Ukraine will hit Russian refineries in response to Moscow's 'new doctrine' of airstrikes

Read the original at The Straits Times ↗
The Straits Times · collected 2026-10-03 · by The Straits Times

Quick Summary

President Volodymyr Zelenskiy announced that Ukraine will target Russian oil refineries in response to Moscow's new military doctrine allowing attacks on broader civilian targets. This policy shift aims to pressure Ukrainians to abandon cities like Kyiv, according to Ukrainian intelligence documents. Despite this, Zelenskiy assures that Ukraine will not attack civilian infrastructure and is responding to the strikes by intensifying its counteroffensive in the Donbas region, reclaiming around 140 square kilometers. The article details how Russia's recent attacks on Kyiv's energy and communications assets have escalated tensions further.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-10-03, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered his military leaders in September to abandon traditional rules of war, targeting civilian infrastructure and nuclear facilities. This came amid Russia's intensifying attacks on Ukrainian cities, including critical bridges, schools, hospitals, and energy centers. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned that this marks a new phase of the conflict where Russia aims to pressure civilians into evacuating major cities like Kyiv.

According to intercepted communications, Putin’s “new doctrine” allows attacks on infrastructure such as roads, schools, and hospitals, with the goal of forcing people to leave their homes. The World Health Organization has documented over 3,000 Russian attacks on Ukrainian healthcare facilities since February 2022, while more than 4,700 schools and universities have been hit.

In response, Zelensky announced that Ukraine will intensify its attacks specifically on Russian oil refineries to disrupt Russia’s war efforts but emphasized they would not deliberately target civilians. This strategy reflects the escalating nature of the conflict, with both sides increasingly targeting infrastructure rather than military targets alone.

Written for “Ukraine Russia War Escalation” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 5 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
44
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
2%
1 of 44 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
59.1
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
6
World
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-10-03 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Ukraine Russia War Escalation
World · 6 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 2% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
ABC News (AU) · 0.91 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 3% hedged 1 of 30 📰 publisher trust 61
“Both articles describe Ukraine's announcement to target Russian refineries in response to Russia's new doctrine of military attacks, as declared by President Zelenskyy.”
Times of India · 0.88 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 29 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles report on President Zelenskyy's announcement regarding Ukraine's response to a new Russian strategy of targeting civilian infrastructure, specifically mentioning attacks on oil refineries.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans strongly left 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 7 📰 publisher trust 60
“The articles describe different aspects of the conflict, with Article A focusing on a specific Russian drone strike in Kyiv, while Article B discusses Ukraine's response strategy to Moscow's new doctrine of airstrikes.”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 11% hedged 4 of 37 📰 publisher trust 72
“Article A reports on Russia's attack against Ukrainian energy infrastructure, while Article B discusses Ukraine's planned response to Moscow's new doctrine of airstrikes and does not describe the same specific incident.”
The Straits Times
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 29% hedged 2 of 7 📰 publisher trust 59
“The articles describe different aspects of the ongoing conflict involving Ukraine, Russia, and oil-related interests, but do not refer to the same specific incident or time.”
The Independent
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 7% hedged 4 of 57 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles discuss President Zelensky's announcement about obtaining documents revealing Putin's 'new doctrine' and Ukraine's response of targeting Russian refineries.”
CBC News · 0.90 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 5 📰 publisher trust 60
“The articles describe different stages or responses to a broader conflict, not the exact same incident at the same time.”
The Straits Times · 0.89 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 8 📰 publisher trust 59
“Article A describes Ukraine's response to Russia's new doctrine of airstrikes, while Article B reports Russia's intensification of strikes following Zelenskiy's interview, indicating different phases or responses in the conflict.”
The Independent
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 15% hedged 6 of 41 📰 publisher trust 59
“The articles discuss related actions during the war but describe different specific events: one warns about Putin's orders to abandon rules of war, while the other reports Ukraine's response to hit Russian refineries.”
Times of India
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 7% hedged 1 of 14 📰 publisher trust 59
“Article A discusses Ukraine's response to Russia's new doctrine of airstrikes targeting civilian infrastructure, while Article B reports on Russia's continued targeted strikes against Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities. These are separate but related developments.”

Publisher

The Straits Times · 1914 article(s) · 3 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 3 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

The Straits Times
1321 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Also by The Straits Times
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 1321 articles by The Straits Times →

Topics

KYIV Moscow Russian Ukraine Ukrainian

Subjects

Zelenskiy PERSON · 11× Russia GPE · 7× Russian NORP · 6× Ukraine GPE · 5× Ukrainian NORP · 5× KYIV GPE · 4× Moscow GPE · 4× Putin PERSON · 4× DONBAS GPE · 3× G20 ORG · 2×

Narrative

COUNTEROFFENSIVE IN DONBAS Zelenskiy said an ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive, code-named "Vivaldi", had recaptured around 140 sq km (54 sq miles) of Ukraine's eastern Donbas region, which Russia has said it must control in its entirety as a condition for any peace deal.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-03
🔮 Ukraine will hit Russian refineries in response to Moscow's 'new doctrine' of airstrikes

Claims (44 extracted, 1 hedged)

