Data shows who 4.5 million migrants were and where they went as border surge reshaped America

Read the original at The Independent ↗
The Independent · collected 2026-09-17 · by Will Jarrett,Aaron Kessler,Humera Lodhi and Elliot Spagat

Quick Summary

The Associated Press obtained data through a Freedom of Information Act request detailing the destinations of 4.5 million migrants who crossed into the United States from Mexico between October 2018 and July 2025. This unprecedented surge included people from over 150 countries, marking a significant shift from earlier periods when most migrants were from Mexico or Central America. The data reveals that while traditional immigrant hubs like New York and Miami received many of these new arrivals, smaller cities such as Elkhart, Indiana; Knoxville, Tennessee; and Dodge City, Kansas also saw substantial increases in immigration.
Written locally by qwen2.5:14b on 2026-09-17, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

AI analysis runs on qwen2.5:14b, locally

Story summary

The Associated Press (AP) recently revealed data from federal records, obtained via a Freedom of Information Act request, showing that 4.5 million migrants were released in the United States after crossing the Mexican border between October 2018 and July 2025. This unprecedented surge has reshaped immigration patterns across America, with some migrants settling in traditional immigrant hubs like New York and Miami, while others moved to smaller cities such as Elkhart, Indiana; Knoxville, Tennessee; and Dodge City, Kansas. Traditionally, most immigrants came from Mexico, but this recent wave included people from over 150 countries, including India, Ecuador, and Ghana. The data underscores how the immigration surge has significantly impacted various regions of the U.S., influencing local demographics and economies in places that previously had smaller immigrant populations.

Written for “Migration Surge Border Crisis” on 2026-09-18, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
This article does not take a side on a contested political question, so it has no leaning score. That is an answer rather than a gap: a match report or a rescue can be warmly or critically written without being left or right, and scoring it anyway is how approval of a subject gets recorded as a political position.
No political leaning scored for article 16500 · logged 2026-09-17

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
34
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
0%
0 of 34 hedged
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Correction & hedging signals
58.8
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-17 · how these are computed

Story

📰 Migration Surge Border Crisis
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans right 🔴 21% hedged 3 of 14 📰 publisher trust 96
“Article A provides a broad overview of migration trends across various U.S. cities and states, while Article B focuses specifically on Florida as the top destination for immigrants during a particular period under the Biden administration.”

Publisher

The Independent · 545 article(s) · 2 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 2 correction(s)
2026-09-17
Killer who gunned down famed Elvis impersonator set to be executed tonight
2026-09-04
Pennsylvania confirms second death of child with measles after RFK Jr. told CDC director to delete numbers

Who wrote this

Will Jarrett
1 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
The only article under this byline in the corpus.
Aaron Kessler
1 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
The only article under this byline in the corpus.
Humera Lodhi
1 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
The only article under this byline in the corpus.
Elliot Spagat
1 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
The only article under this byline in the corpus.

Topics

Ecuador India Mexican Philadelphia the United States

Subjects

Florida GPE · 3× India GPE · 3× Cincinnati GPE · 2× Denver GPE · 2× Ecuador GPE · 2× Mexican NORP · 2× Philadelphia GPE · 2× U.S. GPE · 2× Venezuela GPE · 2× the United States GPE · 2×

Narrative

Data on their initial destinations after the southern border provides both a sweeping and an unusually granular look at how the immigration surge — one that peaked during President Joe Biden's administration and was a major reason voters returned his predecessor, Donald Trump, to the White House — is playing out today.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-17

Claims (34 extracted, 0 hedged)

