Website behind widely shared fake election polls run by 21-year-old

US news | The Guardian · collected 2026-08-21 · by Sophie Sullivan, Anna Betts and Sam Levine
Read the original at US news | The Guardian ↗

Summary

Rahil Prakash, a 21-year-old recent college graduate, ran a website called Median Strategies that posted fake election polling data in Wisconsin, Nevada, and California. The website was shut down after being questioned by a Los Angeles Times reporter, with Prakash admitting it was a "short-term social experiment" to test how easily false information could spread. According to Prakash, his fake polls were widely shared on social media and even cited by some credible news outlets, including the California Post and a popular polling aggregator on X. The website had about 20 followers on its X account before being shut down.
Written by the local model on 2026-08-21, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
34
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
21%
7 of 34 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher trust
95.2
red-flag proxy, not a credibility rating
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-08-21 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

Rahil Prakash, a 21-year-old recent college graduate, created an anonymous website called Median Strategies that published fake election polls in Wisconsin, Nevada, and California. The website claimed to be a "short-term social experiment" to see how easily fake polling could spread without being verified. However, the polls were widely shared, including by Karen Bass, the mayor of Los Angeles, who cited them as showing her ahead of her election challenger by over 10 percentage points. Although several credible polling organizations did not verify Median's methodology, one popular polling aggregator on X also shared their Nevada poll. Prakash revealed that he was behind the website and said his goal was to see how easily fake polls could penetrate the political information ecosystem.

Written for “Fake Election Polls Scandal” on 2026-08-31, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 1790 · logged 2026-08-31

Story

📰 Fake Election Polls Scandal
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event. This is the one the site leads with.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

Nothing to compare against. No article is close enough to this one for the pipeline to have linked or judged the pair.

Publisher

US news | The Guardian · 90 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
SignalValueWeight
Correction rate 0.000 0.4
Uncertainty density 0.095 0.25
Assertive mismatch rate 0.000 0.35
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Sophie Sullivan
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 In an unsigned statement, it described a “short-term social experiment” to examine how fake polling “could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification”.
🔮 When asked about their AI usage policy, the Standard – which published the op-ed – shared this statement by email: “While AI may assist, our expectation is that humans are behind every article we publish and take responsibility for every word.
Also by Sophie Sullivan
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
Anna Betts
3 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Six current and former forest service officials described the response to the fire to the Post as greater than would typically be expected for a fire of that size, which posed no significant threat to life or property.
🔮 California plans to sue again to stop Trump from restricting mail voting and could make blocking delivery a felony
🔮 In an unsigned statement, it described a “short-term social experiment” to examine how fake polling “could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification”.
Also by Anna Betts
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
Sam Levine
2 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The reported meeting comes months ahead of the November midterm elections in which Democrats are favored to retake the US House, a development that would make Jeffries speaker.
🔮 In an unsigned statement, it described a “short-term social experiment” to examine how fake polling “could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification”.
Also by Sam Levine
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

California Guardian Median Nevada Wisconsin

Subjects

Prakash PERSON · 9× Median ORG · 6× Guardian ORG · 5× Median Strategies ORG · 4× Nevada GPE · 3× California GPE · 2× GitHub ORG · 2× Karen Bass PERSON · 2× Wisconsin GPE · 2× the Los Angeles Times ORG · 2×

Narrative

The lengthy anonymous statement on Monday posted to Median’s website also stressed that “no individual involved with Median Strategies received compensation or financial benefit from the project”, which it claimed had not been “funded, commissioned or directed” by any campaign, party, media outlet or other “outside entity”.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-08-21
🔮 In an unsigned statement, it described a “short-term social experiment” to examine how fake polling “could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification”.
2026-08-21 · US news | The Guardian
Website behind widely shared fake election polls run by 21-year-old · mixed framing

Claims (34 extracted, 7 hedged)

