Spender and Chalmers’ reform adviser back GST change to offset tax cuts

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Sakkal, P. (2026, October 18). Spender and Chalmers’ reform adviser back GST change to offset tax cuts. The Sydney Morning Herald. https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/spender-and-chalmers-reform-adviser-back-gst-change-to-offset-tax-cuts-20261019-p616g2.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed

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The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-10-18 · by Paul Sakkal

Quick Summary

Allegra Spender and Jim Chalmers’ economic adviser Aruna Sathanapally have proposed increasing Australia's GST from 10% to 15%, a change that could raise $76 billion annually. The Grattan Institute, an independent think-tank, supports this idea, suggesting that $33 billion be used for income tax cuts and $25 billion for welfare increases. This proposal comes amid concerns about inflation, productivity, and government spending growth under the Albanese government. Additionally, the article highlights internal Labor Party tensions regarding economic policy decisions, such as a recent controversy over credit card surcharges at the ATO.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-18, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Aruna Sathanapally, chief executive of The Grattan Institute, an influential think tank, has proposed increasing Australia's GST from 10% to 15%, and expanding it to include all types of food. This change is expected to raise $76 billion annually, with $33 billion allocated for tax cuts for lower- and middle-income workers and $25 billion for boosting welfare payments like JobSeeker, pensions, and rent assistance. Jim Chalmers, Australia's Treasurer, has expressed concern over high levels of state and federal spending and supports this proposal as a way to finance upcoming tax cuts while managing inflation and productivity issues. The move aims to leave lower-income families approximately $8000 better off annually under the proposed changes, according to Sathanapally's report set for release on Monday.

Written for “GST Change For Tax Cuts” on 2026-10-20, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 GST Change For Tax Cuts
Economy/Business · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

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Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
31
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
3%
1 of 31 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans strongly right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
61/100
The Sydney Morning Herald's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-18 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 4199 article(s) · 11 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 11 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Paul Sakkal
25 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 He also called for the prime minister to ensure rank-and-file members could vote on the party’s next leader if he resigned from the top job next year or after the election, due by 2028, making him the first MP to openly speculate about Labor’s future after Albanese’s dominant reign ends.
🔮 Liberal MP Garth Hamilton said the “nasty party” behaviour is what would inevitably cost conservatives at election time and hand Albanese his third term.
🔮 But with smarter spending decisions and a tax system that raises sufficient revenue to care for our ageing population, both current and future generations can be better off,” Sathanapally said, adding that lower-income families would be left about $8000 a year better off under the proposed changes.
🔮 Jim Chalmers knows the government is under the pump and he says Labor must up its game to battle inflation, the unintended consequences of its May budget and keep voters’ trust through a painful period of interest rate rises.
🔮 Business groups are warning years of expensive turmoil will be unleashed by the federal government’s plans for a minimum tax on discretionary trusts as Treasurer Jim Chalmers warns that without reform, the nation’s tax revenue will be eaten away, leaving working Australians exposed to even higher taxes.
🔮 Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Opposition Leader Angus Taylor are moving closer to a deal that would pave the way for the largest artificial intelligence firms to set up in Australia as Anthropic reasserts its warning that Australia’s copyright laws are blocking investment.
🔮 Several Labor MPs, including ministers, said it would be much better if the government soon came to some sort of agreement with the ATO to allow credit card payments beyond next July so that business owners were not left in limbo for months.
🔮 A top labour economist told this masthead on Wednesday that cutting the growing number of temporary migrants could help turn around Australia’s productivity malaise by encouraging firms to innovate instead of relying on cheap labour.
🔮 Rideshare and food delivery prices could spike as Coalition leader Angus Taylor trades efficiency for a migration and economic model that shifts away from Australia’s reliance on cheaper foreign workers.
🔮 Migration levels would be slashed in half during the first three years of a Coalition government, Opposition Leader Angus Taylor has announced, under a plan he says would not hit the budget bottom line.
Also by Paul Sakkal
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 25 articles by Paul Sakkal →

Topics

ATO Albanese Australia Labor The Grattan Institute

Subjects

Chalmers ORG · 5× ATO ORG · 3× Labor ORG · 3× Mulino PERSON · 3× Albanese PERSON · 2× Australia GPE · 2× Sathanapally PERSON · 2× Spender PERSON · 2× Allegra Spender PERSON · 1× Jim Chalmers PERSON · 1×

Narrative

But with smarter spending decisions and a tax system that raises sufficient revenue to care for our ageing population, both current and future generations can be better off,” Sathanapally said, adding that lower-income families would be left about $8000 a year better off under the proposed changes.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-18
🔮 But with smarter spending decisions and a tax system that raises sufficient revenue to care for our ageing population, both current and future generations can be better off,” Sathanapally said, adding that lower-income families would be left about $8000 a year better off under the proposed changes.
2026-10-18 · The Sydney Morning Herald
Spender and Chalmers’ reform adviser back GST change to offset tax cuts · assertive framing

Claims (31 extracted, 1 hedged)

