ICE arrests keep soaring. Here’s why they are not leading to more deportations

The Straits Times · collected 2026-09-14 · by The Straits Times
Read the original at The Straits Times ↗

Summary

ICE arrests in the U.S. have been rising sharply since summer, reaching nearly 51,000 in August, a new record for the third consecutive month. This surge is due to increased cooperation between local law enforcement and ICE, better use of technology, and enhanced data sharing among federal agencies. However, despite these high arrest numbers, deportations have remained steady at about 1,200 per day, according to preliminary government data reviewed by Reuters. The article highlights that many recent arrests involve individuals without criminal records or pending legal claims, making immediate deportation difficult.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-14, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
39
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
26%
10 of 39 hedged
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject
Correction & hedging signals
58.4
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-14 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

ICE arrests in the U.S. have surged in recent months, reaching nearly 51,000 in August alone, setting a record for the third consecutive month. However, despite this increase, the number of daily deportations has remained relatively stable at around 1,200, according to preliminary government data analyzed by Reuters. Even when people are eligible for deportation, the process is complicated and requires coordination with receiving countries and transfers within a vast network of detention centers. This logistical challenge explains why, even in May when there were approximately 19,000 fewer arrests, the daily number of deportations was similar to August's figures. Former Biden administration official Blas Nuñez-Neto stated that securing flights for deportees has historically been a significant bottleneck in the process.

Written for “ICE Arrests Deportation Discrepancy” on 2026-09-14, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score -0.50 Confidence high
Leaning score -0.50 for article 8707 (high confidence, 3 verified quotes) · logged 2026-09-14

Story

📰 ICE Arrests Deportation Discrepancy
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

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Publisher

The Straits Times · 278 article(s) · 1 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 1 correction(s)
2026-09-13
Russia hits Ukrainian-Polish border area, Kyiv says

Who wrote this

The Straits Times
205 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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🔮 About the same number of people were deported per day in May, for example, when there were around 19,000 fewer arrests, according to arrests data obtained by the Deportation Data Project through a public records request and analyzed by Reuters.
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Also by The Straits Times
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 205 articles by The Straits Times →

Topics

ICE Reuters U.S. White House the Deportation Data Project

Subjects

ICE ORG · 5× Trump PERSON · 5× U.S. GPE · 5× Reuters ORG · 4× the United States GPE · 3× the Deportation Data Project ORG · 2× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× Lauren Bis PERSON · 1× Los Angeles GPE · 1× White House ORG · 1×

Narrative

Even when people are eligible for deportation, the logistics are complex, requiring coordination with receiving countries and transfers around a vast network of detention centers. “Getting people on planes is really hard, and the actual number of available planes has historically been a choke point,” said Blas Nuñez-Neto, a former Biden administration official.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-14
🔮 About the same number of people were deported per day in May, for example, when there were around 19,000 fewer arrests, according to arrests data obtained by the Deportation Data Project through a public records request and analyzed by Reuters.

Claims (39 extracted, 10 hedged)

