Why isn't Canada blocking the Welland Canal? Other trade war questions answered

CBC News · collected 2026-09-11 · by John Mazerolle
Read the original at CBC News ↗

Summary

This article answers reader questions about Canada's approach to the US trade war, specifically why certain tactics like blocking the Welland Canal or imposing export taxes on energy are not being used. The article cites experts such as former prime minister Jean Chrétien and economist Don Drummond who suggest that these measures could have severe long-term effects for Canada. According to data from 2025, Canadian commodities made up a significant portion of US imports, including oil (63%), electricity (81%), natural gas (99%), and potash (80%). However, economists warn that targeting US energy could play into the hands of the US administration and unite Americans against Canada.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-11, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
31
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
19%
6 of 31 hedged
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher trust
95.4
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-11 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

Canadian energy exports play a significant role in the US market, with 62% of Canadian oil imports going to the US by 2025. Some suggest Canada could impose export duties on these energy products, but experts have mixed opinions on the matter. Former chief economist for TD Bank Don Drummond believes export taxes are an option, while former prime minister Jean Chrétien thinks an export tax on oil, gas, electricity, and potash might be necessary to address trade tensions with the US. However, others argue that such a move would unfairly burden Canadians, as it would likely increase costs for American consumers rather than directly targeting the US economy.

Written for “Canada Trade War Measures” on 2026-09-12, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it +0.35, but none of the 1 quote(s) it offered could be found in the article text, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 7767: no verified evidence · logged 2026-09-11

Story

📰 Canada Trade War Measures
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 19% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
CBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 48% hedged 23 of 48 📰 publisher trust 95
“The articles discuss different aspects of the Canada-U.S. trade relationship and do not refer to the same specific incident or occurrence.”
Retaliation different event · 90%
Reason
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 7% hedged 3 of 43 📰 publisher trust 91
“Article A describes the implementation of retaliatory tariffs by Canada, while Article B asks questions about the trade war and potential Canadian responses, without mentioning tariffs or the specific date mentioned in Article A.”
Deutsche Welle
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 8% hedged 3 of 38 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A describes the opening celebration of the Gordie Howe International Bridge, while Article B discusses trade war questions and tactics between Canada and the US, without mentioning the bridge or its opening.”
National Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 32% hedged 8 of 25 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article B discusses trade war questions, including blocking the Welland Canal, while Article A focuses on Canada's retaliatory tariffs taking effect”
The Globe and Mail
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 4 of 42 📰 publisher trust 40
“Article B focuses on answering reader questions about trade war tactics, while Article A reports on the actual implementation of countertariffs by Canada”
BBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 6% hedged 2 of 31 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A reports on Canada's retaliatory tariffs taking effect, while Article B discusses potential measures in response to the trade war, but does not mention the same specific happening”
Semafor
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 4 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article B does not describe the escalation or tit-for-tat tariffs mentioned in Article A, but rather addresses hypothetical questions about Canada's trade war tactics”
CBC News
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 19% hedged 6 of 32 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A mentions counter-tariffs on semi-trailers starting September 8, while Article B discusses general trade war questions but does not mention a specific date or action related to the same event”

Publisher

CBC News · 288 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

John Mazerolle
3 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 How they could send oil prices surging even further Yemeni rebels threatening to take control of a key chokepoint in the Middle East Almost three years after the Houthis garnered international media attention for attacking commercial ships off Yemen, the rebels have only increased their violent influence in the Middle East. Here's a primer on the group that has been a thorn in the side of Israel, Saudi Arabia, the U.S. and international shipping routes, and whose grievances could push the price of global oil even higher. Who are the Houthis? The Houthis are a group on one side of a Yemeni civil war that killed more than 100,000 people before entering a fragile ceasefire in 2022.
🔮 CBC News answers your questions about export taxes, sales bans and toilet paper Reading through the emails that readers send to CBC News, one gets the impression they don't want just "elbows up" in the Canada-U.S. trade war, but also sticks, knees, skates and whatever else might be lying around.
🔮 No, I would much rather do other things.
2026-08-20 · assertive framing · Why everyone is talking about Trump's aide Natalie Harp
Also by John Mazerolle
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Americans CBC News Canada Canadians U.S.

Subjects

Canada GPE · 14× U.S. GPE · 12× Canadians NORP · 5× CBC News ORG · 4× Americans NORP · 3× Canadian NORP · 3× Alberta GPE · 2× Carney PERSON · 2× Saskatchewan GPE · 2× Tombe PERSON · 2×

Narrative

Trump critic Jennifer Hillman, formerly general counsel at the Office of the United States Trade Representative under then-president Bill Clinton, told CBC News Network it would "absolutely be a total violation of international law, and I think not really a good idea because you're blocking both sides' goods. "
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-11
🔮 CBC News answers your questions about export taxes, sales bans and toilet paper Reading through the emails that readers send to CBC News, one gets the impression they don't want just "elbows up" in the Canada-U.S. trade war, but also sticks, knees, skates and whatever else might be lying around.