A leading member of Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ economic advisory panel and MP Allegra Spender have separately raised the alarm on high levels of state and federal spending and called for a GST hike to pay for tax cuts for workers. asserted
member → lead → workers
The Grattan Institute, an influential independent think-tank, has come out in favour of a tax mix switch at a time of near-record tax and spending levels under the Albanese government. asserted
Institute → come → government
Federal ministers and backbenchers have become concerned about inflation and productivity in recent weeks as tension has emerged between Chalmers and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese. asserted
tension → become → Chalmers
In a report to be released on Monday, Grattan chief executive Aruna Sathanapally urges politicians to raise the GST from 10 to 15 per cent and expand it to include all types of food, raising $76 billion per year. asserted
Sathanapally → release → year
The think tank says $33 billion should be used to cut income taxes for lower- and middle-income workers while $25 billion should be put to boosting JobSeeker, pensions and rent assistance. asserted
billion → say → JobSeeker
Sathanapally, who Chalmers picked for his economic reform roundtable last year, called for fiscal rules to force profligate state governments to curb spending as the RBA threatens more rate rises to reduce demand that is partly fuelled by government spending. asserted
that → pick → spending
But with smarter spending decisions and a tax system that raises sufficient revenue to care for our ageing population, both current and future generations can be better off,” Sathanapally said, adding that lower-income families would be left about $8000 a year better off under the proposed changes. asserted
families → raise → changes
The institute says state government spending has grown even more quickly than the Commonwealth’s. asserted
spending → say → Commonwealth
Federal spending has still grown “substantially”, its report states, but Australia’s credit rating has remained steady while Queensland, Victoria, Tasmania and the ACT have all experienced rating downgrades. asserted
Queensland → grow → downgrades
The think tank’s intervention in the economic debate adds to recent calls for tax reform from former Coalition ministers Josh Frydenberg and Mathias Cormann, both of whom argue for change to the GST, and Labor figures Bill Kelty, Paul Keating and Lachlan Harris. asserted
both → add → GST
Albanese and Chalmers have been under internal and external pressure to address Australia’s economic problems. asserted
Albanese → address → problems
Their political headache was exacerbated by an own goal on credit card surcharges, which lead to the tax office refusing to accept credit card payments. asserted
office → exacerbate → payments
Assistant Treasurer Daniel Mulino admitted on Sunday that ministers knew the ATO might stop accepting credit cards as far back as July. uncertain
ATO → admit → July
Before Mulino’s comments in an interview on ABC’s Insiders, the government only emphasised its knowledge about the ATO’s final decision, which it learned in September. asserted
it → emphasise → September
“In July, the government became aware that the ATO was looking at options,” Mulino said. asserted
Mulino → become → options
Only about 5 per cent of taxpayers pay bills via credit card, but the move has added to arguments from the business lobby that Labor is not in touch with the concerns of business owners. asserted
Labor → pay → owners
treasurer Tim Wilson seized on Mulino failing to rule out 60 or 70 per cent tax rates for small businesses who use trusts and pay into a “bucket company”. asserted
who → seize → company
These firms will be incentivised to rearrange their structure. asserted
firms → incentivise → structure
On the proposal for fiscal rules, Wilson said: “They are like a diet and we know Labor can’t kick their spending addiction.” asserted
Labor → say → addiction
Spender, a tax reform advocate who was also on Chalmers’ reform panel last year, said fiscal rules were needed at the federal level, going beyond the Grattan Institute’s call for restrictions at state level. asserted
rules → say → level
Rules that would cap expenditure and tax were proposed by former Treasury secretary Ken Henry in last year’s roundtable, but Chalmers has argued against arbitrary caps. asserted
Chalmers → cap → caps
“The government should adopt stronger fiscal rules, particularly to manage expenditure. asserted
government → adopt → expenditure
Spending has grown too fast particularly for a high-inflation environment and we’re not bringing it back quick enough,” Spender said. asserted
Spender → grow → it
ACCI chief executive Andrew McKellar also supported fiscal rules in that meeting, and said on Sunday they were necessary. asserted
they → support → Sunday
Frydenberg, the former Coalition treasurer mulling a return to politics, called for debate on the GST last week but was quickly slapped down by Opposition Leader Angus Taylor. asserted
Frydenberg → mull → Taylor
Australia’s income tax rates are relatively high by international standards and the highest rate kicks in at relatively low-income threshold. asserted
rate → kick → threshold
Many tax experts say that income taxes reduce the incentive to work, whereas people notice less if the GST creates slightly higher prices, creating fewer distortions and a more efficient system. asserted
GST → say → distortions
The Grattan report says that the Commonwealth should use the higher GST take to cut back on the ballooning level of grant funding to the states in education and health, which are often subject to political dispute and compromise. asserted
which → say → dispute
Under Grattan’s proposals, a low-income single-parent family who rents would pay nearly $80 more in GST per week but receive $202 in extra welfare and receive a $27 income tax cut, leaving them $150 a week better off. asserted
who → rent → 150
A higher-income working family would pay about $162 more in tax because they consume more and pay more GST. asserted
they → work → GST
Subscribers can sign up to our weekly Inside Politics newsletter. asserted
Subscribers → sign → newsletter
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