Story summary
US forces are set to pull out from their last bases in Iraq by September 30, 2026, a departure celebrated as a victory by Iran and its allies who now have deep influence in the country where 4,500 Americans died during more than two decades of war. The withdrawal was agreed upon in 2024 under President Joe Biden and implemented by Donald Trump's administration despite ongoing conflict with Iran.
Some Iraqi security officials fear the pullout could revive Islamic State fighters, who maintain sleeper cells despite their self-proclaimed caliphate's defeat nearly a decade ago. Jasim al-Bahadli, an Iraqi security analyst specializing in armed Shi'ite groups aligned with Iran, predicts pro-Iranian militia groups will leverage this momentum to gain more influence over Iraq’s security and political decision-making.
Abu Mojtaba al-Yasiri, a commander in the Islamic Resistance in Iraq, described the US withdrawal as "a historic victory for Iraqi Islamic resistance groups and honourable Iraqis," marking what he sees as a crushing defeat for American ambitions in the region.
Written for “US Withdrawal From Iraq” on 2026-10-05,
grounded in this article and the 33 other(s) covering the same event.
U.S. forces set to leave Iraq after first arriving in 2003
asserted
forces → leave → 2003
U.S. troops originally left in 2011 but drawn back in after emergence of Islamic State
U.S. forces are set to pull out from their last bases in Iraq by Wednesday, a departure celebrated as a victory by Iran and its allies, who now have deep influence in the country where 4,500 Americans died during more than two decades of war.
asserted
Americans → leave → war
Iraqi security experts say the withdrawal — agreed in 2024 under President Joe Biden and carried out by Donald Trump's administration even as it wages war against Iran — could give Tehran and its powerful allies free rein, while also allowing other U.S. enemies to stage a comeback, including Islamic State.
uncertain
enemies → say → State
Abu Mojtaba al-Yasiri, a commander in the Islamic Resistance in Iraq, an umbrella group of Iran-backed armed factions, described the U.S. withdrawal as "a historic victory for the Iraqi Islamic resistance groups and honourable Iraqis, and a crushing defeat for the American project."
"On Sept. 30, we will celebrate the turning of a black page in Iraq's history and the failure of the occupation to impose its will on our country," he told Reuters.
asserted
he → back → Reuters
"Iraq has proven that its sovereignty cannot be secured by foreign forces, but by the resistance and the will of its people.
asserted
sovereignty → prove → people
"
While the eventual departure of U.S. forces is broadly popular among Iraqis, those who worry about the strength of the Iran-backed groups fear the withdrawal is premature.
asserted
withdrawal → worry → groups
"We believe Iraq is still not fully ready to take over the security file at this time," Abdulrahman al-Zobaie, a Sunni tribal leader in Fallujah, once a bastion of anti-American resistance, told Reuters.
asserted
Zobaie → believe → Reuters
"All Iraqis aspire to full sovereignty, and no Iraqi would dispute that.
asserted
Iraqi → aspire → that
But I believe that the [U.S.-led coalition] leaving in this way and creating a vacuum is what all Iraqis fear.
asserted
Iraqis → believe → what
"
Deadlier than U.S. deployment in Afghanistan
American forces invaded Iraq in 2003 to topple Sunni Muslim dictator Saddam Hussein, going on to occupy the country, install a Shia-led government and fight a years-long counterinsurgency before withdrawing at the end of 2011.
asserted
forces → invade → 2011
They returned less than three years later to help Iraqi forces defeat the Sunni militant group Islamic State, also known as ISIS at the time, in a major war from 2014 to 2017.
asserted
forces → return → 2017
Around twice as many Americans died in "Operation Iraqi Freedom" as in the parallel war in Afghanistan, which ended with an abrupt U.S. withdrawal in 2021.
asserted
which → die → 2021
In recent years, Iraq has been the only country to maintain close political and military alliances with both the United States and Iran, which sometimes used Iraqi territory as a proxy battlefield.
asserted
which → maintain → battlefield
The United States killed a top Iranian commander, Qasem Soleimani, with a strike on Baghdad Airport in 2020.
asserted
States → kill → 2020
Iran's allies repeatedly fired on U.S. bases, sometimes drawing reprisals.
asserted
allies → fire → reprisals
In this year's war against Iran, seven of the 18 U.S. service members listed as killed were in Iraq, the last an army sergeant who died during the controlled detonation of a drone at a base near Erbil in July.
asserted
who → list → July
Fears of imminent attacks
Iran, which says its ultimate aim is to force American forces to leave the entire Middle East, casts the U.S. withdrawal from Iraq as a victory for its "axis of resistance" of allied armed groups across the region.
asserted
aim → say → region
"Lasting security will prevail in Iraq" once the Americans leave the country and the region, the deputy chairman of the National Security Commission of Iran's parliament, Amir Hayat Moqaddam, said on Monday.
asserted
chairman → last → Monday
Iran "welcomes the withdrawal of American troops from Iraq and will undoubtedly support it," he told Iran's parliamentary news service.
asserted
he → welcome → service
"Resistance groups are currently taking action, sometimes targeting and confronting American troops."
asserted
groups → take → troops
Washington has accused Iran-backed militia groups in Iraq of playing a role in the wider Middle East conflict by launching attacks on neighbouring countries at the direction of Tehran, most recently hitting a major Saudi oil pipeline this month.
asserted
Washington → accuse → pipeline
The Baghdad government says it is trying to curb their influence.
asserted
it → say → influence
Some Iraqi security officials, both in the federal government and the semi-autonomous northern Kurdish region, say the U.S. pullout also risks giving new life to Islamic State fighters, who, despite the defeat of their self-proclaimed caliphate nearly a decade ago, retain a sleeper cell network.
asserted
who → say → network
At their height, the fighters occupied a third of Iraq and killed thousands of people, including hundreds they videotaped themselves gunning down inside a former U.S. military base.
asserted
themselves → occupy → base
Iraqi security forces said a suspected Islamic State cell was preparing suicide attacks to coincide with the pullout.
asserted
cell → say → pullout
The plot highlighted concerns that the militant group remains capable of exploiting security gaps despite years of military setbacks, said four Iraqi security and army officials.
asserted
officials → highlight → setbacks
Islamic State "is seeking to send a message that the group is still powerful and capable of launching bloody attacks," said Col. Khalid al-Bayati, a senior security official in the strategic oil town of Kirkuk.
asserted
Bayati → seek → Kirkuk
The Aporia