Claims (31 extracted, 6 hedged)

Why isn't Canada blocking the Welland Canal? asserted
Canada → block → Canal
Other trade war questions answered asserted
questions → answer → ?
CBC News answers your questions about export taxes, sales bans and toilet paper Reading through the emails that readers send to CBC News, one gets the impression they don't want just "elbows up" in the Canada-U.S. trade war, but also sticks, knees, skates and whatever else might be lying around. uncertain
whatever → answer → war
One of the most common questions is some variation of, "Why isn't Canada doing X?" — where X is a tactic or tariff the reader supposes will hit the U.S. where it hurts. asserted
it → do → U.S.
Here's a look at some of those suggestions and what key players or observers have had to say about them. asserted
players → have → them
Why doesn't Canada put export duties on energy as the cost is borne by Americans not Canadians? asserted
cost → put → Americans
Don Drummond, former chief economist for TD Bank, told CBC News late last month that export taxes are an option. asserted
taxes → tell → News
Former prime minister Jean Chrétien said this week that an export tax on oil, gas, electricity and potash might be needed. uncertain
tax → say → oil
In 2025, Canadian commodities accounted for 63 per cent of oil imported into the U.S., 81 per cent of imported electricity, 99 per cent of imported natural gas and 80 per cent of imported potash. asserted
commodities → account → potash
However, Wolfgang Alschner, the Hyman Soloway Chair in Business and Trade Law at the University of Ottawa, warned that the long-term effects of such a move could be severe for Canada, both through lost revenue and damage to the relationship with its biggest customer. uncertain
effects → warn → customer
The U.S. could respond much as Canada has to U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs: by trying to diversify away from a partner it can no longer count on and finding new suppliers. uncertain
it → respond → suppliers
Canada has leverage in this trade fight, but economists warn it comes with a cost - Analysis The art of inflicting pain: How to select targets for Canada's counter-tariffs University of Calgary economist Trevor Tombe and Christopher Ragan, founding director of McGill University's Max Bell School of Public Policy, made the same point separately: targeting U.S. energy could play into the hands of the U.S. administration and unite Americans against Canada. Prime Minister Mark Carney said in July he doesn't "see the value" in using energy exports as a bargaining chip. uncertain
he → have → chip
Carney said being a reliable supplier is important. asserted
being → say → ?
Canadians can be trusted," he said. asserted
he → trust → ?
This has mostly already happened at a provincial level with alcohol, in every province except Alberta and Saskatchewan. asserted
This → happen → Alberta
Saskatchewan this week added a retaliatory levy on U.S. alcohol. asserted
Saskatchewan → add → alcohol
Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne has shown no interest in that sort of approach, stressing that Canada's response will be proportionate, strategic and targeted. asserted
response → show → approach
Poilievre tells U.S. TV Canadians are 'wounded' and 'confused' to be in America's crosshairs Trade war, Alberta referendum loom large as Carney charts cabinet's year forward asserted
Carney → tell → year
The U.S. may, of course, reply in kind to any ban, as it has with alcohol: Most imports of Canadian-made alcohol will be banned from the United States on Sept. 29. uncertain
imports → reply → Sept.
Tombe, discussing tariffs, told CBC News late last month that Canada has to be careful when selecting products to target because they need to be items Canadians can replace relatively easily but Americans cannot. asserted
Americans → discuss → products
If tariffs are applied to harder-to-replace items — "a particular type of circuit board, say, or piece of machinery," that merely complicates life and increases costs for the Canadian importer, Tombe said. asserted
Tombe → apply → importer
Can Canada stop U.S. ships using the Welland Canal? asserted
ships → stop → Canal
The Welland Canal is on the western half of the St. Lawrence Seaway, which connects the St. Lawrence River to the Great Lakes. asserted
which → connect → Lakes
The canal links Lake Ontario to Lake Erie using eight locks, all in Ontario, that can be filled with water or drained to move vessels between different water levels. asserted
that → link → levels
But the seaway is overseen by both the U.S. and Canada. asserted
seaway → oversee → U.S.
The Great Lakes St. Lawrence Seaway Development Corporation administers the seaway on the American side as a federal agency within the U.S. Department of Transportation. asserted
Corporation → administer → Transportation
In Canada, the federal government owns the Canadian portion of the seaway, but it is managed by the non-profit St. Lawrence Seaway Management Corporation. asserted
it → own → Corporation
The U.S. also controls several important locks, including ones in New York state between Lake Ontario and Montreal and others in Michigan that connect Lake Superior and Lake Huron. asserted
that → control → Huron
John Boscariol, a Toronto-based co-head of international trade and investment law at the Canadian law firm McCarthy Tétrault, told CHCH News in Hamilton that closing the canal would be "shooting ourselves in the foot" and would hurt Canadian businesses just as much as U.S. businesses. asserted
closing → base → businesses
Trump critic Jennifer Hillman, formerly general counsel at the Office of the United States Trade Representative under then-president Bill Clinton, told CBC News Network it would "absolutely be a total violation of international law, and I think not really a good idea because you're blocking both sides' goods. " asserted
you → tell → goods
I would hope that's not a road anybody would go down." What questions do you have about the latest tariffs? asserted
you → hope → tariffs
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