Labour blasted over 'nonsense' claims on prisoner early release scheme, as soft justice bonanza sees another 650 criminals freed

Read the original at Daily Mail ↗
Daily Mail · collected 2026-10-13 · by David Barrett Home Affairs, Rory Tingle Home Affairs Correspondent

Quick Summary

Labour has been criticized for making "nonsense" claims about its prison early release scheme as an additional 650 inmates were released under the program. Nick Timothy, Labour's Shadow Justice Secretary, accused the government of failing to provide details on electronic tagging compliance rates and reoffending statistics. He cited high re-arrest rates and daily tag breaches in London since the scheme began. In response, Justice Minister Jake Richards stated that data regarding prison releases would be released in January next year. The scheme aims to free up to 50,000 prisoners annually under a new sentencing regime allowing early release after serving as little as one-third of their sentences.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-13, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

On October 10, 650 offenders were released early from prisons in England and Wales as part of a government plan to address prison overcrowding. This release marks the second phase of the scheme, which began on October 1 with the early release of 700 prisoners serving less than 19 months. The current phase includes those serving up to two and a half years for various crimes, such as violent offenses and domestic abuse. These offenders are being released after completing one-third of their sentences instead of the usual half.

The plan will gradually expand each month until June when it applies to prisoners serving more than 12 years. However, concerns have been raised about the effectiveness of electronic tagging and monitoring of these released individuals. Shadow Justice Secretary Nick Timothy criticized the government for failing to provide details on how many freed inmates had been fitted with electronic tags and accused them of making "nonsense" claims regarding safeguards. Additionally, probation officers are considering strike action over pay and workload issues exacerbated by the release scheme.

Written for “Early Prisoner Release Scheme England Wales” on 2026-10-13, grounded in this article and the 4 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans right (beta estimate) Confidence high 2 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning: leans right for article 76444 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-10-13

Story

📰 Early Prisoner Release Scheme England Wales
Crime & Law · 5 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans right and hedges 2% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
BBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 10% hedged 2 of 21 📰 publisher trust 72
“Both articles report on the second phase of early release of prisoners, mentioning exactly 650 offenders being freed on the same date.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans strongly right further right than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 41 📰 publisher trust 64
“Both articles describe the release of another 650 criminals from prisons across England and Wales on the same day as part of Labour's early release scheme.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 21 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles report on the same release of prisoners under an early release scheme, mentioning the same number (650) and timeframe.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 21 📰 publisher trust 64
“Article A reports on the arrest of eight men who were released early from prison, while Article B discusses Labour's response to criticisms about the prisoner release scheme and mentions a separate batch of prisoners being freed.”
The Guardian
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 7% hedged 1 of 15 📰 publisher trust 69
“While both articles discuss the early release of prisoners under a government scheme on the same day, Article A focuses on the overall plan and numbers released over time, while Article B specifically mentions another 650 criminals being freed and Labour's response to the scheme.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans strongly right further right than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 31 📰 publisher trust 64
“Article A discusses the Met chief's reaction to electronic tag breaches and arrests of early released criminals, while Article B focuses on Labour being accused of making claims about the prisoner early release scheme and the number of inmates freed under it.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 17% hedged 4 of 23 📰 publisher trust 64
“Article A discusses the policy and lack of transparency regarding prisoner early release, while Article B reports on Labour being criticized over claims related to an additional batch of prisoners being released.”
The Guardian
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 3% hedged 1 of 30 📰 publisher trust 69
“Article A discusses a report on unmonitored offenders due to tag failures and staffing issues, while Article B addresses political criticism over early release schemes and tagging compliance.”

Cite this article

Affairs, D. B. H., & Correspondent, R. T. H. A. (2026, October 13). Labour blasted over 'nonsense' claims on prisoner early release scheme, as soft justice bonanza sees another 650 criminals freed. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16205137/Labour-blasted-nonsense-claims-prisoner-early-release-scheme-soft-justice-bonanza-sees-650-criminals-freed.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
47
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
2%
1 of 47 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
64/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
5
Crime & Law
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-13 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 5260 article(s) · 15 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 15 correction(s)

