Ukraine-Russia war latest: Moscow ‘held secret war games where soldiers defeated Nato and seized Swedish island’

The Independent · collected 2026-09-08 · by Arpan Rai and Alex Croft
Read the original at The Independent ↗

Summary

A Russian investigative outlet, the Dossier Centre, reports that Moscow's general staff conducted secret war games involving up to 1,000 participants over several decades, which included scenarios where Russia defeated NATO and seized a Swedish island called Gotland. At least three people have been killed and 10 injured in a major Russian air attack on Kyiv, with Volodymyr Zelensky accusing Moscow of trying to cause maximum harm to civilians. The war games reportedly began to focus more on Ukraine from 2021, ahead of Russia's full-scale invasion in 2022. The article mentions these developments amidst ongoing peace talks between US envoys and Ukrainian officials.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-08, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
49
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
10%
5 of 49 hedged
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject
Publisher trust
58.8
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-08 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

Russian military forces allegedly conducted secret war games where they simulated defeating NATO and seizing the Swedish island of Gotland, according to a report from Russian investigative outlet the Dossier Centre. The war simulations, which involved up to 1,000 participants, included scenarios targeting Gotland and a fictional war with the US and Japan. Meanwhile, in Ukraine, at least three people have been killed and 10 injured in a major Russian air attack on Kyiv, which also caused significant damage to residential buildings and civilian infrastructure. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky accused Moscow of trying to cause as much harm to life as possible with various types of missiles. The attack came just a day after US peace envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner** held peace talks with Zelensky in Kyiv, leaving the Ukrainian capital without making any significant progress towards ending the war.

Written for “Russia's War Games Claims” on 2026-09-08, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score +0.35 Confidence medium
Leaning score +0.35 for article 7022 (medium confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-09-08

Story

📰 Russia's War Games Claims
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans right and hedges 10% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
BBC News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 4% hedged 1 of 26 📰 publisher trust 96
“The articles describe two unrelated incidents: one about a Russian drone attack on a Ukrainian security headquarters and another about secret war games held by Russia involving scenarios such as seizing a Swedish island.”
South China Morning Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 6 📰 publisher trust 94
“The articles describe two different events: Article A discusses Ukraine's use of drone strikes in a wartime PR blitz, while Article B reports on secret war games held by Russia involving scenarios including the targeting of a Swedish island”
BBC News
⚖️ Leans left further left than this 🔴 10% hedged 2 of 21 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A reports on peace talks between Russia and Ukraine in Kyiv, while Article B reports on secret war games held by Russia involving simulations of attacks on Nato and Sweden”
Semafor
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 4 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A reports on diplomatic talks between US envoys and Ukrainian/Russian leaders in Kyiv and Moscow, while Article B mentions secret war games held by Russia involving Nato forces and a Swedish island”
CBS News
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 12% hedged 4 of 33 📰 publisher trust 60
“Article A describes a series of secret war games involving Russia and NATO, while Article B reports on an interview with a Ukrainian CEO and her company's drone designs”
CBS News
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 10% hedged 2 of 21 📰 publisher trust 60
“Article A discusses secret Russian war games from past decades, while Article B reports on a current attack by Russia on Ukraine's capital Kyiv”
The Hindu
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 4 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A describes diplomatic talks between Putin and US envoys to end the Ukraine war, while Article B reports on secret Russian war games involving Nato and a Swedish island”
Times of India
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 55% hedged 12 of 22 📰 publisher trust 94
“Article A describes an attempted drone attack at Leipzig/Halle Airport on August 4, while Article B reports on secret war games involving scenarios with Nato and a Swedish island, but does not mention a specific event matching the description in Article A”
The Straits Times
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 5% hedged 2 of 37 📰 publisher trust 94
“The articles cover different topics: one reports on diplomatic efforts between Ukraine and the US, while the other describes secret war games conducted by Russia”
Times of India
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 29% hedged 5 of 17 📰 publisher trust 94
“Article A discusses the US missile deployment in Norway, while Article B reports on secret Russian war games and a fictional scenario involving Nato, Sweden, and Ukraine”

Publisher

The Independent · 217 article(s) · 1 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 1 correction(s)
2026-09-04
Pennsylvania confirms second death of child with measles after RFK Jr. told CDC director to delete numbers

