Battle for the soul of Texas: Paxton vs Talarico gets more frantic by the day and official polls can't call it... but HARRIET ALEXANDER discovers which way the signs are really pointing

Read the original at Daily Mail ↗
Cite

Alexander, H. (2026, October 21). Battle for the soul of Texas: Paxton vs Talarico gets more frantic by the day and official polls can't call it... but HARRIET ALEXANDER discovers which way the signs are really pointing. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16224289/Paxton-Talarico-Fort-Worth-rallies-Texas-Senate.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

Daily Mail · collected 2026-10-21 · by Harriet Alexander

Quick Summary

Texans were voting in record numbers on the opening day of early voting for the Senate race between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico. Both candidates held rallies in Fort Worth; Paxton, a three-term Texas attorney general, spoke to about 350 supporters at an events venue while Talarico addressed approximately 1,450 people at a school gymnasium. The article highlights the stark contrast between their campaigns and voter enthusiasm, with Talarico positioning himself as an underdog candidate who would be the first Democrat elected to the Senate in Texas in 33 years if successful.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-21, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of October 21, 2026, Republican Ken Paxton, a 63-year-old three-term Texas attorney general, and Democrat James Talarico, a 37-year-old state representative and former middle school teacher, are in a tight race for the Senate seat. On Monday night, both candidates held rallies in Fort Worth, Texas, just blocks apart. Paxton's rally drew an estimated 1,450 supporters who lined up around the block to enter the gymnasium where the event was held. If elected, Talarico would be the first Democrat to win a Senate seat from Texas in 33 years. Turnout for early voting had already broken records across Texas, with high voter enthusiasm noted in major cities like Dallas and Houston.

Written for “Battle For The Soul Of Texas” on 2026-10-21, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans strongly right (beta estimate) Confidence high 2 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning: leans strongly right for article 95148 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-10-21

Story

📰 Battle For The Soul Of Texas
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly right and hedges 10% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
How the GOP Could Lose Texas different event · 95%
The Free Press
⚖️ Leans left further left than this 🔴 11% hedged 1 of 9 📰 publisher trust 96
“The articles discuss different aspects of the election process in Texas and do not describe the same specific incident.”
CBS News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 50% hedged 1 of 2 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles discuss different aspects of the election campaign between James Talarico and Ken Paxton, with Article A focusing on polling data ahead of the midterms, while Article B describes voter turnout and campaigning activities during early voting.”
Fox News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 17 📰 publisher trust 67
“Article A reports on Talarico skipping Sanders' rally in El Paso and campaigning separately in Fort Worth, while Article B mentions both Paxton and Talarico holding rallies in Fort Worth at the same time.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 24 📰 publisher trust 59
“The articles describe different events in the campaign timeline: Article A covers a rally on Thursday where Talarico draws a biblical comparison, while Article B discusses early voting and dueling rallies on Monday.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 4% hedged 2 of 48 📰 publisher trust 64
“While both articles describe rallies held by Ken Paxton and James Talarico on the first day of early voting in Fort Worth, they refer to different times within that day or possibly different days as Article A specifies Monday while Article B mentions a more general timeframe without specifying exact timing.”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left further left than this 🔴 14% hedged 1 of 7 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles describe different activities related to the election campaign but do not refer to the same specific incident or time.”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 33% hedged 1 of 3 📰 publisher trust 66
“Article A describes the rallies and endorsements on Sunday evening before early voting starts, while Article B talks about voter turnout and dueling rallies on Monday during early voting.”
CBS News · 0.86 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 7% hedged 2 of 30 📰 publisher trust 66
“The articles describe different aspects of the election campaign and do not focus on a single specific incident or occurrence.”
NBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 9% hedged 5 of 55 📰 publisher trust 95
“The articles discuss different aspects of the campaign between Ken Paxton and James Talarico but do not describe the same specific incident or time.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
62
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
10%
6 of 62 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans strongly right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
64/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-21 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 6611 article(s) · 15 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 15 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Harriet Alexander
4 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Republican Ken Paxton, 63, three-term Texas attorney general, has been urging his supporters to keep their faith with the MAGA marvel as he eyes a seat in the Texas Senate If elected, James Talarico, a 37-year-old state representative and former middle school teacher, would be the first Democrat elected by Texans to the Senate in 33 years On Monday night he was in a school gymnasium, positioned in the middle of the arena surrounded by an estimated 1,450 people who his team showed on social media lining up around the block to get inside.
🔮 'The university conducted an extensive investigation and adjudication over several months and imposed different sanctions based on the findings and circumstances involving each student,' the university said, adding that some of the seven men were suspended or expelled - but they could not disclose which.
🔮 “People who hold positions of authority in licensed venues are expected to demonstrate integrity, professionalism and respect,” Agreres said.
Also by Harriet Alexander
Three children stabbed, one dead in Blue Mountains
2026-09-20 · The Sydney Morning Herald
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Democrat Republican Senate Texans Texas

