US building twice as much gas-fired capacity as China in AI boom, analysis finds

US news | The Guardian · collected 2026-08-25 · by Oliver Milman
Read the original at US news | The Guardian ↗

Summary

A new analysis by Global Energy Monitor finds that the US is now building twice as much gas-fired capacity as China, a reversal of decades-long trend where China led in new gas power generation. The US has seen a 76% increase in under-construction gas projects in the first half of this year, with total gas power capacity increasing from 252GW to 378GW, a third of the global total. Around $647bn is being invested in these new projects, which are largely driven by the growth of artificial intelligence and associated datacenters that require huge amounts of electricity. The report warns that using fossil fuels for AI development could increase US power emissions by up to 20% if all proposed projects come online.
Written by the local model on 2026-08-25, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
23
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
13%
3 of 23 hedged
Leaning
Leans strongly left
of the writing, not the subject
Publisher trust
95.2
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
1
Economy/Business
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-08-25 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

The US has surpassed China in building new gas-fired power generation, largely due to a boom in artificial intelligence (AI). For decades, China had been outpacing the US in this area, but a recent surge in datacenter construction for AI has reversed this trend. The US is now building twice as much gas-fired capacity as China, and more than any other country, with a 76% increase in under-construction projects in the first half of the year. This has led to a 50% increase in overall gas power capacity in the US, from 252GW to 378GW, which is nearly a third of the global total. If all these projects are completed, the US will see its gas fleet grow by around two-thirds at a cost of over $647 billion. This rapid expansion is driven by companies like Google, which is building numerous datacenters for AI processing.

Written for “Energy Sector Boom” on 2026-08-31, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score -0.65 Confidence high 1 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning score -0.65 for article 2240 (high confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-08-27

Story

📰 Energy Sector Boom
Economy/Business · 1 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly left and hedges 13% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
News - South China Morning Post
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 33% hedged 3 of 9 📰 publisher trust 93
“The articles cover different topics: coal-to-liquids technology in China vs. gas-fired power generation in the US”
Latest & Breaking News on Fox News
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 35% hedged 7 of 20 📰 publisher trust 93
“Article A discusses the impact of AI data centers on electricity prices, while Article B focuses on the surge in gas-fired power generation to feed the AI boom”

Publisher

US news | The Guardian · 90 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
SignalValueWeight
Correction rate 0.000 0.4
Uncertainty density 0.095 0.25
Assertive mismatch rate 0.000 0.35
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Oliver Milman
3 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 A new city and state government study will explore if it’s viable to capture station heat and push it deeper underground, then use this trapped heat in the winter to warm up surrounding buildings.
🔮 The Trump administration’s push to expand oil and gas extraction across the US is set to bring drilling near cherished natural and cultural sites, raising alarm among conservationists and prompting questions from the UN’s heritage body. UNESCO said it had received information on the administration’s plan to scrap a drilling-free buffer zone around the Chaco Culture National Historical Park in New Mexico, a world heritage site and one of the most important cultural areas in the US.
🔮 If all of these projects are ultimately built, the US will increase its gas fleet by around two-thirds at a capital cost of more than $647bn, Gem found.
Also by Oliver Milman
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

China Gem Global Energy Monitor Google the International Energy Agency

Subjects

China GPE · 8× Trump PERSON · 3× Gem ORG · 2× Global Energy Monitor ORG · 2× Amazon ORG · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× Google ORG · 1× Jenny Martos PERSON · 1× Open AI ORG · 1× the International Energy Agency ORG · 1×

Narrative

“Frankly, communities that don’t take a datacenter, they’re making a mistake because there’s plenty of communities that want them,” Trump said in separate remarks to his former lawyer Michael Cohen last week. “Because it means jobs, and it means tremendous tax revenue coming into the towns and cities that take them.”
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-08-25
🔮 If all of these projects are ultimately built, the US will increase its gas fleet by around two-thirds at a capital cost of more than $647bn, Gem found.
2026-08-25 · US news | The Guardian
US building twice as much gas-fired capacity as China in AI boom, analysis finds · assertive framing