Who wrote this

David Barrett Home Affairs
16 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Mr Timothy said: ‘The Justice Secretary told the country that proper safeguards would be put in place, with the presumption that all released prisoners would be tagged.
🔮 New asylum routes being set up by Labour for Afghans and Palestinians will be ‘immediately’ shut down if the Conservatives win the next General Election.
🔮 Projections published earlier this year by the ONS suggested the UK’s population will peak more than 40 years earlier than previously thought.
🔮 Lexi Secker, who later identified as a woman, was been jailed for more than six years for rape - and was referred to as 'she' during his sentencing in court Its previous advice said only witnesses ‘such as a victim of a sexual assault by a trans person’ could be referred to by ‘pronouns matching their birth sex’. The updated version, however, allows prosecutors to use male pronouns for transgender women defendants if doing otherwise could lead to unfairness.
🔮 Labour’s ‘shameful’ prison early release scheme will leave victims ‘living in fear’ when it begins releasing thousands of inmates on Thursday, the domestic abuse commissioner has warned.
🔮 Its failure will be a blow to Labour’s attempts to tackle the Channel crisis, and could risk an up-tick in small boat arrivals after recent falls. Cases that are already in the system will continue, the Home Office said, including bringing migrants to Britain from France if they are accepted under the reciprocal terms of the deal. The first removal under the scheme took place on September 18 last year.
🔮 Shadow Home Secretary Chris Philp said it was a 'joke' that Wadee was living at public expense and called for him to be sent back to Hamas-controlled territory where he would 'fit right in'.
🔮 In his inspection of the centre, near Gatwick airport, Mr Taylor said: ‘Detainees were anxious about their cases with many having arrived at the centre having expected to be placed in a hotel.
🔮 A medical team was transported to the rescue boat by helicopter to help the survivors, but the child and two women could not be saved.
🔮 Labour has been pursuing controversial changes to the courts system which will see the historic right to jury trial scrapped for thousands of cases a year.
Also by David Barrett Home Affairs
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 16 articles by David Barrett Home Affairs →
Rory Tingle Home Affairs Correspondent
1 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Mr Timothy said: ‘The Justice Secretary told the country that proper safeguards would be put in place, with the presumption that all released prisoners would be tagged.
The only article under this byline in the corpus.

Topics

Conservative Government Labour London Met

Subjects

Labour ORG · 4× Timothy PERSON · 3× Conservative NORP · 1× Government ORG · 1× Jake Richards PERSON · 1× Justice ORG · 1× London GPE · 1× Met ORG · 1× Nick Timothy PERSON · 1× the House of Commons ORG · 1×

Narrative

A prisoner leaves HMP Birmingham this morning after being set free under the scheme Prolific offender Michael Bogle, 38, was freed from HMP Wandsworth on the first day of the programme, and committed fresh crimes with 'astonishing' speed, police said The releases amount to a mammoth expansion of Labour's previous early release scheme, launched in September 2024 to create space in the overcrowded prison estate. MoJ documents showed Labour's scheme will be a 'new permanent approach' and that, after the first day of releases in each group, the early releases will 'continue on a business-as-usual basis'.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-13
🔮 Mr Timothy said: ‘The Justice Secretary told the country that proper safeguards would be put in place, with the presumption that all released prisoners would be tagged.

Claims (47 extracted, 1 hedged)

