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The Dispatch
· collected 2026-10-09 · by Steve Hayes, Jonah Goldberg, Chris Stirewalt, Michael Warren
Steve Hayes hosts a podcast where experts discuss midterm election polls and their reliability. Guests include Jonah Goldberg, Mike Warren, and Chris Stirewalt, who analyze recent polls indicating potential shifts in traditionally red states towards Democratic candidates. The discussion centers on interpreting these polls amidst concerns about historical undercounting of Republican voters and the impact of redistricting efforts on upcoming elections.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-09,
using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the
same event (that is the story summary below).
Story summary
On a recent episode of The Dispatch Podcast, Steve Hayes discussed midterm election projections less than one month before voting day. Joined by Jonah Goldberg, Mike Warren, and Chris Stirewalt, they analyzed Republican redistricting efforts and their potential to save seats or backfire. They also debated whether Democrats can moderate post-elections and what a Democrat-controlled Congress might look like. The conversation covered uncertainties in current polling accuracy amidst upcoming elections on November 8.
Written for “Midterm Elections Polling Error” on 2026-10-09,
grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political
question, so it has no leaning score. That is an
answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly
or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it
anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political
position.
No political leaning scored for article 67735 · logged 2026-10-09
Steve Hayes is joined by Jonah Goldberg, Mike Warren, and Chris Stirewalt to discuss how the midterms are shaping up less than one month out and what to expect from a Democrat-controlled Congress.
asserted
midterms → join → Congress
The Agenda:
—GOP redistricting
—2028 Democratic candidates
—Can Democrats moderate?
—A Democratic Congress
Show notes:
[instrumental music] Welcome to the Dispatch Podcast.
asserted
Democrats → moderate → Podcast
On today's round table, we take a big picture look at the midterms, which are now less than a month out.
asserted
which → take → midterms
Can the Republicans hold onto the Senate?
asserted
Republicans → hold → Senate
Will the redistricting efforts save some Republican seats, or will that backfire?
asserted
that → save → seats
And are the polls we're seeing reliable?
asserted
we → see → ?
A warning for sensitive listeners, if you're eating while listening, you might wanna pause the podcast until you finish up.
uncertain
you → eat → podcast
I'm joined today by Dispatch Editor-in-Chief, Jonah Goldberg, Politics Editor, Mike Warren, and Politics Editor for NewsNation and contributing writer for The Dispatch, Chris Stirewalt.
asserted
I → join → Dispatch
Let's dive right in.
asserted
's → let → ?
[instrumental music] Chris Stirewalt, I wanna start with you.
asserted
I → start → you
The headline over the news is, "Two deep red states are in play as Democrats eye path to Senate majority."
asserted
Democrats → eye → majority
I'm not gonna ask you about the races.
asserted
I → go → races
I'm gonna ask you about the polls.
asserted
I → go → polls
You have been doing this for longer than any of us.
asserted
You → do → us
You've read probably 10 times the number of polls carefully that Jonah, Mike, and I have even skimmed.
asserted
Jonah → read → that
You know what you're talking about when it comes to polling.
asserted
it → know → polling
When you see a headline like that and you click in and you do read the polls, what's your reaction?
asserted
reaction → see → polls
How do you read a poll in today's environment?
asserted
you → read → environment
Do you look at those numbers and say, "Take it to the bank.
asserted
you → look → bank
This is exactly how the race is going to turn out"?
asserted
race → go → ?
Or do you say, "We can't trust this stuff.
asserted
We → say → stuff
I don't know what I can believe"?
asserted
I → know → what
How do you look at polls?
asserted
you → look → polls
There were five polls that came out this past weekend in the New York Times.
asserted
that → be → Times
What's your first reaction when you read a poll?
asserted
you → read → poll
How are you gonna make me talk about CNN polling with my friend, Jonah Goldberg?
asserted
me → go → friend
I mean, he--
asserted
I → mean → ?
Look, he is loyal to CNN.
asserted
he → look → CNN
I assume he wants to remain there.
asserted
he → assume → ?
He does a good job when he goes on CNN, but he, he's not gonna upbraid you for criticizing a CNN poll or any other poll.
asserted
he → do → poll