Greens concede in Holborn by-election, saying Polanski came ‘close second’

Read the original at Evening Standard ↗
Evening Standard · collected 2026-10-09 · by Helen Corbett

Quick Summary

In the Holborn by-election, the Green Party conceded defeat to Labour's candidate, with a spokesperson acknowledging they came "close second." The official turnout was 38.76%—a significant drop from the previous general election’s 54.46%. This loss follows controversy after the party declared Zionism as racism at its conference, leading some activists to question support for the Greens.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-09, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

In the Holborn and St Pancras by-election on Thursday, Sagal Abdi-Wali of Labour faces Zack Polanski, leader of the Green Party, in a closely watched contest to replace former Prime Minister Keir Starmer as MP. The election has gained national significance due to recent events: the Green Party’s annual conference passed a controversial motion declaring Zionism to be racism and calling for a single Palestinian state, causing divisions within the party and criticism from political opponents. Abdi-Wali cites this controversy as undermining her opponent's campaign, while Polanski maintains that he will not exclude anyone based on their religious or communal background. The contest is seen as a critical test for both parties' leaderships; Labour has historically dominated the seat since 1983, with Green Party membership surging and gaining over 440 councillors in recent local elections. Prime Minister Andy Burnham urged voters to support Abdi-Wali, emphasizing her potential to restore faith in Labour after its decline among left-wing voters during the Gaza war. Meanwhile, Polanski seeks a historic victory for his party by breaking Labour's long-standing hold on the constituency. The outcome could significantly impact the political landscape ahead of future elections.

Written for “Holborn And St Pancras By Election” on 2026-10-09, grounded in this article and the 23 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.35, but all 1 of its quote(s) are attributed speech - words the article quotes from someone, not the article's own narration, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 67426: attributed speech only · logged 2026-10-09

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
11
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
9%
1 of 11 hedged
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Correction & hedging signals
66.1
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
24
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-09 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Holborn And St Pancras By Election
Politics · 24 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 9% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Evening Standard
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 4% hedged 1 of 27 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles describe the Holborn and St Pancras by-election on the same day, with Andy Burnham's appeal and Zack Polanski claiming a close contest in Article A, followed by the Green Party conceding a 'close second' position in Article B.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 10% hedged 1 of 10 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles describe the Holborn and St Pancras by-election in London on October 8, 2026, with the second article reporting the results after the first described the voting day.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 14% hedged 4 of 29 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles describe the ongoing and results of the Holborn and St Pancras by-election on the same day, with similar details about candidates and initial vote counts.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 10% hedged 3 of 30 📰 publisher trust 68
“Both articles report on the Green Party conceding defeat in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, with similar quotes from a party spokesperson.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 22% hedged 5 of 23 📰 publisher trust 68
“Both articles describe the exact same Holborn by-election on the same date with the same candidates and results.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 4 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles describe the same by-election result in Holborn on the same date, with the same candidates and their vote counts.”
The Straits Times
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 10 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles describe the outcome of the same Holborn by-election on October 9, 2026, with Labour winning and Greens coming second.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 43 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles describe the results of the same Holborn by-election on the same day, involving the same candidates and party leaders.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 5% hedged 1 of 22 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles discuss the Holborn and St Pancras by-election occurring on the same date, with Article A describing voter turnout to replace Starmer and Article B reporting the Green Party's concession in coming 'close second' after the election results.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 5% hedged 1 of 22 📰 publisher trust 66
“Both articles describe the by-election in Holborn and St Pancras on October 8, 2026, with Article A covering the context leading up to it and Article B reporting on its immediate results.”