ICE arrests keep soaring. asserted
arrests → soar → ?
Here’s why they are not leading to more deportations asserted
they → ’ → deportations
Immigration arrests in the U.S. have soared in recent months, aided by more local law enforcement cooperation with ICE, increased use of technology to track and process people, as well as enhanced data sharing between federal agencies. But the mass arrest campaign this summer did not lead to a commensurate increase in deportations -- according to preliminary U.S. government data reviewed by Reuters -- a reflection of the legal and logistical limits faced by President Donald Trump as he attempts to hit his mass deportation goals. uncertain
he → soar → goals
Even as arrests jumped to nearly 51,000 in August, setting a record for a third straight month, deportation numbers held mostly steady, averaging around 1,200 per day, the preliminary government data showed. asserted
data → jump → day
About the same number of people were deported per day in May, for example, when there were around 19,000 fewer arrests, according to arrests data obtained by the Deportation Data Project through a public records request and analyzed by Reuters. uncertain
number → deport → Reuters
The disconnect is partly due to who is being targeted, five current and former officials said. asserted
officials → target → ?
The arrests include a growing number of people with no criminal conviction or charge and without deportation orders, according to the Deportation Data Project figures. uncertain
arrests → include → figures
Many of those picked up had pending asylum or other legal claims – meaning they could not be immediately removed from the country unless they agreed to waive their rights and voluntarily depart. uncertain
they → pick → rights
A lack of available flights and limits set by receiving countries have also capped Trump’s deportation ambitions, former officials said. asserted
officials → set → ambitions
"This is a false narrative," White House spokeswoman Lauren Bis said in response to questions from Reuters. asserted
Bis → say → Reuters
"Thanks to President Trump’s strong immigration enforcement policies, three million illegals have left the United States.” asserted
illegals → leave → States
"ICE Officers are herewith ordered ... to do all in their power to achieve the very important goal of delivering the single largest Mass Deportation Program in History," Trump declared on Truth Social in June. asserted
Trump → order → June
Current and former officials said immigration officers are under growing pressure from the White House to hit a goal of 3,000 arrests per day. asserted
officers → say → day
"There are no quotas for arrests," DHS said in a statement to Reuters. asserted
DHS → be → Reuters
Throughout the summer, ICE agents partnered with local police to conduct traffic stops and picked up people at homes and job sites. asserted
agents → partner → homes
Others were detained at immigration courts or routine immigration appointments. asserted
Others → detain → courts
The administration continues to assert it is focused on the “worst of the worst,” but people with criminal convictions accounted for less than a quarter of arrests in July, the Deportation Data Project figures show. asserted
figures → continue → July
That figure was nearly 60% in December 2024, the month before Trump took office for a second time. asserted
Trump → take → time
Among the easiest people to find are those who have shared their personal information with the U.S. government, hoping to achieve legal status. asserted
who → find → status
These include immigrants being sponsored for green cards by U.S. citizen family members, those with asylum claims – and the more than a million people who have had their temporary legal status revoked during Trump’s second term. uncertain
status → include → term
But those people often have active cases to stay in the United States, which can make it more difficult to quickly deport them. asserted
it → have → them
Many also “have long roots in the United States and may be more likely to be able to quickly find a lawyer through their U.S. family members and may be more aware of their rights,” said Julia Gelatt, an associate director at the Migration Policy Institute think tank. uncertain
Gelatt → have → tank
At airports, following tips shared by the Transportation Security Administration, ICE has targeted people who had previously overstayed visas, even if they subsequently applied for asylum or married a U.S. citizen and had a path to legal status. asserted
they → follow → status
More than 1,200 people were arrested by ICE following tips from TSA through early June, according to internal government data shared with Reuters. uncertain
people → arrest → Reuters
Dolores Mendoza, 62, and Roberto Avalos, 64, were detained last week at an airport in Birmingham, Alabama, after returning from a trip to California to visit family. asserted
Mendoza → detain → family
The couple entered the country on tourist visas in 2015, and stayed and adopted their three U.S. citizen grandchildren after their daughter died of breast cancer. asserted
daughter → enter → cancer
Neither has a criminal record. asserted
Neither → have → record
Both obtained work authorization and have pending petitions for permanent U.S. residence through their eldest grandchild, Marvin, who is now 22 and able to sponsor them. asserted
who → obtain → them
Marvin said his younger brothers, ages 15 and 16, are struggling with their grandparents gone. asserted
grandparents → say → ?
The youngest “hasn’t come out of his room often,” Marvin said. asserted
Marvin → come → room
”The couple's lawyer has filed a case in federal court contesting the detention as unlawful. asserted
lawyer → file → detention
Some who can't afford a lawyer have languished in detention. asserted
who → afford → detention
Yajaira Moran, 50, has been held for the past five months despite having a pending claim for a crime victim visa as a survivor of domestic violence. uncertain
Moran → hold → violence
In early September, she gave up and asked to go back to her home country of Nicaragua. asserted
she → give → Nicaragua
She remains in detention as she waits to be deported. asserted
she → remain → detention
Even when people are eligible for deportation, the logistics are complex, requiring coordination with receiving countries and transfers around a vast network of detention centers. “Getting people on planes is really hard, and the actual number of available planes has historically been a choke point,” said Blas Nuñez-Neto, a former Biden administration official. asserted
Neto → require → planes
While the Trump administration signed a deal last year to purchase six Boeing 737 planes for deportations, those planes are still undergoing FAA checks and are not yet in use, according to a person briefed on the matter. uncertain
planes → sign → matter
Planes in the existing fleet often depart without being at capacity, due to logistical, legal and diplomatic issues, former officials said, or because the receiving country has limited the number of people it can accept. asserted
it → exist → people
Recent deportation flights to the Haitian coastal city of Cap Haitien have carried as few as 57 people, according to the Human Rights First advocacy group. uncertain
flights → carry → group
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