Who wrote this

Alex Croft
7 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 There is little reason to suppose that their latest exercise in shuttle diplomacy will succeed where their previous efforts failed.
🔮 The US president is expected to speak to Putin and Zelensky over the phone on Monday.
🔮 Oil prices could surge as high as $120 per barrel if attacks on Middle East shipping do not stop, Goldman Sachs has warned.
🔮 The panicked screams would save their lives.
🔮 For this story, identities have been protected to guarantee the safety of prisoners, their families, and the political dissidents involved in smuggling material out of the prisons, a highly risky act that could be punishable by death.
🔮 He did not, however, elaborate on what that proposal would be.
🔮 Iran has threatened to target any Gulf states assist the US in the conflict, after the United Arab Emirates accused Tehran of launching two ballistic missiles in the first such incident since May.
More on this subject from Alex Croft
All 7 articles by Alex Croft →
Arpan Rai
7 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 There is little reason to suppose that their latest exercise in shuttle diplomacy will succeed where their previous efforts failed.
🔮 The US president is expected to speak to Putin and Zelensky over the phone on Monday.
🔮 Earlier this month, the Wall Street Journal reported that US intelligence assessments had indicated that Putin could test Nato’s resolve with a limited assault on an allied country over the coming years.
🔮 It was the first known trip to Moscow by a US spy chief since his predecessor, William Burns, held talks with Vladimir Putin in November 2021.
🔮 Andy Burnham is set to give Ukraine blueprints for the British Storm Shadow long-range missile during his Independence Day visit.
🔮 People in Russia are withdrawing billions from the nation’s banks over fears that the Kremlin could begin to seize money to finance the war with Ukraine, a report says.
🔮 We must find a legal, safe and realistic mechanism that will allow Ukraine to renew its full democratic process even in the conditions of a long war," he said.
More on this subject from Arpan Rai
All 7 articles by Arpan Rai →

Topics

Moscow Russia Russian Swedish Ukraine

Subjects

Ukraine GPE · 8× Trump PERSON · 6× Russian NORP · 4× Jared Kushner PERSON · 2× Kyiv GPE · 2× Moscow GPE · 2× Russia GPE · 2× Steve Witkoff PERSON · 2× Swedish NORP · 2× Volodymyr Zelensky PERSON · 2×

Narrative

Watch: Trump is determined to end Ukraine war and secure lasting peace, says Kushner Zelensky says US negotiators brought 'decent ideas' on ending war Ukraine's president Volodymyr Zelensky has said that US peace negotiators have presented several "decent ideas" to be discussed during talks on how to end the war. US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner visited both Russia and Ukraine over the weekend. "As for the peace package that Kushner spoke of, and the new ideas – I can tell you that there were really some very decent, worthwhile ideas," Mr Zelensky told reporters in a WhatsApp media chat.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-08
🔮 There is little reason to suppose that their latest exercise in shuttle diplomacy will succeed where their previous efforts failed.

Claims (49 extracted, 5 hedged)

