How popular is Elon Musk?

Silver Bulletin · collected 2026-09-03 · by Nate Silver commentary
Read the original at Silver Bulletin ↗

Summary

The Silver Bulletin tracks Elon Musk's favorability rating through a weighted average of polls, updated periodically. The article does not provide specific numbers on Musk's current popularity, but mentions that the number of polls has decreased dramatically since 2024. As a result, updates will now occur only when new polls are released. The Silver Bulletin's process for calculating Musk's favorability ratings is similar to those used for President Trump's approval ratings, with slightly more conservative settings due to Musk being polled less often.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-03, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
22
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
5%
1 of 22 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher trust
not scored
Commentary is not rated for newsroom trust
Outlets on this story
1
Entertainment
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-03 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

Elon Musk's favorability rating has been tracked by the Silver Bulletin since January 2024, but due to the decrease in polls asking about him, updates will now only be published when a new poll is released. The average favors reliability, weighting more trustworthy polls heavier and using more conservative settings than for President Trump's approval ratings. As of September 3, 2026, Musk's favorability rating is not explicitly stated, but the tracking page promises to regularly update this information as new polls come in.

Written for “Elon Musk's Popularity” on 2026-09-03, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 3568 · logged 2026-09-03

Story

📰 Elon Musk's Popularity
Entertainment · 1 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

Nothing to compare against. No article is close enough to this one for the pipeline to have linked or judged the pair.

Publisher

Silver Bulletin · 10 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected

Commentary. The three signals behind a trust score all measure a newsroom's record with its own reporting, so they are not computed for this source. How trust is scored.

No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Nate Silver
8 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The podcast, Still Counting, will be produced by Crooked Media.
🔮 That might change if Musk re-enters politics in a serious way.
2026-09-03 · assertive framing · How popular is Elon Musk?
🔮 The podcast, produced by Crooked Media, will officially debut in September.
2026-08-26 · assertive framing · Do I really buy that Texas could turn blue?
🔮 Kamala Harris reached her peak in our presidential forecast on Aug. 14, though she’d never really achieved escape velocity, and by Aug. 29, Trump was the favorite again.1
2026-08-25 · assertive framing · Are Democrats on a summer sugar high?
🔮 Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said they would be “the single greatest financial offensive ever marshaled against an adversary.”
2026-08-24 · assertive framing · How popular is the Iran War?
🔮 In other Silver Bulletin news, we launched our 2026 midterm election forecast this month.
2026-08-24 · assertive framing · Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
🔮 In other Silver Bulletin news, we launched our 2026 midterm election forecast this month.
2026-08-24 · assertive framing · How popular is Donald Trump?
🔮 But it’s less certain which party will control the majority of governorships.
2026-08-24 · assertive framing · FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
More on this subject from Nate Silver
How popular is Donald Trump?
2026-08-24 · Silver Bulletin · 61% similar
All 8 articles by Nate Silver →

Topics

Substack

Subjects

Musk PERSON · 12× Elon Musk PERSON · 1× Elon Musk’s PERSON · 1× Trump PERSON · 1×

Narrative

In addition to not being polled as often, Musk doesn’t make news as often as the president — thus, abrupt changes in favorability ratings are more likely to be noise rather than signal — and there tend to be larger house effects when different firms poll about him.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-03
🔮 That might change if Musk re-enters politics in a serious way.
2026-09-03 · Silver Bulletin
How popular is Elon Musk? · assertive framing

Claims (22 extracted, 1 hedged)

🕒 The latest on Musk’s favorability rating Updated September 3, 2026 asserted
latest → update → rating
Over that time, the number of polls asking about Musk has decreased dramatically. asserted
number → ask → Musk
As a result, we’ll be updating this average less frequently going forward. asserted
we → update → average
Instead of updating every day, we’ll only publish an update when a new Musk poll is released. asserted
poll → update → update
That might change if Musk re-enters politics in a serious way. uncertain
Musk → change → way
-EMD, 9/3/26 This the landing page for the Silver Bulletin average of Elon Musk’s favorability polls, tracking him back to the start of 2024.1 asserted
This → track → 2024.1
We’ll regularly update this average as new polls come in.2 asserted
polls → update → average
This page is designed to be viewed on the web rather than in our email client or in the Substack app. asserted
page → design → app
Click here for more information on how the average works. asserted
average → click → information
The Silver Bulletin average weights more reliable polls more heavily — you can find our latest pollster ratings here. asserted
you → weight → ratings
Our process for calculating Musk’s favorability ratings is similar to that for calculating President Trump’s approval ratings, although we use slightly more conservative settings as Musk is polled less often than Trump.3 The topline: asserted
Musk → calculate → Trump.3
Our default version of the ratings reflects a combination of all polls, whether conducted among adults, registered voters or likely voters. asserted
version → reflect → adults
If a pollster releases multiple versions of the same survey, we use the all-adult version of the poll before the registered voter version.4 The polls: asserted
we → release → version.4
What do the surveys say? asserted
surveys → say → What
You can see all the numbers for each poll that feeds into our average below. asserted
that → see → average
You can also click here to download all the Musk favorability numbers — and some additional details not shown in the chart below — for every Musk favorability poll in our database. asserted
You → click → database
This is a free feature, but it requires work to update and maintain. asserted
it → require → work
We very much appreciate your support via paid or free subscriptions. asserted
We → appreciate → subscriptions
We’ll suspend the updates only if Musk so distances himself from politics that pollsters stop regularly asking about him. asserted
pollsters → suspend → him
More specifically, the settings we use for the Musk tracker are similar to the ones we’ve historically used for our generic ballot averages. asserted
we → use → averages
In addition to not being polled as often, Musk doesn’t make news as often as the president — thus, abrupt changes in favorability ratings are more likely to be noise rather than signal — and there tend to be larger house effects when different firms poll about him. asserted
firms → poll → him
Therefore, the settings use for presidential approval would produce an average that is too “bouncy” if applied to Musk. asserted
that → produce → Musk
💬 Give feedback
🕘 History 🎫 Support