People in the US: what is your personal ‘recession indicator’?

Read the original at The Guardian ↗
Cite

Guardian community team. (2026, October 15). People in the US: what is your personal ‘recession indicator’? The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/oct/15/what-is-your-personal-recession-indicator

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Guardian · collected 2026-10-15 · by Guardian community team

Quick Summary

A new Harris Poll conducted for The Guardian shows that nearly two-thirds of Americans believe the US is experiencing a recession, despite economic growth being positive by standard definitions. Many people feel an economic downturn due to higher prices and a stagnant job market. The article invites readers to share their personal "recession indicators," which could be observed in various aspects of daily life such as employment or local businesses.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-15, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

As of 2026-10-15, a new Harris Poll conducted for The Guardian shows that nearly two-thirds of Americans believe the US is experiencing a recession, despite economic growth not being negative for two consecutive quarters as typically defined. Many Americans are facing higher prices and a stagnant job market, leading to widespread feelings of an economic downturn in their daily lives. The poll aims to gather personal "recession indicators" from readers, such as observations at work, local grocery stores, schools, or communities that signal an incoming economic slump.

Written for “US Recession Indicator” on 2026-10-15, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 82873 · logged 2026-10-15

Story

📰 US Recession Indicator
Economy/Business · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 29% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Key US voters say economy is getting worse ahead of midterms, exclusive poll finds different event · 85%
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 10% hedged 3 of 29 📰 publisher trust 68
“While both articles report on a Harris Poll conducted for the Guardian, they describe different aspects of the poll's findings and questions.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
7
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
29%
2 of 7 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
68/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-15 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

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Running correction rate · 4 correction(s)
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2026-09-20
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2026-09-07
Former Louisiana mayor completes 90-day jail term for raping 16-year-old boy

Who wrote this

Guardian community team
1 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 It could be seen in your job or at your local grocery store, something you notice at your children’s school or out in your community.
2026-10-15 · mixed framing · People in the US: what is your personal ‘recession indicator’?
Wire or desk byline, not an individual reporter.
Nothing else under this byline in the corpus.

Topics

Americans Guardian

Subjects

Americans NORP · 3× Guardian ORG · 1×

Narrative

By the typical definition of a recession – when a country’s economic growth is in the negative for two consecutive quarters – the US is not experiencing one.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-15
🔮 It could be seen in your job or at your local grocery store, something you notice at your children’s school or out in your community.
2026-10-15 · The Guardian
People in the US: what is your personal ‘recession indicator’? · mixed framing

Claims (7 extracted, 2 hedged)

Nearly two-thirds of Americans think the US is experiencing a recession, according to a new Harris Poll conducted for the Guardian. uncertain
US → think → Guardian
By the typical definition of a recession – when a country’s economic growth is in the negative for two consecutive quarters – the US is not experiencing one. asserted
US → experience → one
Still, Americans are facing higher prices and a stagnant job market, which for many feels like a downturn. asserted
which → face → downturn
We want to hear from Americans: do you feel like the US is experiencing a recession? asserted
US → want → recession
What is your so-called personal “recession indicator”, or a signal in your everyday life that points to an incoming economic slump? asserted
that → call → slump
It could be seen in your job or at your local grocery store, something you notice at your children’s school or out in your community. uncertain
you → see → community
If you’re having trouble using the form, click here. asserted
you → have → form
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