The long list of former Coalition MPs seeking new home in One Nation’s crowded NSW ticket

Read the original at The Sydney Morning Herald ↗
The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-10-13 · by Michael McGowan

Quick Summary

Former Coalition MPs and officials are defecting to join One Nation's ranks in preparation for the upcoming New South Wales election. This includes notable figures like Katherine Deves, Hollie Hughes, and Lou Amato, who previously ran under major parties but now seek positions within One Nation’s crowded ticket. The party faces a dilemma as it tries to maintain its anti-establishment image while fielding candidates from the political mainstream. Despite confirming only three preselected candidates—Mike Newman, Stuart Bonds, and Jeff Bacon—the party has received over 800 applications for candidacy.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-13, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Katherine Deves, Hollie Hughes, and Lou Amato are among several former Liberal and National Party members seeking positions on One Nation's crowded NSW election ticket for the upper house. This trend contradicts One Nation's anti-establishment narrative, as these candidates previously belonged to major political parties. The party's leader, Mike Newman, has claimed that future candidates will come from outside the traditional political class, but this influx of former MPs challenges his assertion. The nomination list also includes Les Wells, a former Nationals staffer who now serves as One Nation’s registered officer in NSW. This shift suggests a significant realignment within Australian politics ahead of the 2026 NSW election.

Written for “Australian Politics Shifts” on 2026-10-13, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.35, but every quote it verified points right, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 77267: score contradicts its own evidence · logged 2026-10-13

Story

📰 Australian Politics Shifts
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Cite this article

McGowan, M. (2026, October 13). The long list of former Coalition MPs seeking new home in One Nation’s crowded NSW ticket. The Sydney Morning Herald. https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/the-long-list-of-former-coalition-mps-seeking-new-home-in-one-nation-s-crowded-nsw-ticket-20261014-p614zv.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
36
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
6%
2 of 36 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
61/100
The Sydney Morning Herald's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-13 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 3511 article(s) · 10 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 10 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Michael McGowan
12 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 A conga line of Liberal and National Party defectors is vying to run for One Nation at the NSW election next year, belying the populist party’s anti-establishment narrative and potentially undermining leader Mike Newman’s claim that candidates will come from outside the political class.
🔮 One Nation will refuse to submit its policies to financial scrutiny before the 2027 election, rejecting Labor’s bid to pressure the populist party into having its promises costed by the state’s independent budget office.
🔮 The Minns government will pressure One Nation to submit its policies for formal costings ahead of the March election by changing the law to allow the NSW independent Parliamentary Budget Office to run the ruler over the resurgent right-wing party’s promises.
🔮 Third-party lobbyists will be forced to disclose links to local councils for the first time in a significant shake-up of integrity laws after the explosive Operation Rosny anti-corruption inquiry uncovered links between a slew of senior Liberal Party operatives and fugitive property developer Jean Nassif.
🔮 One Nation would scrap independent assessment of major new coal mines and hand decision-making power back to politicians as part of the resurgent right-wing party’s plan to reverse decades of planning reforms designed to limit corruption risk by removing ministerial power over major projects.
🔮 A group campaigning against developer Stockland’s proposed $2.9 billion, 25,400-square-metre data centre at the former Kogarah Golf Club site on the banks of the Cooks River was left bemused after the council wrote to it this week informing them they would not be allowed to hold a protest in a park on Friday evening.
🔮 “This result will be seen as a victory for the current MPs and the party’s present establishment and their political strategy,” he wrote, identifying it as “mainstream progressive”.
🔮 Those attacks led the government to announce it would roll out year-long drone surveillance, as well as a trial of artificial intelligence to identify sharks.
🔮 The racing regulator now faces the potential of a finding that it acted in contempt of parliament, after the chair of the committee, Labor MP Stephen Lawrence, said the investigation into Latham could have “a tendency to substantially interfere in a member of parliament doing their job”.
🔮 “Without a will, she was unable to have a funeral without his consent,” Thornton’s mother Kylie Bailey said on Tuesday.
Also by Michael McGowan
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 12 articles by Michael McGowan →

Topics

Liberal NSW Nationals One Nation One Nation’s

Subjects

One Nation ORG · 8× Liberal NORP · 6× NSW GPE · 5× Nationals ORG · 5× Newman PERSON · 3× Coalition ORG · 2× One Nation’s ORG · 2× Katherine Deves PERSON · 1× Mike Newman PERSON · 1× National Party ORG · 1×

Narrative

The long list of familiar faces who have nominated for One Nation’s increasingly crowded upper house ticket include Katherine Deves, the anti-trans campaigner picked by former prime minister Scott Morrison to run for the Liberals for a tilt at the seat of Warringah in 2022, former federal Liberal senator Hollie Hughes and former NSW upper house MP Lou Amato.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-13
🔮 A conga line of Liberal and National Party defectors is vying to run for One Nation at the NSW election next year, belying the populist party’s anti-establishment narrative and potentially undermining leader Mike Newman’s claim that candidates will come from outside the political class.
2026-10-13 · The Sydney Morning Herald
The long list of former Coalition MPs seeking new home in One Nation’s crowded NSW ticket · assertive framing

Claims (36 extracted, 2 hedged)

