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A new Emerson College/PIX 11 poll shows Republican Bruce Blakeman leading Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul by 21 percentage points among independent voters in New York’s gubernatorial race. However, overall, Hochul leads Blakeman with a 52% to 40% advantage, reflecting the state's strong Democratic lean. The survey, conducted October 3-5, includes responses from 900 likely voters and has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-08,
using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the
same event (that is the story summary below).
Story summary
A new Emerson College/PIX 11 poll shows Republican Bruce Blakeman leading incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul by 21 percentage points among independent voters in New York's gubernatorial race. However, overall, Hochul leads with a 52% to 40% margin, including undecided voters. Independent voters prefer Blakeman over Hochul at 55% to 34%, while Democrats strongly back Hochul by 84% to 8%. The poll also reveals that only 40% of New York voters approve of Hochul's job performance, with 46% disapproving. This contrasts sharply with previous Emerson polls where independent voters favored Democratic candidates more often. Additionally, the poll shows that only 30% of voters approve of Senator Chuck Schumer’s job performance.
Written for “New York Governor Poll Results” on 2026-10-09,
grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political
question, so it has no leaning score. That is an
answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly
or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it
anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political
position.
No political leaning scored for article 66915 · logged 2026-10-08
Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman leads incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul by 21 percentage points among independent voters — even as she holds a healthy double-digit lead in the deeply blue Empire State, a new poll found.
asserted
poll → lead → State
Hochul leads Blakeman by 12 percentage points, 52% to 40%, with 8% undecided, according to an Emerson College/PIX 11 survey of 900 likely voters released Thursday.
uncertain
% → lead → voters
“Hochul’s lead is driven by strong support among New York Democrats, 84% to 8%, but independents break for the Republican, Blakeman, 55% to 34%, a notable contrast with other Emerson statewide polls this cycle, in which independent voters have generally favored the Democratic candidate,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling.
asserted
Kimball → drive → Polling
The Emerson College survey tracks other recent independent polls that show Hochul leading Blakeman from a range of 11-19 points.
asserted
Hochul → track → points
Republican polls claim the race is much closer.
uncertain
race → claim → ?
Emerson found Hochul is not popular — only 40% approve of her job performance, 46% disapprove, and the remainder of voters are undecided.
The poll had worse news for Sen. Chuck Schumer, the Democratic minority leader.
asserted
poll → find → Schumer
Only 30% approve of Schumer’s job performance, 50% disapprove and 20% are unsure — a startlingly low number in Democratic-dominated New York.
asserted
% → approve → York
Schumer’s approval rating was 5 points lower than President Trump’s, who had a 35% approval rating and a 57% disapproval rating, the poll found.
asserted
poll → have → rating
Democratic socialist Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has been stumping upstate, which many see as a networking bid to run for Schumer’s seat when it’s up for grabs in 2028.
asserted
it → stump → 2028
First-year democratic socialist Mayor Zohran Mamdani has a higher approval rating than statewide elected officials, with 47% giving him a thumbs up and 41% disapproving, and 13% undecided, the poll found.
asserted
poll → have → officials
The Emerson College Polling/PIX11 News New York surveyed 900 likely voters Oct. 3-5, and has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.
asserted
Polling → survey → points
Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans statewide 6 million to 3.4 million — but there are also 3.4 million who aren’t affiliated with a party, according to the state Board of Elections active enrollment logs.
uncertain
who → outnumber → logs
Hochul, 68, is seeking her second full term after the former lieutenant governor ascended to the top post when former Gov. Andrew Cuomo resigned.
asserted
Cuomo → seek → post
Blakeman, 71, is now serving as the elected Nassau County executive on Long Island.
asserted
Blakeman → serve → Island
The governor serves a four-year term at an annual salary of $250,000.
asserted
governor → serve → 250,000
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