The Planet Mercury Has Been Shrinking—More Than Scientists Expected

TIME · collected 2026-09-11 · by Jeffrey Kluger
Read the original at TIME ↗

Summary

Scientists have discovered that Mercury has been shrinking significantly more than previously thought, losing about 3-6 kilometers in diameter over its 4.5 billion-year history. A new study analyzed data from NASA's MESSENGER spacecraft, which orbited Mercury between 2011 and 2015. The research focused on "shortening structures" - distortions in the surface caused by contraction - to estimate the extent of Mercury's shrinkage. According to the findings, Mercury has contracted by up to 10 kilometers more than initially estimated.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-11, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
41
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
17%
7 of 41 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher trust
94.8
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
2
Science
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-11 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

Mercury, the smallest planet in our solar system, has been shrinking over billions of years more than previously thought, according to recent findings published in Geophysical Research Letters. Scientists made this discovery using data from the MESSENGER spacecraft, which orbited Mercury from March 2011 until its crash landing on April 30, 2015. MESSENGER collected extensive images and measurements that showed deformations across the planet’s surface, indicating significant contraction due to cooling and solidification of its interior. Understanding Mercury's shrinking helps scientists better comprehend how other rocky planets formed and evolved, including Earth-like worlds around distant stars.

Written for “Mercury Shrinkage Discovery” on 2026-09-12, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 8048 · logged 2026-09-11

Story

📰 Mercury Shrinkage Discovery
Science · 2 article(s) covering the same event.

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Source leaning vs. consistency

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This article reads unscored and hedges 17% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
404 Media
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 16% hedged 7 of 45 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles discuss the same new scientific discovery about Mercury shrinking more than previously thought, based on a study published in Geophysical Research Letters.”

Publisher

TIME · 119 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Jeffrey Kluger
3 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 In those four-plus years on the job, MESSENGER did a lot of work, studying Mercury with seven different scientific instruments—including its Mercury Laser Altimeter, a ranging tool that could measure surface features to within one meter; and a dual imaging system that used two cameras to map the surface in wide- and narrow-angle and black and white and color.
🔮 “We are thinking it will be in the early 2030s,” he says.
🔮 But that will happen on the evening of Aug. 27 when much of the world will be able to witness a blood moon lunar eclipse, during which 96% of the face of the full moon will fall into Earth’s shadow, glowing a deep orange-red in the process.
Also by Jeffrey Kluger
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Geophysical Research Letters MESSENGER MErcury Surface, Space ENvironment Mercury Laser Altimeter Mercury MESSENGER

Subjects

Gaku Nishiyama PERSON · 1× Geophysical Research Letters ORG · 1× NASA ORG · 1× the German Aerospace Center Institute of Space Research ORG · 1×

Narrative

With the cooperation of NASA, the custodian of the MESSENGER images, a team led by Gaku Nishiyama, a planetary scientist at the German Aerospace Center Institute of Space Research and the lead author of the new paper, harvested two-dimensional pictures taken by the spacecraft’s dual-imaging system and combined them in such a way that every patch of surveyed land was captured twice—from slightly different angles each time.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-11
🔮 In those four-plus years on the job, MESSENGER did a lot of work, studying Mercury with seven different scientific instruments—including its Mercury Laser Altimeter, a ranging tool that could measure surface features to within one meter; and a dual imaging system that used two cameras to map the surface in wide- and narrow-angle and black and white and color.

Claims (41 extracted, 7 hedged)