A 21-year-old recent college graduate was behind an anonymous website that put out widely shared fake election polling in Wisconsin, Nevada and California, the Guardian can reveal. asserted
Guardian → put → Wisconsin
The website, Median Strategies, abruptly shut down and withdrew its polling earlier this week following questions from a reporter from the Los Angeles Times. asserted
website → shut → Times
In an unsigned statement, it described a “short-term social experiment” to examine how fake polling “could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification”. uncertain
polling → describe → verification
“I wanted to see if fake polls could really penetrate the ecosystem that easily,” Rahil Prakash told the Guardian on Thursday when reached by phone. uncertain
Prakash → want → phone
“And as it turned out, it could.” uncertain
it → turn → ?
Karen Bass, the mayor of Los Angeles, touted Median polling data after it appeared to put her ahead of her election challenger by more than 10 percentage points. asserted
it → tout → points
The poll was also cited by the California Post. asserted
poll → cite → Post
A widely followed polling aggregator on X also shared the group’s Nevada poll, although several credible polling organizations did not aggregate Median polling because they could not verify its methodology. uncertain
they → follow → methodology
“Did I expect it to perhaps expedite in the way it did? asserted
it → expect → way
Most definitely not,” said Prakash. asserted
Prakash → say → ?
“I did not expect the California political press to pick it up on their own.” asserted
press → expect → own
He added: “I’ll apologize straight out to the campaigns of Karen Bass, Nithya Raman and Francesca Hong for this.” asserted
I → add → this
Raman is running against Bass in November’s LA mayoral election. asserted
Raman → run → election
Hong lost the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor earlier this month, after Median suggested she had led the race by more than 20 percentage points. uncertain
she → lose → points
It also released a fake poll showing the Nevada governor, Joe Lombardo, up by five points before November’s general election. asserted
governor → release → election
In an interview, Prakash said he was motivated to start the fake polling project after a significant polling miss in the Michigan Senate primary, where polls had showed Abdul El-Sayed with a heavy lead over his opponent Haley Stevens before election day. asserted
polls → say → day
In the event, El-Sayed wound up winning by a much smaller margin than polls had suggested. uncertain
polls → wind → margin
“This is what inspired me to test my theory,” said Prakash. asserted
Prakash → inspire → theory
“I was a bit shocked, perhaps at how fast this sort of information can spread.” asserted
sort → spread → information
As of Thursday morning, Median had about 20 followers on its X account. asserted
Median → have → account
According to the Los Angeles Times, the account began posting on 9 August. uncertain
account → accord → August
“I think my overall takeaway was that if you just make it look a bit pretty, it’s rather easy for it to spread,” Prakash said. asserted
Prakash → think → ?
“And I hope it gives a really good lesson going forward in that we need to be very serious about these things and very serious in how, if one person can do this, what can a serious operation do in the future – a real, you know, operation for an organization, country, whatever.” asserted
you → hope → country
Prakash, who said that he made the website using artificial intelligence, said he alone created Median. asserted
he → say → Median
The Guardian identified Prakash using domain registration data tied to the Median Strategies website. asserted
Guardian → identify → website
By reverse-searching two domain nameservers tied to the site, the Guardian obtained lists of several thousand other domains also using those nameservers. asserted
Guardian → search → nameservers
About 115 domains used the same two nameservers, but only one used the same two nameservers and used the same domain name registrar as Median Strategies. asserted
one → use → Strategies
Only a GitHub 404 message appears on that matching website now. asserted
message → appear → website
But additional web records tied it to a GitHub profile, which included a file with Prakash’s name. asserted
which → tie → name
The lengthy anonymous statement on Monday posted to Median’s website also stressed that “no individual involved with Median Strategies received compensation or financial benefit from the project”, which it claimed had not been “funded, commissioned or directed” by any campaign, party, media outlet or other “outside entity”. asserted
it → post → campaign
When asked on Thursday whether he had traded on any prediction markets after publishing the sham data, Prakash said: “No, not at all.” asserted
Prakash → ask → data
On Wednesday, before the Guardian contacted Prakash, the American Association of Political Consultants condemned the effort. asserted
Association → contact → effort
“Publishing fabricated survey data as independent research is not a social experiment,” it said, describing the project as “a deception directed at voters, at the press, and at the campaigns that rely on public data to make decisions”. asserted
that → publish → decisions
Aaron Zolla contributed with digital forensics asserted
Zolla → contribute → forensics
💬 Give feedback
🕘 History 🎫 Support