Russia has reportedly held secret war games in which their soldiers defeated Nato and seized a key Swedish island, according to a report. uncertain
soldiers → hold → report
Moscow’s general staff carried out several war simulations involving senior officers and as many as 1,000 participants over the past decades, according to Russian investigative outlet the Dossier Centre. uncertain
staff → carry → outlet
The scenarios, which used software to model opposing forces, terrain and weapons, included the targeting of the Swedish island of Gotland and a fictional war with the US and Japan Ukraine increasingly became a focus of the war games from 2021, ahead of the full-scale invasion in 2022. asserted
Ukraine → use → 2022
Meanwhile, at least three people have been killed and 10 injured in a major Russian air atack on Kyiv, in which Volodymyr Zelensky said Moscow tried to “cause as much harm to life as possible” with “ballistic missiles, cruise and anti-ship missiles, and jet-powered ‘shaheds’”. asserted
Moscow → kill → missiles
He added: “There is significant damage to residential buildings and other civilian infrastructure in the capital.” It came just a day after US peace envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner held peace talks with Volodymyr Zelensky and left the Ukrainian capital. Full report: Burnham issues statement on Ukraine after holding fresh Trump talks Prime minister Andy Burnham and US president Donald Trump agreed on the need to "continue working towards a ceasefire that prevented more loss of life" following a fresh wave of talks, Downing Street said. asserted
Street → add → talks
Mr Burnham spoke with Mr Trump on Monday afternoon. asserted
Burnham → speak → afternoon
It follows a visit to Kyiv on Sunday by US envoys, who held talks in an effort to end the conflict with Russia. asserted
who → follow → Russia
A Downing Street spokesperson said: “On Ukraine, the two leaders agreed on the need to continue working towards a ceasefire that prevented more loss of life. asserted
that → say → life
“The Prime Minister reiterated the UK’s support for Ukraine and for recent US-led peace negotiations. asserted
Minister → reiterate → negotiations
“On the Middle East, the Prime Minister set out the UK’s commitment to working towards peace and security in the region, stressing the importance of the Two-State Solution, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and ensuring that Iran never acquires a nuclear weapon. asserted
Iran → set → weapon
Polish armed forces conclude air operation as no airspace violations recorded As we earlier reported, the Polish Air Force was conducting preventive operations related to Russian missile attacks on Ukraine, it said in a Tuesday morning update. asserted
it → conclude → update
It later said that the Air Force had ended operations related to Russian strikes on Ukraine. “We inform you that no violations of airspace were recorded," the army said. asserted
army → say → airspace
Hours earlier, Polish airport in Lublin resumed air operations after temporary closure due to operations of military aviation, the Polish Air Navigation Services Agency (PANSA) said. asserted
Agency → resume → aviation
Editorial: Putin has no interest in peace – and Trump is falling into his trap Steve Witkoff is the real estate guy with zero diplomatic experience who Donald Trump appointed in 2024 as his personal “peace emissary”. asserted
Trump → fall → emissary
Jared Kushner is the president’s son-in-law, but did at least play some role in one of President Trump’s few foreign policy achievements – the Abraham Accords process that promised to deliver some stability to the Middle East during the first Trump term. asserted
that → play → term
As a team, they have enjoyed little success in securing the “settlement” to the war in Ukraine that Mr Trump so desires. asserted
Trump → enjoy → that
There is little reason to suppose that their latest exercise in shuttle diplomacy will succeed where their previous efforts failed. asserted
efforts → be → diplomacy
Indeed, the prospects for an end to the war, let alone one that will prove just and lasting, are as dismal as at any time since Vladimir Putin launched his ill-fated “special military operation” more than four and a half years ago – its duration now longer than the Soviet Union’s four-year “great patriotic war” against Adolf Hitler. asserted
duration → let → Hitler
Just as in that epoch-defining conflict, it is the civilian population of Ukraine that will face some of the harshest consequences as winter approaches. asserted
winter → define → consequences
Before the Witkoff-Kushner double act set out for Moscow and Kyiv, Mr Trump expressed his usual confidence in the pair – he could hardly do otherwise – and declared that “we have an idea for peace”. uncertain
we → set → peace
This idea remains opaque. asserted
idea → remain → ?
Yet, for a change, this may be more than the usual self-flattering bluster. uncertain
this → flatter → bluster
After a period when, easily bored, Mr Trump lost interest in the region (the situation in Iran didn’t help), this unexpected flexing of US power comes as a surprise. asserted
flexing → bore → surprise
Comment | Vladimir Putin is winning his war to bring down Europe from within asserted
Putin → win → Europe
On Sunday, the Alternative for Germany won 43.8 per cent of the vote in Saxony-Anhalt, the strongest result any far-right party has achieved in a German state election since the Second World War. asserted
party → win → War
It took 39 of the 83 seats, three short of an outright majority. asserted
It → take → majority
In Berlin, the result is being called an earthquake. asserted
result → call → Berlin
In Kyiv, it is being read as a countdown. asserted
it → read → countdown
I have spent the better part of two decades fighting Vladimir Putin. asserted
I → spend → Putin
He does not need to win elections in other people’s countries. asserted
He → need → countries
He only needs to wait for them. asserted
He → need → them
The AfD has never hidden what it would do. asserted
it → hide → what
Its programme calls for an end to military aid to Ukraine, an end to sanctions on Russia and the reopening of the Nord Stream pipelines. asserted
programme → call → pipelines
In June, the party’s foreign policy spokesman flew to St Petersburg, against the explicit advice of the German foreign ministry, and met the head of Gazprom and one of Putin’s senior envoys to discuss restarting Russian gas. asserted
spokesman → fly → gas
Putin’s envoy posted afterwards that he looked forward to building a great future together with the AfD. None of this is a secret. asserted
None → post → this
Two killed in Ukrainian drone attacks in Kursk and Bryansk We’re hearing more reports from Russian local authorities of civilians killed by Ukrainian drone attacks. asserted
We → kill → attacks
Two civilians have been killed, one in Russia's Kursk region and the other in Russia's Bryansk region, officials said on Tuesday. asserted
officials → kill → Tuesday
We haven’t been able to independently verify the attacks yet, but will bring you more once as have it. asserted
it → verify → more
Hungary expels 10 Russia diplomats, says foreign minister asserted
minister → expel → diplomats
Hungary has expelled 10 Russian diplomats who "were engaged in activities in Hungary that are unacceptable for diplomats under the Vienna Convention," foreign minister Anita Orban has announced. asserted
Orban → expel → Convention
…and 9 more, not listed.
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