Subjects

Paxton PERSON · 11× Texas GPE · 10× Talarico PERSON · 8× Democrat NORP · 5× Senate ORG · 4× Texans NORP · 4× James Talarico PERSON · 3× Ken Paxton PERSON · 2× MAGA ORG · 2× Republican NORP · 2×

Narrative

Republican Ken Paxton, 63, three-term Texas attorney general, has been urging his supporters to keep their faith with the MAGA marvel as he eyes a seat in the Texas Senate If elected, James Talarico, a 37-year-old state representative and former middle school teacher, would be the first Democrat elected by Texans to the Senate in 33 years On Monday night he was in a school gymnasium, positioned in the middle of the arena surrounded by an estimated 1,450 people who his team showed on social media lining up around the block to get inside.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-21
🔮 Republican Ken Paxton, 63, three-term Texas attorney general, has been urging his supporters to keep their faith with the MAGA marvel as he eyes a seat in the Texas Senate If elected, James Talarico, a 37-year-old state representative and former middle school teacher, would be the first Democrat elected by Texans to the Senate in 33 years On Monday night he was in a school gymnasium, positioned in the middle of the arena surrounded by an estimated 1,450 people who his team showed on social media lining up around the block to get inside.

Claims (62 extracted, 6 hedged)

Texans were stampeding to the polls on Monday, with turnout on the opening day of early voting breaking records across the state. asserted
turnout → stampede → state
And Cowtown, as Fort Worth is fondly known, was at the heart of it all. asserted
Worth → know → it
The two men vying for Texas's seat in the Senate – Republican Ken Paxton and his Democrat rival James Talarico – were both in the city on Monday, holding dueling 7pm rallies a stone's throw from each other. asserted
men → vie → other
In one corner stood the grizzled veteran Paxton, 63, the three-term Texas attorney general, urging his supporters to keep their faith with the MAGA marvel. asserted
veteran → stand → marvel
In the other was Talarico, a 37-year-old state representative and former middle school teacher, who put his training as a Presbyterian minister on hold to run. asserted
who → put → hold
If successful, he'll become the first Democrat elected by Texans to the Senate in 33 years. asserted
he → become → years
Talarico's team knows they have a tough task in hand. asserted
they → know → hand
So the Round Top, Texas-born politician plays up his underdog status, while his support staff cannily cram in the crowds. asserted
staff → bear → crowds
Republican Ken Paxton, 63, three-term Texas attorney general, has been urging his supporters to keep their faith with the MAGA marvel as he eyes a seat in the Texas Senate If elected, James Talarico, a 37-year-old state representative and former middle school teacher, would be the first Democrat elected by Texans to the Senate in 33 years On Monday night he was in a school gymnasium, positioned in the middle of the arena surrounded by an estimated 1,450 people who his team showed on social media lining up around the block to get inside. asserted
team → urge → block
Adopting the Obama look of speaking with just a microphone in his hand, Talarico spoke to the enthusiastic crowd who obligingly waved 'Talarico for Senate' signs behind every camera shot. asserted
who → adopt → shot
Paxton, by contrast, was in the cavernous ballroom of T&P Station Wedding and Events – an interesting choice for a man whose wife of 38 years is in the process of divorcing him 'on Biblical grounds,' owing to his multiple affairs. asserted
wife → divorce → affairs
Reportedly, a crowd of 350 were herded into the room and given American flags to wave as the lumbering attorney general delivered his speech from behind a podium. uncertain
general → herd → podium
'Awesome,' he said rather unenthusiastically, as he took to the stage. asserted
he → say → stage
'We love you, Kenny!' shouted one man in response. asserted