A conga line of Liberal and National Party defectors is vying to run for One Nation at the NSW election next year, belying the populist party’s anti-establishment narrative and potentially undermining leader Mike Newman’s claim that candidates will come from outside the political class. uncertain
candidates → vie → class
While One Nation is yet to confirm most of its candidates for the upcoming election, potential nominees include a growing list of former Liberal and Nationals MPs, as well as one-time political hopefuls. asserted
nominees → confirm → MPs
The long list of familiar faces who have nominated for One Nation’s increasingly crowded upper house ticket include Katherine Deves, the anti-trans campaigner picked by former prime minister Scott Morrison to run for the Liberals for a tilt at the seat of Warringah in 2022, former federal Liberal senator Hollie Hughes and former NSW upper house MP Lou Amato. asserted
who → nominate → 2022
One or all of them could also run for a spot in the lower house. uncertain
One → run → house
They are among a slew of former major party MPs, candidates and officials to join One Nation’s ranks over recent months. asserted
They → join → months
The party’s new registered officer in NSW, Les Wells, is a former Nationals staffer who made an unsuccessful tilt to be the party’s candidate in the seat of Oxley at the 2023 state election. asserted
who → register → election
Sean Gleeson, who ran for the Nationals in the seat of Port Macquarie at a byelection last year, has also held discussions with One Nation about potentially running for the party in 2027. asserted
who → run → 2027
Gleeson remains a member of the Nationals but has stepped down as chair of its local state electoral conference and is weighing up a potential defection. asserted
Gleeson → remain → defection
He declined to comment. asserted
He → decline → ?
Other one-time NSW Coalition figures to jump ship include the ex-Wollondilly Liberal MP Nathaniel Smith and the former Upper Hunter Nationals MP Michael Johnsen. asserted
figures → jump → MP
The latter resigned from parliament in 2021 following allegations he raped a sex worker. asserted
he → resign → worker
He later said he had been “vindicated” after the NSW Department of Public Prosecutions recommended there was “insufficient admissible evidence to proceed with charges”. asserted
Department → say → charges
In a statement, One Nation said only three candidates had been preselected: Newman, and lead upper house candidates Stuart Bonds and Tamworth gun-maker Jeff Bacon. asserted
candidates → say → statement
“We have received more than 800 applications from community leaders, advocates and business people,” a party spokeswoman said. asserted
spokeswoman → receive → leaders
“Candidates for the 2027 election will be announced as we approach March 13th 2027.” asserted
we → announce → 13th
The influx of Coalition defectors into the party’s NSW division presents an emerging tension for the resurgent right-wing party as it tries to maintain its outsider status while seeking to mount a serious challenge against both major parties at the March election. asserted
it → present → election
As the Minns government increasingly sharpens its focus on One Nation, figures within the party are keenly aware of the risk of being tagged as Liberal-lite. asserted
figures → sharpen → lite
Newman, a former investment banker and NSW trade commissioner, has repeatedly said One Nation would field candidates from outside the political mainstream. asserted
Nation → say → mainstream
At a press conference on Tuesday, he said that would be the “palpable difference” between One Nation and the major parties at the election. asserted
that → say → election
“I’ve said before I am not a politician. asserted
I → say → ?
I don’t have any political background,” he said. asserted
he → have → background
“I don’t belong to parties that I’m beholden to internal structures. asserted
I → belong → structures
You are, we’re not, and that is going to be the palpable difference that will be at this election.” asserted
that → ’re → election
In defending the party’s policy to scrap independent assessment of mining projects and instead hand decision-making powers back to ministers, Newman argued a One Nation government would be less susceptible to corruption because they “are not former politicians”. asserted
they → defend → corruption
But many of those swelling the party’s ranks are. asserted
many → swell → ranks
She is currently “strategic counsel” for Coalition-aligned lobbying firm DPG Advisory, run by former Liberal adviser and Morrison ally David Gazard. asserted
She → align → Gazard
She was booted from a winnable spot before the last election. asserted
She → boot → election
Amato, similarly, was an upper house MP for the former NSW state government before he was bumped from the ticket before the 2023 election. asserted
he → bump → election
Deves, a prominent campaigner opposing the inclusion of trans women in women’s sport, was the Liberal Party’s pick to take on Warringah MP Zali Steggall at the 2022 election. asserted
Deves → oppose → election
Her candidacy prompted a firestorm of criticism, and she issued a series of apologies over social media posts including one in which she compared her anti-trans activism to resistance against the Nazis. asserted
she → prompt → Nazis
Hughes and Amato did not respond to a request for comment. asserted
Hughes → respond → comment
Deves referred the Herald to One Nation. asserted
Deves → refer → Nation
With the election less than six months away, Labor has honed in on One Nation as repeated polls show the party leading the Coalition. asserted
party → hone → Coalition
NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey this week challenged the party to submit its promises to independent budget scrutiny, saying the state couldn’t live in “budget fairy land”. asserted
state → challenge → land
Labor announced on Tuesday it would introduce a new debt ceiling of 15 per cent of gross state product and cut debt by $10 billion in a further attempt to contrast the government’s fiscal restraint with the Coalition and One Nation. asserted
it → announce → Coalition
Get to the heart of what’s happening with climate change and the environment. asserted
what → get → change
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