Claims (23 extracted, 3 hedged)

The US has surged ahead of China in the building of new gas-fired power generation, largely to feed a boom in artificial intelligence (AI) that is adding vast amounts of planet-heating emissions, a new analysis has found. asserted
analysis → surge → emissions
For decades, China’s rapid economic growth has seen it outpace the US in the addition of new gas power generation but a recent “frenzy” in datacenter construction for AI has reversed this, said Global Energy Monitor (Gem) in its new report. asserted
Monitor → see → report
The US is now building twice as much gas-fired capacity as China, and more than any other country in the world, after a stunning 76% increase in under-construction projects in the first half of this year. asserted
US → build → year
When adding announced and pre-construction projects, the US is building nearly three times as much as its fellow global economic powerhouse. asserted
US → add → powerhouse
Since January, gas power capacity in overall development in the US has ballooned by 50%, rising from 252GW to 378GW – a third of the global total. asserted
capacity → balloon → total
If all of these projects are ultimately built, the US will increase its gas fleet by around two-thirds at a capital cost of more than $647bn, Gem found. asserted
Gem → build → 647bn
Around half of the new capacity is directly tied to a rash of upcoming datacenters that require a huge amount of electricity to handle the increased demand from AI. asserted
that → tie → AI
Using gas, a fossil fuel that is dangerously overheating our planet, rather than renewables to power this glut of new datacenters threatens to increase US power emissions by as much as 20%, according to one estimate. uncertain
that → use → estimate
“Six months ago, China had more gas plants under construction but that has now flipped,” said Jenny Martos, a project manager at Global Energy Monitor. asserted
Martos → have → Monitor
“There has been an enormous surge in datacenter proposals powered by gas in the past year and the climate implications of that is huge. asserted
implications → power → that
Building all of this gas for AI locks in decades of pollution and it is also locking in dependence on a volatile fuel cost, which will get passed down to rate payers.” asserted
which → build → payers
Donald Trump and others in his administration have repeatedly claimed that China, the world’s largest carbon polluter, is expanding its fossil fuel use so much that any emissions cuts by the US would be futile. asserted
cuts → claim → US
The president has said of China that “their air is dirty, and it drifts over to us”. asserted
it → say → us
But the rush of new infrastructure for AI, along with the Trump administration’s demolition of environmental regulations and China’s rapid adoption of clean energy, is changing this equation. asserted
rush → change → equation
US spending on power plants fueled by coal and gas will outstrip that of China for the first time in decades, the International Energy Agency has forecast. asserted
Agency → fuel → decades
The stampede by tech companies, such as Google, Open AI and Amazon, to build datacenters has contributed to a backlog of the most efficient gas turbines used for accompanying power plants. asserted
stampede → build → plants
This has led several companies, including Elon Musk’s xAI, to quickly switch to smaller, less efficient turbines which are more heavily polluting. asserted
which → lead → turbines
Concerns over the climate crisis, rising power bills, tax breaks for AI companies and water shortages – two-thirds of more than 800 planned datacenters are located in drought-stricken areas – has fueled mounting local opposition to data center construction. asserted
thirds → rise → construction
A recent poll by Heatmap found that three-quarters of Americans do not want to live next to a datacenter, a huge increase in opposition in the past year. asserted
quarters → find → year
Dozens of cities and counties have placed restrictions on new datacenters, with New York in July becoming the first state to enact a temporary ban on new hyper-scale datacenter permitting and construction. asserted
York → place → permitting
Despite this backlash, which could well hurt Republicans in the November midterm elections, the Trump administration has championed the building of new datacenters and eliminated environmental reviews in order to speed them up. uncertain
administration → hurt → them
Trump said this month that “data centers could be bigger than oil” and state governors should cut taxes to encourage them. uncertain
governors → say → them
“Frankly, communities that don’t take a datacenter, they’re making a mistake because there’s plenty of communities that want them,” Trump said in separate remarks to his former lawyer Michael Cohen last week. “Because it means jobs, and it means tremendous tax revenue coming into the towns and cities that take them.” asserted
that → take → them
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