Claims extracted
22
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
5%
1 of 22 hedged
("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
not measured
these signals count newsroom corrections;
Commentary has none to count
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
🕒 The latest on Musk’s favorability rating
Updated September 3, 2026
asserted
latest → update → rating
Over that time, the number of polls asking about Musk has decreased dramatically.
asserted
number → ask → Musk
As a result, we’ll be updating this average less frequently going forward.
asserted
we → update → average
Instead of updating every day, we’ll only publish an update when a new Musk poll is released.
asserted
poll → update → update
That might change if Musk re-enters politics in a serious way.
uncertain
Musk → change → way
-EMD, 9/3/26
This the landing page for the Silver Bulletin average of Elon Musk’s favorability polls, tracking him back to the start of 2024.1
asserted
This → track → 2024.1
We’ll regularly update this average as new polls come in.2
asserted
polls → update → average
This page is designed to be viewed on the web rather than in our email client or in the Substack app.
asserted
page → design → app
Click here for more information on how the average works.
asserted
average → click → information
The Silver Bulletin average weights more reliable polls more heavily — you can find our latest pollster ratings here.
asserted
you → weight → ratings
Our process for calculating Musk’s favorability ratings is similar to that for calculating President Trump’s approval ratings, although we use slightly more conservative settings as Musk is polled less often than Trump.3
The topline:
asserted
Musk → calculate → Trump.3
Our default version of the ratings reflects a combination of all polls, whether conducted among adults, registered voters or likely voters.
asserted
version → reflect → adults
If a pollster releases multiple versions of the same survey, we use the all-adult version of the poll before the registered voter version.4
The polls:
asserted
we → release → version.4
What do the surveys say?
asserted
surveys → say → What
You can see all the numbers for each poll that feeds into our average below.
asserted
that → see → average
You can also click here to download all the Musk favorability numbers — and some additional details not shown in the chart below — for every Musk favorability poll in our database.
asserted
You → click → database
This is a free feature, but it requires work to update and maintain.
asserted
it → require → work
We very much appreciate your support via paid or free subscriptions.
asserted
We → appreciate → subscriptions
We’ll suspend the updates only if Musk so distances himself from politics that pollsters stop regularly asking about him.
asserted
pollsters → suspend → him
More specifically, the settings we use for the Musk tracker are similar to the ones we’ve historically used for our generic ballot averages.
asserted
we → use → averages
In addition to not being polled as often, Musk doesn’t make news as often as the president — thus, abrupt changes in favorability ratings are more likely to be noise rather than signal — and there tend to be larger house effects when different firms poll about him.
asserted
firms → poll → him
Therefore, the settings use for presidential approval would produce an average that is too “bouncy” if applied to Musk.
asserted
that → produce → Musk
The Aporia