Publisher

Evening Standard · 4220 article(s) · 35 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 35 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

Helen Corbett
21 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Mr Polanski said he would “of course” continue as Green leader, following defeat and controversy over the party’s stance on Israel.
🔮 A Green Party spokesperson said: “It is clear now we will come a close second in this by-election.
🔮 It declares the Greens to be an “anti-Zionist party” and sets into its policy that Zionism, the movement to develop and protect a Jewish state in Israel, will be “treated as any other form of racism”.
🔮 It declares the Greens to be an “anti-Zionist party” and sets into its policy that Zionism, the movement to develop and protect a Jewish state in Israel, will be “treated as any other form of racism”.
🔮 But Mr Burnham was unwilling to confirm he was in favour of the project going ahead in an interview marking the start of Labour Party conference in Liverpool.
🔮 But Mr Burnham was unwilling to confirm he was in favour of the project going ahead in an interview marking the start of Labour Party conference in Liverpool.
🔮 The latter proposal is different from Reform UK’s plan to do the same thing, he said, as theirs would be paid for through “cruelty”.
🔮 They have already called for a 10p fuel duty cut until at least Christmas to ease cost-of-living pressures and Sir Ed said further proposals would be unveiled in his leader’s speech at the annual party conference in Brighton.
🔮 They have already called for a 10p fuel duty cut until at least Christmas to ease cost-of-living pressures and Sir Ed said further proposals would be unveiled in his leader’s speech at the annual party conference in Brighton.
🔮 Despite having nine times as many MPs as Reform, four times more members of the UK public said they had heard from Nigel Farage’s party than Sir Ed’s, at 66% compared with 16%, and they were more than seven times more likely to have seen Mr Farage on social media than Sir Ed, according to More In Common. Sir Ed conceded his party had not been “good enough” on social media and said they plan to make the team around four times bigger by the autumn, which he said he hopes will make a “major difference”. Asked how many MPs he thinks his party could win next time around, Sir Ed told a question-and-answer session with members at the Lib Dem party conference: “There is no ceiling on our ambitions.”
Also by Helen Corbett
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 21 articles by Helen Corbett →

Topics

Camden Council Green Party Greens Labour Lib Dem

Subjects

Labour ORG · 5× Green Party ORG · 3× Greens ORG · 3× Abdi-Wali PERSON · 1× BBC Newsnight ORG · 1× Camden Council ORG · 1× Caroline Lucas PERSON · 1× Green NORP · 1× Lib Dem NORP · 1× Polanski PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Labour and Lib Dem activists and councillors had earlier indicated that a loss of support for the Greens was evident during campaigning in recent days after members backing a motion declaring Zionism is racism at its conference.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-09
🔮 A Green Party spokesperson said: “It is clear now we will come a close second in this by-election.
2026-10-09 · Evening Standard
Greens concede in Holborn by-election, saying Polanski came ‘close second’ · assertive framing

Claims (11 extracted, 1 hedged)

A Green Party spokesperson said: “It is clear now we will come a close second in this by-election. asserted
we → say → election
“Taking the fight to Labour in one of its safest seats shows just how far the Greens have come. asserted
Greens → take → seats
“Voters want us to keep Labour’s feet to the fire on affordable housing, public ownership of water and the climate crisis. asserted
us → want → water
“Greens will be there every single day, holding Labour to account and demanding the change people voted for.” asserted
people → hold → change
The official declaration is yet to come, but turnout was announced as 38.76%, with 27,309 people casting votes on Thursday. asserted
people → come → Thursday
This is a significant drop in turnout compared to the 2024 general election, when it was 54.46%. asserted
it → compare → election
Labour and Lib Dem activists and councillors had earlier indicated that a loss of support for the Greens was evident during campaigning in recent days after members backing a motion declaring Zionism is racism at its conference. asserted
Zionism → indicate → conference
A former Green leader suggested Mr Polanski could face a threat to his leadership if he lost. uncertain
he → suggest → leadership
Caroline Lucas, the three-time former Green Party leader who was its first MP, said people should “see what happens in the coming days and weeks” when asked about his future on BBC Newsnight. asserted
what → say → Newsnight
A Green Party source responded to her remarks, saying: “There are ups and downs in politics and when people are passionate they disagree in the heat of a campaign.” asserted
they → respond → campaign
The north London seat has been a Labour stronghold since its formation in 1983, held by former health secretary Frank Dobson for 32 years and Sir Keir for 11. asserted
seat → hold → 11
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