Why New Jersey's taking the legal battle over prediction markets to the Supreme Court

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Cite

Zahn, M. (2026, September 6). Why New Jersey's taking the legal battle over prediction markets to the Supreme Court. ABC News (US). https://abcnews.com/Business/new-jersey-taking-legal-battle-prediction-markets-supreme/story?id=136173564

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

ABC News (US) · collected 2026-09-06 · by Max Zahn

Quick Summary

New Jersey Attorney General Jennifer Davenport has asked the Supreme Court to weigh in on a nationwide legal battle over regulation of online prediction markets, following conflicting lower court rulings. The 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled against platforms like Kalshi in August, but the 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals sided with them in April. New Jersey has regulated sports wagers for more than 100 years and argues that state laws apply to prediction markets. The Supreme Court's decision could have significant implications for a multi-billion-dollar industry.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-06, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

New Jersey has taken its legal battle over online prediction markets to the Supreme Court, after losing a recent case in the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals. The court ruled on August 28 that platforms like Kalshi can be regulated by state agencies, rejecting their claims that federal regulation supersedes state oversight. This decision contrasts with a previous ruling in the 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, which sided with Kalshi and found that federal regulators have exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets. New Jersey has asked the Supreme Court to clarify the issue, which could affect the operation of online prediction markets worth billions of dollars. The state points to its own 100-year history of regulating sports wagers, and claims that federal regulation would allow these markets to operate outside of state laws.

Written for “New Jersey v Prediction Markets” on 2026-10-22, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 New Jersey v Prediction Markets
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

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How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
27
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
7%
2 of 27 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
59/100
ABC News (US)'s corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-06 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

ABC News (US) · 1049 article(s) · 2 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 2 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Max Zahn
14 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Also by Max Zahn
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 14 articles by Max Zahn →

Topics

Kalshi New Jersey New Jersey's U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals the Supreme Court

Subjects

Kalshi PERSON · 15× New Jersey GPE · 6× New Jersey's GPE · 3× the Supreme Court ORG · 3× ABC News ORG · 2× CFTC ORG · 2× Connecticut GPE · 2× Nevada GPE · 2× U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ORG · 2× Democrat NORP · 1×

Narrative

Both the Third Circuit and the District of New Jersey sided with Kalshi because the CFTC's exclusive jurisdiction preempts state law," Kalshi spokesperson Dani Lever said. "While New Jersey points to a recent decision in the Ninth Circuit, that decision agreed with that key principle.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-06
🔮 "It will determine whether a multi-billion-dollar gaming industry can suddenly operate free from state sports-gaming laws," Davenport added, further noting that New Jersey has regulated sports wagers for more than 100 years.

Claims (27 extracted, 2 hedged)

Why is New Jersey taking the legal battle over prediction markets to the Supreme Court? asserted
Jersey → take → Court
The request follows lower court rulings on oversight of the prediction firms. asserted
request → follow → firms
New Jersey has asked the Supreme Court to weigh in on a nationwide legal battle pitting dozens of states against online prediction markets. asserted
Jersey → ask → markets
The request this week arrived days after the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled Aug. 28 against platforms like Kalshi, rejecting their requests to prevent state-level oversight from a Nevada regulatory agency. asserted
Court → arrive → agency
In that case, the court found Kalshi "did not show a likelihood" that federal regulation supersedes state officials in the oversight of sports-related events contracts on prediction markets. asserted
regulation → find → markets
The finding challenged the firm's assertion that such contracts qualify as financial instruments policed by the federal government. asserted
contracts → challenge → government
The ruling in Nevada contrasts with a decision issued in April by the 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, which sided with Kalshi in its lawsuit against New Jersey, finding that federal regulators retain exclusive oversight of prediction markets, including sports-related contracts. asserted
regulators → contrast → contracts
Officials in states with both Republican- and Democrat-controlled governments have moved to regulate or ban prediction markets in recent months, invoking their statutory authority to police sports gambling, which they claim prediction markets facilitate. uncertain
markets → control → gambling
In response, the prediction platforms have argued that their sports-related contracts are not gambling, but rather a type of derivative called a swap, and as such is solely regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), a federal agency. asserted
contracts → argue → Commission
In her request for a Supreme Court hearing, New Jersey Attorney General Jennifer Davenport said the divide between the 9th and 3rd Circuit courts holds "tremendous importance." asserted
divide → say → importance
"It will determine whether a multi-billion-dollar gaming industry can suddenly operate free from state sports-gaming laws," Davenport added, further noting that New Jersey has regulated sports wagers for more than 100 years. asserted
Jersey → determine → years
In a statement to ABC News, Kalshi criticized New Jersey's request for a hearing at the Supreme Court. asserted
Kalshi → criticize → Court
“We disagree with New Jersey's filing. asserted
We → disagree → filing
It cannot be regulated by 50 different regulators. asserted
It → regulate → regulators
Both the Third Circuit and the District of New Jersey sided with Kalshi because the CFTC's exclusive jurisdiction preempts state law," Kalshi spokesperson Dani Lever said. "While New Jersey points to a recent decision in the Ninth Circuit, that decision agreed with that key principle. asserted
decision → side → principle
Where it differed, it did so based on a regulation that's in the process of being rewritten. asserted
that → differ → process
We remain confident in the lower courts' rulings, and nothing in New Jersey's filing today changes our view," Lever added. asserted
Lever → remain → view
The filing marks the latest legal action taken by state officials to enable them to regulate online prediction markets like Kalshi. asserted
filing → mark → Kalshi
A federal court in July temporarily blocked a Minnesota ban on prediction markets, siding with defendants who said they were subject to federal and not state oversight. asserted
they → block → oversight
A few days later, New York also sued Kalshi, alleging its prediction market is illegal, unlicensed gambling, in large part because the state says outcomes depend more on chance than skill. asserted
outcomes → sue → skill
Last week, Connecticut also sued Kalshi to block alleged unlicensed sports gambling. asserted
Connecticut → sue → gambling
At the time, Kalshi directed ABC News to a post on X by Jovy Dedaj, the head of litigation for Kalshi, which called for federal oversight of prediction markets. asserted
which → direct → markets
Dedaj also criticized the Connecticut lawsuit for singling out Kalshi while allegedly allowing other prediction markets to operate in the state. uncertain
markets → criticize → state
On its website, Kalshi states that it is "regulated as a Designated Contract Market (DCM), which is a financial exchange designated to trade futures, swaps, and or options on commodities" and as such is subject to federal oversight." asserted
which → state → oversight
In April, a federal judge blocked Arizona from continuing a criminal case against Kalshi. asserted
judge → block → Kalshi
The state filed charges claiming the company operated an illegal, unlicensed gambling business and accepted unlawful wagers from Arizona residents. asserted
company → file → residents
At the time, a spokesperson for Kalshi denied the allegations, describing them as "meritless." asserted
spokesperson → deny → them
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