In a recent article, Nate Silver, founder of the Silver Bulletin, notes that polls before Labor Day can be unreliable for congressional elections. However, he also points out that school starts in August for most of the country, and midterm races tend not to change significantly between Labor Day and Election Day.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump's behavior on social media has raised concerns about his mental state. His niece, Mary Trump, a psychologist, observed that her uncle is "decompensating in real time." This follows a weekend of erratic posts from the President, including AI-generated images and memes.
The Bulwark, a conservative publication, has been critical of Trump's performance, with articles questioning his mental fitness for office. Tim Miller wrote that Trump's Labor Day Weekend was "a disaster," and William Kristol suggested that Trump is exhausting himself with his erratic behavior.