‘Sleepwalking into defeat’: Liberal MPs’ lacklustre fundraising efforts spark election fears

Read the original at The Sydney Morning Herald ↗
The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-09-18 · by Max Maddison

Quick Summary

NSW Liberal Party MPs are facing internal strife due to poor fundraising efforts and leadership concerns six months before the state election. State director Mark Neeham's decision to take a six-week leave for army training has angered some members, including frontbencher Mark Coure, who questioned his commitment to the party’s electoral campaign. The Coalition’s primary vote currently stands at 24%, trailing Labor and One Nation according to recent polls, raising fears of an impending defeat among Liberal MPs.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-18, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

Infighting within the NSW Liberal Party has intensified six months before the upcoming election in Australia. The situation was exacerbated by state director Mark Neeham's decision to take a six-week leave for an army reservists' training camp, which angered some MPs and raised concerns about lack of focus on the March election. Additionally, several frontbenchers and MPs have failed to raise sufficient funds for their campaigns, particularly concerning is the nomination of Adelaide Cuneo as the sole candidate in the Manly seat, traditionally held by Liberals. This poor fundraising performance has led to significant doubts about the party’s ability to defend its seats. The Coalition currently holds a primary vote of only 24%, trailing both Labor and One Nation according to recent polls. Furthermore, resignations from two frontbenchers—James Griffin and Alistair Henskens—have added to the internal strife within the party, with more anticipated to follow.

Written for “Canadian Election Fears” on 2026-10-05, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
35
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
17%
6 of 35 hedged
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Correction & hedging signals
61.2
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
2
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-18 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Canadian Election Fears
Politics · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 17% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald · 1.00 cosine similarity
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 16% hedged 6 of 38 📰 publisher trust 61
“Both articles describe the exact same incident involving infighting within the NSW Liberal Party due to lacklustre fundraising efforts and state director Mark Neeham's absence for training.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 4 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles discuss different events involving distinct political figures and institutions, one focusing on fundraising efforts of the NSW Liberal Party and the other on legal proceedings related to alleged impropriety at ICAC.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 7% hedged 2 of 27 📰 publisher trust 61
“The articles describe different incidents involving distinct issues within the Liberal Party, one about fundraising efforts and infighting, and another about a legal inquiry into a cheque transaction.”

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 2411 article(s) · 4 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 4 correction(s)
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Who wrote this

Max Maddison
8 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 McDermott announced he would leave parliament after 12 years without detailing his reason, and comes a day after this masthead reported Labor HQ was considering asking male backbenchers to retire to solve the party’s equal representation problem.
🔮 The NSW government’s independent planning body has approved the largest coal mining proposal in the state’s history, saying that, while the 800 million tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions it will cause will have impacts on the Hunter Valley, they can be managed with the conditions it has applied.
🔮 Sloane’s announcement that a Coalition government would freeze the gun buyback and scrap gun ownership caps for farmers and sporting shooters – a backflip seemingly coming for months — clearly had been influenced by the policy’s deep unpopularity on the right.
🔮 Some MPs are anticipating more resignations will follow.
🔮 Some MPs are anticipating more resignations will follow.
🔮 - As the war in Iran approaches its seven month, fuel suppliers are warning motorists could face another petrol and diesel shock after a vital Middle Eastern pipeline was forced offline.
🔮 The club’s spending will undergo a forensic audit by McGrathNicol, an advisory firm.
🔮 An Ausgrid spokeswoman said crews were still working to restore power to approximately 1400 homes as of 7am on Sunday morning with services expected to be restored by midday.
Also by Max Maddison
Veteran MP resigns as NSW Labor HQ targets male backbenchers
2026-10-01 · The Sydney Morning Herald
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 8 articles by Max Maddison →

Topics

Australia Liberal Liberals Manly the NSW Liberal Party

Subjects

Neeham PERSON · 8× Liberal NORP · 6× Coure PERSON · 3× Australia GPE · 2× Liberals NORP · 2× Adelaide Cuneo PERSON · 1× Manly ORG · 1× Mark Coure PERSON · 1× Mark Neeham PERSON · 1× the NSW Liberal Party ORG · 1×

Narrative

Last week, Neeham posted about his experience on LinkedIn, saying it was his “third time undertaking military and officer training”. “I’m proud of where the journey began, grateful for where it has led, and humbled by the opportunity to serve Australia and the Australian Army.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-18
🔮 Some MPs are anticipating more resignations will follow.

