Voters head to the polls for 3 federal byelections in Ontario, Quebec, B.C.

CBC | Top Stories News · collected 2026-08-31 · by Benjamin Lopez Steven
Read the original at CBC | Top Stories News ↗

Summary

Voters are heading to the polls today in three federal byelections in British Columbia, Quebec, and Ontario. The byelections will determine two seats that could give the Liberals control of the legislative agenda. According to CBC News' special coverage plans, the most competitive race is expected to be in Chicoutimi–Le Fjord, where polls suggest a toss-up between the Liberal and Bloc Québécois candidates. The byelections come as the Liberals hold 170 seats in the House of Commons, while opposition parties have a combined total of 166 seats.
Written by the local model on 2026-08-31, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
18
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
0%
0 of 18 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher trust
95.4
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
2
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-08-31 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

Voting began on Monday in three federal by-elections, including a potentially close race in Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, Quebec. The seat was held by Conservative MP Richard Martel since 2018, but he stepped down to join the Senate after being appointed. Martel had won a tight three-way race in the riding in 2025 by about 1,500 votes, beating Liberal and Bloc Québécois candidates. If the Conservatives lose this seat, it could add to concerns about the leadership of Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre. The other two ridings being contested are Beaches-East York, Ontario, which is replacing a former cabinet minister, and North Vancouver-Capilano, British Columbia.

Written for “Canadian Federal Byelections” on 2026-08-31, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 3320 · logged 2026-08-31

Story

📰 Canadian Federal Byelections
Politics · 2 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
CBC | World News
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 15% hedged 4 of 26 📰 publisher trust 95
“The articles mention different types of elections (federal election in Article A and federal byelections in Article B), at different times, and with no overlap in dates or locations”
The Globe and Mail
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 7 📰 publisher trust 21
“Article A describes the start of a provincial election campaign, while Article B reports on federal byelections in different ridings”
The Globe and Mail
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 17% hedged 1 of 6 📰 publisher trust 21
“Both articles report on the same three federal by-elections taking place on the same day, specifically mentioning the same ridings: Chicoutimi-Le Fjord in Quebec, Beaches-East York in Ontario, and North Vancouver-Capilano is not mentioned in Article A, but it's possible there was a mistake in transcribing that name. However, we can compare the rest of the locations: 'the Toronto riding of Beaches-East York' (Article A) vs. 'the Ontario riding of Beaches–East York' (Article B), which are clearly the same location despite slight differences in wording. Additionally, both articles mention voting getting underway on August 31st, further confirming that they describe the same specific event.”
globalnews.ca
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 3 📰 publisher trust 52
“Article B does not mention the byelections in Ontario and Quebec, only mentions a Survey on land use and reconciliation in British Columbia and an Abbotsford-Mission byelection which is different from the North Vancouver–Capilano riding mentioned in Article A”

Publisher

CBC | Top Stories News · 194 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
SignalValueWeight
Correction rate 0.000 0.4
Uncertainty density 0.092 0.25
Assertive mismatch rate 0.000 0.35
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Benjamin Lopez Steven
3 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 CBC News will hold special coverage beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET
🔮 "If we were getting to a situation that meant fairer trade eventually for farmers, I think farmers would understand that sometimes it's necessary to go through some pain.
🔮 New tariffs set to take effect Aug. 19 if no agreement reached U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said both U.S. President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Mark Carney will now be given "options" following trade talks between Canadian and U.S. trade officials on Thursday.
Also by Benjamin Lopez Steven
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

CBC News Conservative Liberals Ontario Quebec

Subjects

Liberals NORP · 7× Ontario GPE · 5× Conservative NORP · 4× CBC News ORG · 3× Conservatives NORP · 3× Quebec GPE · 3× the Green Party ORG · 3× B.C. GPE · 2× Beaches–East York GPE · 2× Chicoutimi–Le Fjord GPE · 2×

Narrative

Elections Canada reminds Chicoutimi-Le Fjord voters: Monday's byelection is federal Carney appoints one of his top advisers and a Conservative MP to Senate And in the B.C. riding of North Vancouver–Capilano, candidates are looking to replace former Liberal MP Jonathan Wilkinson, who won the riding by about 16,500 votes in the 2025 federal election.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-08-31
🔮 CBC News will hold special coverage beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET
2026-08-31 · CBC | Top Stories News
Voters head to the polls for 3 federal byelections in Ontario, Quebec, B.C. · assertive framing

Claims (18 extracted, 0 hedged)

Voters head to the polls for 3 federal byelections in Ontario, Quebec and B.C. asserted
Voters → head → Ontario
CBC News will hold special coverage beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET asserted
News → hold → p.m.
Voters are heading to the polls on Monday to decide three federal byelections in the British Columbia riding of North Vancouver–Capilano, the Ontario riding of Beaches–East York and the Quebec riding of Chicoutimi–Le Fjord. asserted
Voters → head → Chicoutimi
Due to various vacancies, the Liberals have 170 seats in the House of Commons and the opposition parties have a combined total of 166 seats. asserted
parties → have → seats
The Liberals will need to secure two wins to guarantee control of the legislative agenda once all the seats are eventually filled. asserted
seats → need → agenda
The most competitive race is expected to be in Chicoutimi–Le Fjord. asserted
race → expect → Chicoutimi
Former Conservative MP Richard Martel held the riding since 2018 but stepped down last month after being appointed to the Senate. asserted
Martel → hold → Senate
The Liberals and Bloc Québécois are gunning for the seat, which polls suggest is a toss-up between the two parties. asserted
polls → gun → parties
Daniel Gobeil is the candidate for the Liberals, and Caroline Dubé is running for the Bloc. asserted
Dubé → run → Bloc
Other candidates in the riding include Régis Gaudreault for the Conservatives, Raphaël Émond for the New Democratic Party and Nathe Perrone for the Green Party. asserted
candidates → include → Party
In the Ontario riding of Beaches–East York, candidates are looking to replace former Liberal MP Nathaniel Erskine-Smith, who won the riding by about 26,000 votes in the 2025 federal election. asserted
who → look → election
Elections Canada reminds Chicoutimi-Le Fjord voters: Monday's byelection is federal Carney appoints one of his top advisers and a Conservative MP to Senate And in the B.C. riding of North Vancouver–Capilano, candidates are looking to replace former Liberal MP Jonathan Wilkinson, who won the riding by about 16,500 votes in the 2025 federal election. asserted
who → remind → election
Wilkinson, who was a cabinet minister under both Prime Minister Mark Carney and former prime minister Justin Trudeau, vacated the seat in July after he was appointed by Carney to be Canada's ambassador to the European Union. asserted
he → vacate → Union
CBC News will have special coverage of the byelections with chief political correspondent Rosemary Barton and Power & Politics host David Cochrane. asserted
News → have → Barton
It will begin at 9:30 p.m. ET and can be found anywhere you stream CBC News. asserted
you → begin → News
Should the Liberals lose all three byelections, they'll have additional opportunities in the future to nab the two wins they need for a majority. asserted
they → lose → majority
The prime minister has yet to call three byelections in the Quebec ridings of Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot–Acton and Rosemont–La Petite–Patrie and the Ontario riding of Scarborough North. asserted
minister → have → North
Plus, Conservative MP Cathay Wagantall is expected to officially resign on Monday from her seat in the Saskatchewan riding of Yorkton–Melville, and Conservative MP Larry Brock says he'll step down from his seat in the Ontario riding of Brantford–Brant South–Six Nations next month. asserted
he → expect → month
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