Labour has been accused of making 'nonsense' claims over its prison early release scheme as a further 650 inmates were freed from jail. uncertain
inmates → accuse → jail
Shadow Justice Secretary Nick Timothy said reoffending was 'off the charts' thanks to the Government's release programme, which allows criminals out of jail after serving as little as one third of their sentences. asserted
which → say → sentences
The Conservative spokesman attacked the Government for failing to provide details on how many freed inmates had been fitted with electronic tags. asserted
inmates → attack → tags
Mr Timothy said: ‘The Justice Secretary told the country that proper safeguards would be put in place, with the presumption that all released prisoners would be tagged. asserted
prisoners → say → presumption
‘He called it the toughest tagging regime in history, but that was nonsense. asserted
that → call → history
‘We know a majority of prisoners are not being tagged before release, and we know reoffending is off the charts already. asserted
reoffending → know → charts
‘The Met says there have been 100 tag breaches in London each day since Labour's first early release scheme began, while two or three prisoners released early are being re-arrested every week.' asserted
prisoners → say → London
Asking an urgent question in the House of Commons, Mr Timothy demanded to know how many freed prisoners had been tagged and how many had not, as well as details on how many had breached the terms of their early release. asserted
many → ask → release
Justice minister Jake Richards said: ‘We will be setting out data in relation to prison releases, as we always do, and the next batch of data will be released in January of next year. asserted
batch → say → year
‘This is a new sentencing regime and it's right that we release the data in the appropriate way, as we have always done. asserted
we → release → way
It came as 650 more offenders were released early today under the Government's new scheme, launched on October 1. asserted
offenders → come → October
It is expected to free up to 50,000 prisoners a year. asserted
It → expect → prisoners
Prisoners cheered and punched the air as they left prison today in the second tranche of releases. asserted
they → cheer → releases
Among those released will be those serving up to two and a half years for a variety of crimes, including violent offences and domestic abuse. asserted
those → release → offences
Prisoners were seen leaving HMP Durham in the north-east of England this morning - with one raising his fist in the air in celebration At HMP Durham, one man punched the air in celebration and shouted: 'Yes cuzzie.' Asked what he thought of the early release scheme, he replied: 'F****** belta.' When asked if he had a message for the Prime Minister, another inmate replied: 'Scrap the recalls.' asserted
inmate → see → recalls
The released prisoner explained that although he was from Sunderland, he was being sent to Bristol – where he was arrested – and had to travel there immediately or risk being recalled to prison. asserted
he → release → prison
Those serving even longer sentences will become eligible as the scheme is extended each month, with the tenth and final expansion in early June applying to those handed sentences of 12 years or more. asserted
expansion → serve → years
Prisoners previously due to serve 40 or 50 per cent of the sentences handed down by the courts are now being freed after serving just 33 per cent. asserted
Prisoners → serve → cent
As the scheme is rolled out in the coming months, criminals convicted of certain violent or sexual offences who were previously eligible for release after serving two-thirds of their sentence will instead be let out at the halfway stage. asserted
who → roll → stage
The man appeared to be in a celebratory mood after being let out of prison Prisoners leaving HMP Durham this morning during another wave of early releases asserted
man → appear → releases
Unlike Labour's previous programme – which began two years ago and which has let out more than 70,000 offenders so far – the Ministry of Justice (MoJ) will not publish figures on how many actually walk free under the new scheme. asserted
many → begin → scheme
Instead, the number of criminals benefitting from significant reductions to their sentences will be rolled into an existing set of statistics and cannot be separately identified. asserted
number → benefit → statistics
It will leave the public and MPs in the dark about the full scale of Prime Minister Andy Burnham's soft justice bonanza. asserted
It → leave → bonanza
Mr Timothy told the Daily Mail on Monday that it 'looks like a cover-up by Labour to hide the true scale of their latest disastrous early release scheme'. asserted
it → tell → scheme
He called on ministers to 'come clean and explain why they refuse to publish this data'. asserted
they → call → data
Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch has announced plans to build 50,000 new jail places if her party wins the next General Election, increasing the size of the prison estate by more than 50 per cent. asserted
party → announce → cent
Figures show jails in England and Wales continue to operate at almost 98 per cent capacity despite the first wave of early releases this month. asserted
jails → show → releases
The prison population stood at 87,033 on Monday, leaving just 1,951 cells standing empty. asserted
population → stand → cells
There are no overall figures on how many released prisoners have gone on to commit new crimes so far. asserted
prisoners → be → crimes
However, one senior Metropolitan Police officer last week warned that an offender freed under the new scheme had committed a series of new crimes with 'astonishing' speed after his release. asserted
offender → warn → release
Prolific offender Michael Bogle, 38, admitted 11 shoplifting offences and was re-jailed. asserted
Bogle → admit → offences
A man leaving Durham this morning carrying a drawstring bag containing his belongings The registered sex offender had previously been photographed walking out of HMP Wandsworth on the first day of the release scheme. asserted
offender → leave → scheme
Asked if he had a message for Mr Burnham, he said: 'Keep the early release going. asserted
release → ask → Burnham
Meanwhile, Greater Manchester Police said eight men had been arrested within days of being released early for offences including robbery, domestic violence and drugs. asserted
men → say → robbery
The Conservatives have repeatedly warned the PM's programme poses an 'acute threat' to public safety. asserted
programme → warn → safety
A man (centre) is met as he leaves Durham Prison this morning asserted
he → meet → Prison
A prisoner leaves HMP Birmingham this morning after being set free under the scheme Prolific offender Michael Bogle, 38, was freed from HMP Wandsworth on the first day of the programme, and committed fresh crimes with 'astonishing' speed, police said The releases amount to a mammoth expansion of Labour's previous early release scheme, launched in September 2024 to create space in the overcrowded prison estate. MoJ documents showed Labour's scheme will be a 'new permanent approach' and that, after the first day of releases in each group, the early releases will 'continue on a business-as-usual basis'. asserted
releases → leave → basis
It added: 'For context, approximately 4,500 offenders are released from custody in a typical month. asserted
offenders → add → month
The majority of those criminals will benefit from the new early release terms, brought into law by the Sentencing Act earlier this year. asserted
majority → benefit → Act
The Government has refused to disclose how many prisoners are projected to be let out early in total. asserted
prisoners → refuse → total
…and 7 more, not listed.
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