NFL Week 7 early predictions: Patriots vs. Bears, Giants vs. Texans, Packers vs. Lions best bets

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Richter, E. (2026, October 19). NFL Week 7 early predictions: Patriots vs. Bears, Giants vs. Texans, Packers vs. Lions best bets. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/10/19/betting/nfl-week-7-early-predictions-patriots-vs-bears-giants-vs-texans-packers-vs-lions-best-bets/

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New York Post · collected 2026-10-19 · by Erich Richter

Quick Summary

This article provides early predictions for NFL Week 7 games, focusing on the Patriots vs. Bears, Giants vs. Texans, and Packers vs. Lions matchups. Erich Richter suggests betting on the Patriots at +3.5 against the Bears due to New England's better DVOA rating, predicts a line movement in favor of the Giants as underdogs by 10 points versus the Texans based on the potential start of J.J. McCarthy, and recommends backing the Packers at +3 against the Lions because Green Bay’s defense ranks eighth in DVOA despite their struggles offensively. Richter claims significant betting success over recent seasons.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-19, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

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Story summary

In NFL Week 7 predictions published on October 19, 2026, Erich Richter of the New York Post suggests betting on the Patriots +3.5 against the Bears, believing the Patriots are undervalued despite the Bears' recent strong performance. He also predicts the Giants +10 (-115) against the Texans, projecting a line movement closer to 7.5 before kickoff due to expected changes in quarterback play for the Giants. Richter emphasizes using deductive reasoning to beat lines by two-plus points and highlights the importance of betting early on favorable odds, as seen with the Texans +3 bet from Week 6 which moved to +2 and won outright.

Written for “NFL Week 7 Predictions” on 2026-10-19, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 NFL Week 7 Predictions
Sports · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

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Claims extracted
20
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 20 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
67/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
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Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 11814 article(s) · 32 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 32 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Erich Richter
72 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
🔮 Game 6 of the ALCS heads back to St. Petersburg on Monday where the home team Rays will send prized trade deadline acquisition Freddy Peralta to the mound.
🔮 As a result of the multiple blood clots that have been found in his lungs, Hurts will be out till mid-January as he requires more significant care than previously known.
🔮 This is one of those few times when I have actually been “waiting all day for Sunday night,” as Carrie Underwood would put it.
🔮 - Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code That 0-4 start could quickly turn into 5-4 and you’ll be off to the races. Buy low on a Houston team that is all-in this year.
🔮 As is always the goal in sports wagering, we’re looking to get the best numbers and values on players. On “Sunday Night Football,” we have a massive projected total of 52.5 total points between the Cowboys and Packers, implying seven touchdowns will be scored in this game. Let’s buy the dip here and say thank you in what will be a bettor’s delight of a game.
🔮 With some positivity, Kiper has Manning rated ahead of Oregon QB Dante Moore, whom many prognosticators believed would be the No. 2 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, a pick held by the Jets.
🔮 McAfee threw cold water on a Front Office Sports opinion piece stating he could replace Aikman, who is in the last year of his deal and remains without a new contract while partner Joe Buck has been extended.
🔮 Fox colleague Curt Menefee previously said the former signal caller would never leave the NFL pregame show, and this is an honest admission from Bradshaw about his future.
🔮 The bizarre situation comes as the Astros are uncertain about nearly everything that involves the team’s future, with Espada’s contract set to expire at the end of October.
🔮 We move into Week 6 with two games featuring favorites of more than two scores that will garner the lion’s share of attention.
Also by Erich Richter
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 72 articles by Erich Richter →

Topics

Giants Lions NFL Patriots Texans

Subjects

Giants ORG · 3× Lions ORG · 3× NFL ORG · 3× Texans ORG · 3× Bears ORG · 2× Packers ORG · 2× Patriots ORG · 2× Bills ORG · 1× Houston ORG · 1× London GPE · 1×

Narrative

Far from a guarantee, and I’m projecting a lot here, but that’s using deductive reasoning, and that’s how you beat lines by two-plus points. Big Blue had a terrible showing in Week 6 against a hapless Saints squad; I think the Texans are legitimately excellent as well.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-19

Claims (20 extracted, 0 hedged)

Last week we nailed the Texans +3, an important number, and the line swiftly moved in our direction as Houston closed +2. asserted
Houston → nail → +2
They won outright in London, of course, but getting in early provided a great hedge opportunity. asserted
getting → win → opportunity
We did not receive the same fortune from the Bills. asserted
We → receive → Bills
They barely beat the Raiders, who covered the 5-point spread. asserted
who → beat → spread
We move on to Week 7 with these early predictions to target before the “Monday Night Football” matchup. asserted
We → move → matchup
Patriots +3.5 (55 percent, Polymarket) vs. Bears Targeting this early week “Thursday Night Football” matchup as the Patriots are still being a bit undervalued in my view. asserted
Patriots → target → view
The Bears mostly annihilated the Falcons, but their DVOA rating remained virtually unchanged thanks to a terrible 6.0 yards per play this year. asserted
rating → annihilate → play
New England has a better DVOA rating and I don’t think this hook lasts for very long. asserted
hook → have → long
Giants +10 (-115, DraftKings) vs. Texans I expect the Giants to turn to J.J. McCarthy this week and move this line closer to 7.5 before kickoff. asserted
Giants → expect → kickoff
Far from a guarantee, and I’m projecting a lot here, but that’s using deductive reasoning, and that’s how you beat lines by two-plus points. Big Blue had a terrible showing in Week 6 against a hapless Saints squad; I think the Texans are legitimately excellent as well. asserted
Texans → project → squad
But McCarthy looks like a legitimate player, and I’m all-in on him being the starter for the Giants this week and beyond. asserted
him → look → Giants
- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code Packers +3 (-106, FanDuel) vs. Lions Green Bay is a team I’m backing again this week. asserted
I → read → Lions
They’re far better than the betting market is saying. asserted
market → ’re → ?
They expect to get back Josh Jacobs this week, which should help them against a bad Lions defense. asserted
which → expect → defense
Detroit had the benefit of a bye week, but the Packers’ defense is quietly rated No. 8 in DVOA. asserted
defense → have → DVOA
Their offense is the only thing holding them back from being a top-10 team (No. 22 in offensive DVOA). asserted
offense → hold → DVOA
I think you’re looking at Lions -1.5 by kickoff on Sunday. asserted
you → think → Sunday
Why Trust New York Post Betting Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. asserted
he → trust → betting
During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. asserted
he → showcase → market
While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022. asserted
return → bet → 2022
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