generation Joint Venture ORG · 1× Snowy ORG · 1× Turnbull PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Snowy 2.0 is expected to be the largest source of stored dispatchable energy in the national electricity market, with its functions to include firming intermittent wind and solar generation and absorbing surplus renewable generation during periods of low demand.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-22
🔮 The cost of Snowy Hydro 2.0 has blown out to as much as $25bn, with a major reassessment finding the long-delayed renewable energy project will not be completed until the end of the decade.

Claims (28 extracted, 2 hedged)

The cost of Snowy Hydro 2.0 has blown out to as much as $25bn, with a major reassessment finding the long-delayed renewable energy project will not be completed until the end of the decade. asserted
project → blow → decade
First touted by the Turnbull government in 2017 with a price tag of $2bn, the cost of the project in the Kosciuszko national park has increased dramatically over time. asserted
cost → tout → time
In 2023 it was revised to almost $13bn, with construction due to completed by the end of 2028. asserted
construction → revise → 2028
But new projections by the Snowy Hydro company, released on Thursday night, shows it will now cost at least $22.2bn, with contingency for a further increase to $25bn. asserted
it → release → 25bn
Work to build the new underground power station is under way, with about 5,000 people at work on the project. But the project reset shows Snowy 2.0 won’t be completed and fully commissioned until 2029. asserted
Snowy → build → 2029
The Albanese government plans to announce additional project oversight and financing structures for Snowy 2.0 in coming weeks. asserted
government → plan → weeks
Another injection of taxpayer funds is expected, along with possible private financing components. asserted
injection → expect → components
Beset by challenges – including major delays when a specialist boring machine became bogged and wedged in hard rock – the project’s timeline and extraordinary cost overruns have been blamed on its unique nature, significant risk and technical complexity. asserted
timeline → Beset → nature
The boring machine, known as Florence, is still not yet at the halfway point of its 15km tunnel work. asserted
machine → bore → work
Principal contractor, Future Generation Joint Venture (FGJV), also faced “cost estimation challenges”, according to the company. uncertain
contractor → face → company
Since the project was signed off on in late 2018, more detailed technical analysis has been required, while FGJV has missed productivity targets and failed on cost and planning performance. asserted
FGJV → sign → performance
Global price rises for construction equipment, services and staff have all exceeded early estimates. asserted
rises → exceed → estimates
The project aims to link two existing Snowy reservoirs with tunnels up to 27km long. asserted
project → aim → tunnels
Once completed, it will be able to generate 2,200 megawatts of power and provide 350,000 megawatt-hours of storage. asserted
it → complete → storage
Despite the soaring cost and repeatedly delays, Snowy Hydro chief executive, Dennis Barnes, said the situation could have been worse. uncertain
situation → soar → cost
“This project is incredibly complex, it is off the charts even for mega projects,” he said. asserted
he → say → projects
“The original contract had so many flaws, and the project was stalled. asserted
project → stall → flaws
The thing I’m pleased about is that if it wasn’t for the reset, if it wasn’t for the collaborative relationship we now have with the contractor, I think this would have been worse. asserted
this → ’m → contractor
“The silver lining is the project is beginning to hit its straps.” asserted
project → begin → straps
Asked if he was concerned community confidence in Snowy 2.0 was shot, Barnes said the project would provide half the storage capacity needed for renewables in Australia and would help lower electricity prices. asserted
project → ask → prices
Snowy 2.0 is expected to be the largest source of stored dispatchable energy in the national electricity market, with its functions to include firming intermittent wind and solar generation and absorbing surplus renewable generation during periods of low demand. asserted
Snowy → expect → demand
It will provide peak-load generation during periods of high demand and boost supply during prolonged periods of low wind and solar output. asserted
It → provide → output
Critically, it is designed to reduce extreme wholesale price spikes by adding substantial supply when the market is stressed. asserted
market → design → supply
“I’m confident that we can get the message out that the lowest cost system of the future is renewables backed by Snowy pumped hydro, batteries, and gas,” Barnes said. asserted
Barnes → ’m → hydro
The energy minister, Chris Bowen, and the finance minister, Katy Gallagher blamed the former Coalition government for the poor design and cost projections, but insist Snowy 2.0 is necessary to strengthen Australia’s national energy grid. asserted
Snowy → blame → grid
Labor looks set to attempt to place blame for the delays and overruns at the feet of the former energy minister and current opposition leader, Angus Taylor. asserted
Labor → set → minister
“The government remains transparent about the pressures facing this project and securing the best possible outcome for taxpayers, energy consumers and the grid,” they said in a statement. asserted
they → remain → statement
“Once complete, the pumped hydro expansion of the Snowy Scheme will provide more than half of the total energy storage the grid needs by 2050, strengthening energy security and putting downwards pressure on energy prices.” asserted
grid → pump → prices
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