Claims (35 extracted, 6 hedged)

Infighting and concerns about MPs’ lacklustre fundraising efforts have fractured the NSW Liberal Party six months before voters go to the polls. asserted
voters → fracture → polls
A decision by state director Mark Neeham – who took on the job in April – to take six weeks off for an army reservists’ training camp angered some Liberal MPs. asserted
who → take → MPs
Frontbencher Mark Coure took Neeham to task about what he perceived to be a lack of focus on the March election. asserted
he → take → election
As Adelaide Cuneo, who works in clean energy, firmed as the party’s sole nominee in the northern beaches seat of Manly, Liberal sources said several frontbenchers and MPs had raised little or no money, creating questions about the party’s capacity to defend their seats. asserted
frontbenchers → work → seats
Those issue signify deeper troubles within the Liberals six months out from polling day. asserted
issue → signify → day
The Coalition’s primary vote of 24 per cent currently trails both Labor and One Nation, according to the latest Resolve Monitor Poll. uncertain
vote → trail → Poll
Two frontbenchers – James Griffin and Alistair Henskens – announced their resignations in consecutive weeks. asserted
frontbenchers → announce → weeks
Some MPs are anticipating more resignations will follow. asserted
resignations → anticipate → ?
Before the party’s State Council meeting at the Sheraton hotel at Hyde Park on Saturday, the Herald spoke to 11 Liberal sources who were granted anonymity to discuss confidential party matters. asserted
who → speak → matters
“We’re sleepwalking into defeat,” one MP lamented. asserted
MP → sleepwalk → defeat
Anxieties among the Liberals heightened in August when MPs became aware Neeham would be away for army training for six weeks. asserted
Neeham → heighten → weeks
The extent of his absence – which two sources said was approved when Neeham took the role – was hardly known among MPs, and stunned some insiders who felt his priority should have been the party and preparing for an incredibly tough election. asserted
priority → say → election
Coure – who has served as the MO for Oatley for 15 years and holds the seat on a 0.8 per cent margin – was “furious”, according to one source, and had words with Neeham about his prolonged absence from Liberal HQ, according to three sources briefed on the conversation. Neeham and Coure declined to comment. uncertain
Neeham → serve → conversation
Employers are legally required to release Australian Defence Force reservists for service without requiring they take leave. asserted
they → require → leave
A senior Liberal source said Coure’s frustration with Neeham was shared among the parliamentary team. asserted
frustration → say → team
Another said the dispute underscored an ongoing disconnect between party headquarters and the Liberal caucus, with “some having a lack of confidence in HQ’s attentiveness and focus on the NSW team”. asserted
some → say → team
“I would’ve thought the management of the political party that forms Australia’s alternative government is a bigger issue for the national interest than the army reserves,” a party source said. asserted
source → think → reserves
Last week, Neeham posted about his experience on LinkedIn, saying it was his “third time undertaking military and officer training”. “I’m proud of where the journey began, grateful for where it has led, and humbled by the opportunity to serve Australia and the Australian Army. asserted
it → post → Australia
In a fundraising email on Thursday night, Neeham urged party members to donate, saying HQ needed $20,000 in the next 10 days to launch the first phase of the party’s advertising campaign. asserted
HQ → urge → campaign
But a lack of fundraising among some MPs has also raised red flags internally. asserted
lack → raise → flags
Two sources privy to internal fundraising data said frontbenchers Eleni Petinos, Justin Clancy and Felicity Wilson had raised extremely limited funds – if anything – for their state campaign. asserted
Petinos → say → campaign
“I have undertaken fundraising activities over the course of the term and will continue to do so,” Petinos responded. asserted
Petinos → undertake → term
“I remain fully committed to representing the people of Miranda and have been endorsed as the Liberal candidate for the 2027 state election. asserted
I → remain → election
My focus remains on working hard for my community and delivering for the people I represent.” asserted
I → remain → people
Party elder Damien Tudehope – who insiders said appeared as if he wanted another eight-year term in the upper house – also had raised little to no funding, according to two sources. uncertain
he → say → sources
Clancy, Wilson and Tudehope were contacted for comment. asserted
Clancy → contact → comment
Shadow ministers and MPs have previously been expected to raise $40,000 to $70,000 to defend their seats, with the figure depending on the electorate’s margin. asserted
figure → expect → margin
A Liberal source said Clancy was working towards his targets, having been focused on fundraising for the 2025 federal election and Farrer byelection in May. uncertain
Clancy → say → May
Wilson, the member for North Shore, had a number of fundraisers planned, another source said. asserted
source → have → fundraisers
A limited number of MPs had fundraised significant sums, two Liberal sources said: Tim James, Matt Cross, Opposition Leader Kellie Sloane, Natalie Ward, Jordan Lane, Rachel Merton and Coure. asserted
James → fundraise → sums
A party spokesman said: “Fundraising is progressing well and support will continue to grow as the election approaches.” asserted
election → say → ?
A senior Liberal source believed the Coalition’s electoral position wasn’t as dire as being rendered by the commentariat, and was confident that One Nation’s vote was “really, really soft”. asserted
vote → believe → commentariat
Although they conceded landing a nuanced message to win both Manly and Camden was problematic. asserted
landing → concede → Manly
Nominations were being kept open in Penrith in the hope that Stuart Ayres, a former minister turned development lobbyist, could still be convinced to run in his old seat, according to two sources. uncertain
Ayres → keep → sources
One source said some believed Ayres was the only candidate who could reclaim the Labor-held seat. uncertain
who → say → seat
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