man → love → response
At the mention of Joe Biden, and how Paxton 'sued him 107 times in four years,' the crowd erupted. asserted
crowd → sue → years
'People seem to like that line,' said Paxton with a smirk. asserted
Paxton → seem → smirk
Talarico was derided to boos as 'the most radical Democrat to ever run statewide in Texas'. asserted
Talarico → deride → Texas
'No matter how many commercials he runs lying about his record, James Talarico is a Democratic Socialist just like AOC, just like Mamdani,' he said. asserted
he → run → Mamdani
Supported by Robert F Kennedy Jr, the health and human services secretary, Paxton presented himself as a champion of 'common sense' Texans. asserted
Paxton → support → Texans
'If we lose Texas, we lose America,' warned Paxton, claiming that Talarico would usher in Sharia law, let 'boys play in girls' sports' and outlaw oil and gas. asserted
boys → lose → oil
Most menacing of all, Paxton told the Stetson-clad crowd, was that Talarico was a vegan – a claim the Democrat has repeatedly debunked, saying he eats barbecue. uncertain
he → tell → barbecue
But Paxton, the scandal-scarred political veteran, knows he has to try everything possible to stop the upstart's surge. asserted
he → scar → surge
Donald Trump easily won Texas in 2024, walking away with just over 56 percent of the vote. asserted
Trump → win → vote
But now it hangs in the balance, with Paxton and Talarico neck-and-neck in recent polling. asserted
Paxton → hang → polling
In July 2025, Angela Paxton filed for divorce on 'biblical grounds,' explicitly alleging adultery Paxton was seen with his mistress in London during America's 250th birthday celebrations If Texas turns blue, there is a real chance that Republicans could lose control of the senate. uncertain
Republicans → file → senate
And Paxton appears to be underperforming, despite the world's richest man, Elon Musk, now a Texas resident, pouring $158 million into a race that is now on track to be the most expensive non-presidential campaign ever. asserted
that → appear → track
Half a billion dollars has been spent on advertising. asserted
dollars → spend → advertising
Trump has endorsed Paxton, the North Dakota-born, California-raised politician, but admitted he is 'a pain in the ass' with bad dress sense. asserted
he → endorse → sense
'Some may not like the way he dresses,' the president said. uncertain
president → like → way
'I don't.' asserted
I → do → ?
Even the mother of Paxton's four children, his estranged wife, admits he's hard to love. asserted
he → admit → children
'In a general election, it's not as much about the individual players on the team; it's about getting the whole team across the finish line,' said Angela Paxton, without mentioning her estranged husband's name. asserted
Paxton → get → name
'Either we hold every Republican seat, or we hand the future of Texas to the other team.' asserted
we → hold → team
Paxton's mistress was nowhere to be seen on Monday night inside the wedding venue chosen to host him. asserted
mistress → see → him
But, Paxton warned, there was danger lurking across town – in the shape of his Democrat challenger. asserted
Paxton → warn → challenger
'California already has two senators - it doesn't need a third one,' said Paxton, noting his opponent's April 2021 comments that there were six genders and his argument that God was non-binary. asserted
God → have → comments
Talarico has attempted to walk back these comments, saying on the campaign trail that he was being 'provocative. asserted
he → attempt → trail
'The idea that we can't define God using human categories, not only did I say that, but the late Charlie Kirk said that,' said Talarico at a CNN Town Hall in Fort Worth last week. asserted
Talarico → define → Worth
'The late Pope Benedict said that. asserted
Benedict → say → that
And so, yes, I was doing it maybe in an annoying way. asserted
I → do → way
…and 22 more, not listed.
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support