The solar system’s smallest planet, it measures just 3,023 miles across—or barely 3.6% of the 88,846 mi. diameter of Jupiter, the solar system’s largest. asserted
it → measure → Jupiter
Saturn’s moon Titan and Jupiter’s Ganymede both also have greater diameters than Mercury. asserted
Titan → have → Mercury
And according to a new study in Geophysical Research Letters, Mercury has actually put in the work to get as small as it is, spending part of the past 4.5 billion years shrinking—significantly more than planetologists once thought. uncertain
planetologists → accord → years
That matters. asserted
That → matter → ?
Figuring out the history of Mercury provides clues to how all rocky worlds like the moon and Mars formed. asserted
worlds → figure → moon
And what happens in our solar system surely happens in ones much farther afield in space. asserted
happens → happen → space
How did scientists measure Mercury’s shrinking? asserted
scientists → measure → shrinking
The findings come courtesy of data gathered by the Mercury MESSENGER spacecraft—a ship whose name was derived from the decidedly clumsy acronym “MErcury Surface, Space ENvironment, GEochemistry, and Ranging.” asserted
name → come → acronym
MESSENGER launched in August 2004; reached Mercury in March 2011; and completed 4,105 orbits of the planet before running out of fuel and crashing into the surface on April 30, 2015. asserted
MESSENGER → launch → April
In those four-plus years on the job, MESSENGER did a lot of work, studying Mercury with seven different scientific instruments—including its Mercury Laser Altimeter, a ranging tool that could measure surface features to within one meter; and a dual imaging system that used two cameras to map the surface in wide- and narrow-angle and black and white and color. uncertain
that → do → angle
Scientists have known for a long time that Mercury has gotten steadily smaller since its birth. asserted
Mercury → know → birth
The planet was formed when dust, gas, rocks, and asteroids left over from the formation of the sun collided and collected, coalescing into a discrete body and generating enormous amounts of heat in the process. asserted
dust → form → process
Over the eons much of that heat dissipated, causing Mercury to contract by what astronomers estimated to be 2.5 miles to 10 miles in diameter. asserted
astronomers → dissipate → diameter
To confirm that conclusion, MESSENGER scientists used the spacecraft’s laser altimeter and dual-imager to scan the planet looking for so-called shortening structures, which are distortions in the surface made up of wrinkles, ridges, and what are known as lobate scarps—cliff-like structures that form when the crust pushes rock upward along a fault. asserted
crust → confirm → fault
Shortening structures form when a planet contracts; the greater the number of those surface features, the greater the planetary shrinkage has been. asserted
shrinkage → shorten → features
MESSENGER did its best to map shortening structures across the entirety of the planet, but two things made that job a challenge. asserted
job → do → planet
For starters, the more powerful of its two imaging systems, the laser altimeter, could not operate effectively if the spacecraft was more than 930 miles away from the planet—a proximity it reached only when it was over Mercury’s north polar region during its sweeping elliptical orbits; at other points it was as much as 9,500 miles distant. uncertain
it → image → points
The dual-imaging system could survey the surface during those more remote approaches, but it did not produce the detailed three-dimensional pictures the laser altimeter did. uncertain
altimeter → image → pictures
The shortening structures formed early in the planet’s history, and in the eons since, Mercury has been steadily pounded by incoming asteroids, gouging out craters and scattering debris, obscuring the telltale scars of planetary contraction. asserted
Mercury → shorten → contraction
It’s possible to read through that rubble—tracing shortening structures until they are covered up by craters or rocks and estimating what their course and reach was—but that takes planet-wide three-dimensional maps, something that MESSENGER did not provide. asserted
MESSENGER → ’ → that
With the cooperation of NASA, the custodian of the MESSENGER images, a team led by Gaku Nishiyama, a planetary scientist at the German Aerospace Center Institute of Space Research and the lead author of the new paper, harvested two-dimensional pictures taken by the spacecraft’s dual-imaging system and combined them in such a way that every patch of surveyed land was captured twice—from slightly different angles each time. asserted
patch → lead → angles
“We used a digital terrain model generated through so-called stereophotogrammetric technique,” says Nishiyama. asserted
Nishiyama → use → technique
“Combining two images taken at different viewing angles [is similar to the way] human beings recognize stuff with both eyes. asserted
beings → combine → eyes
So two-dimensional images are combined to derive three-dimensional topography.” asserted
images → combine → topography
With the help of that detailed terrain map, Nishiyama and his colleagues were able to study the entirety of Mercury with a resolution never before achieved. asserted
Nishiyama → study → resolution
That helped the team infer the location and reach of shortening structures that were otherwise covered up over time, and that, in turn, led them to conclude that previous calculations of Mercury’s historical shrinkage were underestimates. asserted
calculations → help → shrinkage
“We find a lack of shortening structures in rough regions,” the researchers wrote, “suggesting that roughness-related processes obscure pre-existing structures. asserted
processes → find → structures
This biases previous contraction estimates downward… implying that Mercury’s contraction is up to 30% larger than previously thought. asserted
contraction → bias → estimates
What can Mercury’s shrinking teach us about the planet and our solar system? asserted
shrinking → teach → planet
Increased shrinkage means planetologists have to rethink what they previously believed about the chemical composition and temperature of Mercury’s core, with lower sulfur or silicon content than previously believed, leading to faster cooling and more contraction. asserted
they → increase → cooling
It could also suggest that Mercury’s core started out hotter than suspected, which resulted in a more dramatic volume change when it finally did cool down. uncertain
it → suggest → change
“More shrinking means Mercury could have a larger metal core, less light elements like silicon mixed into the metal core, or a higher starting temperature,” said Nishiyama in a statement that accompanied the release of the study. uncertain
that → mean → study
What Nishiyama and his colleagues learned about Mercury’s cooling and shrinking could have implications for the study of other rocky worlds like the moon and Mars. uncertain
learned → learn → moon
The moon has more craters and other rough features than Mercury, making it more important to try to interpret the shortening structures that did survive in order to estimate potential lunar shrinkage—learning if what happened on Mercury indeed happened on the moon and perhaps Mars. asserted
happened → have → moon
If so, says Nishiyama, all three worlds are likely to be contracting still, as heat continues to escape from their interiors into space. asserted
heat → say → space
Meantime, Mercury will get a closer look soon. asserted
Mercury → get → look
In 2018, the European and Japanese space agencies launched the BepiColombo spacecraft on an eight-year journey to Mercury. asserted
agencies → launch → Mercury
The ship will arrive in December and begin science operations in April 2027. asserted
ship → arrive → April
BepiColombo has a significantly more powerful laser altimeter than MESSENGER’s, able to resolve surface changes as small as 20 centimeters (8 in.). asserted
BepiColombo → have → centimeters
The spacecraft will also be in a less eccentric orbit than MESSENGER, putting more of Mercury’s surface within its crosshairs. asserted
spacecraft → put → crosshairs
…and 1 more, not listed.
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