Ukraine will hit Russian refineries in response to Moscow's 'new doctrine' of airstrikes asserted
Ukraine → hit → airstrikes
Ukraine will double down on attacking Russian oil refineries in response to a new policy of airstrikes by Moscow designed to force people to abandon Kyiv and other cities, but will not target civilians, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said. asserted
Zelenskiy → double → civilians
Ukrainian intelligence has obtained documents showing that Russian leader Vladimir Putin had issued a "new doctrine" of military attacks on a much broader range of civilian targets ahead of this winter, Zelenskiy said. asserted
Zelenskiy → obtain → winter
"We saw documents and we know that they allow them attack infrastructure ... logistics ... roads, schools, hospitals, to pressure people to leave the capital, leave different cities," Zelenskiy said. asserted
Zelenskiy → see → cities
Driving the shift in policy, Zelenskiy said, was Putin's desire to appear strong at a time when his military was losing ground in a key frontline region and sustaining higher levels of casualties. asserted
military → drive → casualties
The Kremlin was not available to comment on Saturday. asserted
Kremlin → comment → Saturday
But in a statement urging foreign nationals to leave Kyiv, the Russian Foreign Ministry said Moscow would continue to systematically hit targets in what it said were retaliatory strikes for Ukrainian attacks on Russia in recent months. asserted
it → urge → months
Both sides deny deliberately targeting civilians. asserted
sides → deny → civilians
COUNTEROFFENSIVE IN DONBAS Zelenskiy said an ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive, code-named "Vivaldi", had recaptured around 140 sq km (54 sq miles) of Ukraine's eastern Donbas region, which Russia has said it must control in its entirety as a condition for any peace deal. asserted
it → say → deal
In recent weeks, US President Donald Trump's administration has sought to revive talks to end the four-year-old conflict – Europe's bloodiest since World War Two. asserted
administration → seek → War
The US leader last month urged Ukraine to refrain from hitting Russian oil installations, saying that was sending global diesel prices surging. asserted
prices → urge → installations
But Zelenskiy, speaking as air raid sirens blared outside the gilded halls of the presidential offices, said he had received no indications from Russia that Putin was interested in peace talks, or discussing a ceasefire on energy infrastructure. asserted
Putin → speak → infrastructure
Over the past week, the Ukrainian capital has come under persistent attack by Russian drones and missiles targeting energy and telecoms assets, road and rail infrastructure. asserted
capital → come → assets
For the first time, Russia has targeted the bridges across the Dnipro river connecting east and west Kyiv. asserted
Russia → target → Kyiv
Zelenskiy said Ukraine would respond to the change in tactics by Moscow, but would not respond in kind by targeting civilian infrastructure indiscriminately. asserted
Ukraine → say → infrastructure
"We have to respond in any way (we can). asserted
we → have → way
With their attacks on our energy, we have to respond on their energy. asserted
we → have → energy
First of all, oil refiners: what gives money to them for this war," Zelenskiy said in English. asserted
Zelenskiy → give → English
"But we will not respond, of course, just like them, on any civilian objects." asserted
we → respond → objects
After the Trump administration invited Putin to attend a G20 summit in Miami in December and discussed business deals with Russian envoys, Zelenskiy urged Washington not to normalise relations with Russia before ensuring a return to peace. asserted
Zelenskiy → invite → peace
Zelenskiy said he would be happy to meet Putin for peace talks at the G20, but he warned the US not to believe in "illusions" that Russia would end hostilities if it gained control of Donbas. asserted
it → say → Donbas
"It's not fair just to normalise," said Zelenskiy, dressed in his trademark black T-shirt and military-style jacket. asserted
Zelenskiy → normalise → shirt
Any resumption of economic and diplomatic ties with the West had to be in return for peace, he said: "Because peace is more important than any kind of economy." asserted
peace → have → economy
While the US has proposed a resumption of trilateral talks in the coming weeks in the UAE, Zelenskiy noted that an exact date and location for the technical-level conversations had not been set. asserted
date → propose → conversations
Ukrainian officials warn that Russia has stockpiled hundreds of ballistic missiles ahead of an expected winter onslaught against electricity and water infrastructure. asserted
Russia → warn → infrastructure
Last winter, the worst of the war, Russian strikes left swathes of the country without electricity and heating for days at a time. asserted
strikes → leave → time
Since the summer, Moscow has also begun launching dozens of fast and relatively cheap jet-powered Shahed drones a day at Ukraine, whose air defences have struggled as its previous generation of interceptor drones were too slow to catch them. asserted
generation → begin → them
Zelenskiy said Ukraine had been forced to rely heavily on its fighter aircraft – F-16s and MiGs – to down around 60% of the Russian jet-powered drones, but supplies of 20 mm ammunition for the planes were running low. asserted
supplies → say → planes
Kyiv was urgently working on other solutions – including boosting its jamming capabilities, he said. asserted
he → work → capabilities
In the second half of October, it would receive the first shipment of small, cheap air defence missiles capable of hitting the new Shaheds. asserted
it → receive → Shaheds
Last week, Zelenskiy said Ukraine was developing five models of new interceptor drones capable of downing the jet Shaheds. asserted
Ukraine → say → Shaheds
Fresh from a meeting with his defence chiefs, he said tests on two of those models showed a modest success rate of around 30%. asserted
tests → say → %
"We'll have to scale it," he said. asserted
he → have → it
"I hope that with all these things, with all these elements, we'll find a way." asserted
we → hope → way
BALLISTIC THREAT Ukraine announced the first combat use this week of its own domestically made ballistic missile – the FP-7, which has a range of around 250 km (155 miles). asserted
which → announce → km
Zelenskiy said he had called the manufacturer Fire Point to pressure executives to finish quickly a longer-range model, the FP-9, which the company has said could hit Moscow. uncertain
company → say → Moscow
"I said to them, where is my FP-9?" said Zelenskiy, with a grin. asserted
Zelenskiy → say → grin
"We need the FP-9. asserted
We → need → FP-9
Zelenskiy said a recent spate of Russian drone incursions and hybrid attacks in Europe were an effort to intimidate European populations and to divide support for Ukraine. asserted
spate → say → Ukraine
Some European leaders were starting to understand this, he said, and toughen their position. asserted
he → start → position
…and 4 more, not listed.
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