The winner of the Nobel Peace Prize will be announced on October 9 in Oslo, with speculation focusing on how US President Donald Trump might react. With 287 nominees this year, Trump is widely considered ineligible due to his controversial policies; however, he remains hopeful despite criticism from Norwegian experts who question whether the prize would do him more harm than good. The committee's decision may also reflect a shift in focus towards defending human rights rather than promoting peace since its inception in 1901.
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The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner will be announced on October 9 at the Nobel Institute in Oslo. With 287 nominees this year, including individuals and organizations from around the world, speculation is high about who might receive the prestigious award. US President Donald Trump, eager to win the prize himself, has made unsubstantiated claims about ending up to eight wars and his deservability for the honor. However, experts widely agree that Trump will not be selected due to his aggressive policies, such as his war against Iran, territorial ambitions in Greenland, hardline stance on migrants, and attacks on multilateralism. The winner's identity remains a mystery until revealed at 11am local time (0900 GMT).
Written for “Nobel Peace Prize Nomination” on 2026-10-09,
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Will Nobel Peace Prize pick make waves at the White House?
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pick → make → House
The winner of the Nobel Peace Prize will be announced on Oct 9 in Oslo, with much of the attention centred on how US President Donald Trump, eager to win it himself, will react.
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Trump → announce → it
The laureate will be revealed at 11am local time (0900 GMT) at the Nobel Institute in Oslo.
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laureate → reveal → Oslo
In a world ravaged by conflicts and crises, 287 individuals and organisations have been nominated for the ultimate diplomatic and humanitarian accolade in 2026.
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individuals → ravage → 2026
Their identities are kept secret for 50 years, leaving Nobel watchers guessing about who will get the nod.
The only thing experts agree on is that the winner will not be Trump, despite his – unsubstantiated – claims of having ended up to eight wars, and his assertion that he is the most deserving candidate.
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he → keep → wars
“They have a reputation for maybe not giving it to people like me... and I think it would be a great discredit to them,” Trump said on Oct 7.
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Trump → have → Oct
“And I’m not saying that out of scorn.”
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I → say → scorn
In Oslo, the US president is generally considered disqualified due to his war against Iran, his territorial expansion ambitions as in Greenland, his hard line on migrants, and his attacks on multilateralism and the media.
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president → consider → multilateralism
Regardless of who the Norwegian Nobel Committee chooses, its pick may be interpreted as direct or indirect criticism of the Republican billionaire.
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pick → choose → billionaire
The head of the Peace Research Institute in Oslo, Haakon Gjerlow, said the committee must ask itself whether the Nobel risks causing the recipient more “harm rather than good”, given the reactions that could emerge from the White House.
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that → say → House
In 2025, the prize went to Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado, a choice generally considered palatable to Trump.
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prize → go → Trump
Machado even gave him her Nobel gold medal, judging he deserved it after the capture of President Nicolas Maduro – though she failed to obtain his political backing in exchange.
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she → give → exchange
The reasons given by the Nobel Committee for choosing Peace Prize winners have changed substantially since 1901, shifting from promoting peace to defending human rights in a trend that gained momentum during the Cold War, according to an AFP analysis.
The Nobel committee meanwhile says it is not swayed by external pressures.
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it → give → pressures
“Of course we have to discuss it, but it’s not like that influences the discussions in the room and decisions that come out,” the secretary of the committee, Kristian Berg Harpviken, told AFP.
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secretary → have → AFP
Choosing a laureate who enjoys broad consensus, such as an individual or organisation working to protect children or humanitarian efforts, would be less likely to stoke Trump’s ire, experts say.
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experts → choose → ire
That could include the Save the Children charity and Ukraine’s Mykola Kuleba, who campaigns for the return of kids illegally taken to Russia – a cause close to the heart of Trump’s wife Melania.
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who → include → wife
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERR), a vast network of volunteers risking their lives to help people facing the double threat of war and hunger, could also be a laureate.
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Rooms → risk → war
The head of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Karim Haggag, said the ERR was his favourite for the prize.
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ERR → say → prize
“The conflict in Sudan, unfortunately, has been forgotten.
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conflict → forget → Sudan
And this is a conflict that has really reflected tremendous humanitarian suffering,” he told AFP.
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he → reflect → AFP
But the committee may also choose a laureate that could rub Trump the wrong way.
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that → choose → Trump
That could include the UN special rapporteur for the occupied Palestinian territories Francesca Albanese, Pope Leo XIV, press freedoms with an award to the Committee to Protect Journalists, or international justice bodies such as the International Criminal Court and the International Court of Justice.
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That → include → Justice
After the Nobel Peace Prize, the 2026 award season winds up on Oct 12 with the economics prize.
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season → wind → prize
Earlier this week, the prizes for medicine, physics, chemistry and literature were announced in Stockholm, with the latter going to Canadian poet Anne Carson on Oct 8 for her modern twists on Greek mythology and antiquity.
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latter → announce → mythology
Each Nobel prize comes with a diploma, a gold medal and a cheque for US$1.2 million (S$1.5 million), to be presented on Dec 10.
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prize → come → Dec