An unprecedented surge in border crossings over the past decade reshaped America: Millions of people from more than 150 countries arrived, bringing the U.S. immigrant population to its highest levels ever. asserted
Millions → reshape → levels
Now, data obtained exclusively by The Associated Press paints a picture of who these migrants are, where they went, and what happened after the border. asserted
what → obtain → border
Some went to cities that have long been magnets for immigrants — New York, Miami — but increasingly, others found their way to smaller cities with less developed immigrant footholds. asserted
others → go → footholds
Blocks, neighborhoods and entire cities were remade in places like Elkhart, Indiana; Knoxville, Tennessee; and Dodge City, Kansas. asserted
Blocks → remade → Elkhart
And while the vast majority of migrants traditionally were from Mexico, this surge saw people from an astonishing number and diversity of countries: India, Ecuador, Ghana. asserted
surge → see → countries
Via a Freedom of Information Act request, AP obtained federal records on the self-reported destinations of 4.5 million migrants released in the United States after crossing the Mexican border — both legally and illegally — between October 2018 and July 2025. asserted
AP → obtain → October
Migrants must provide U.S. Customs and Border Protection with a street address. asserted
Migrants → provide → address
AP obtained their destination ZIP codes, citizenship by country, ages, genders, and the dates and border regions where they encountered authorities. asserted
they → obtain → authorities
Some probably never arrived at the addresses they gave. asserted
they → arrive → addresses
Authorities lacked resources to check, though migrants must report truthfully to pursue their cases in court and get work permits. asserted
migrants → lack → permits
Some have moved elsewhere in the United States or left the countr y, voluntarily or involuntarily. asserted
Some → move → y
But many have stayed put. asserted
many → stay → ?
Data on their initial destinations after the southern border provides both a sweeping and an unusually granular look at how the immigration surge — one that peaked during President Joe Biden's administration and was a major reason voters returned his predecessor, Donald Trump, to the White House — is playing out today. asserted
voters → provide → House
Philadelphia, Cincinnati and other cities drew migrants from several continents The Border Patrol encountered migrants from 174 countries in one year alone, a sharp departure from earlier periods when they were nearly all Mexican and Central American. asserted
they → draw → periods
The growth of social media and new migration routes was key in bringing people from around the world. asserted
growth → bring → world
Cincinnati, for example, saw a large number of arrivals from West Africa, Uzbekistan and India. asserted
Cincinnati → see → Africa
Some cities — ones that for generations have had robust international communities — were further diversified by the range of countries from which people arrived. asserted
people → have → which
New York City’s Queens borough registered at least 25 nationalities with significant arrivals, including five countries that each sent more than 7,000 people: Ecuador, China, Colombia, Venezuela and India. asserted
that → register → people
Philadelphia had 11 nationalities with at least 1,000 new arrivals, led by Brazil, Haiti and the Dominican Republic but also including Russia and Venezuela. asserted
Philadelphia → have → Russia
The city’s metro area also saw more than 1,000 migrants from Georgia. asserted
area → see → Georgia
Florida remained No. 1, but many people looked elsewhere While asserted
people → remain → ?
Florida was the most popular state overall, Latin American immigrants increasingly looked elsewhere for more promising job prospects and better quality of life. asserted
immigrants → look → life
Many turned to places with small but established communities of immigrants from their homelands. asserted
Many → turn → homelands
For Cubans, nine of the top 10 destination ZIP codes were in Florida, but people of the Caribbean nation also flocked to Louisville, Kentucky; Grand Island, Nebraska; and Odessa, Texas. asserted
people → flock → Louisville
Colombians went to the Denver suburb of Aurora. asserted
Colombians → go → Aurora
Some Venezuelans headed to the growing suburbs south of Salt Lake City; others to pockets of Atlanta, Chicago and Denver. asserted
Venezuelans → head → Atlanta
More women and children than men came to the U.S. Nearly six of every 10 migrants released at the border were women and children, a dramatic shift from a few years earlier when migrants were predominantly men. asserted
migrants → come → border
The change is visible in many places and across nationalities, but some stand out. asserted
some → stand → nationalities
Tulsa, Oklahoma, attracted Mexican women and children. asserted
Tulsa → attract → women
Ecuadorian women and children went to Spring Valley, New York. asserted
women → go → Valley
Guatemalan women were drawn to Chattanooga, Tennessee. asserted
women → draw → Chattanooga
Those who came from China headed primarily to two places Chinese migrants, who trekked by hundreds nightly in California's mountainous border with Mexico, largely gravitated to two places: New York City, especially the Queens and Brooklyn boroughs, and a cluster of neighborhoods in the Los Angeles area. asserted
who → come → area
Trump's deportation machine hit some migrant magnets and overlooked others Immigration arrests have hit some areas that ranked among the most popular destinations for migrants in recent years, including Miami and New York. asserted
that → hit → Miami
Others that saw a large migrant influx have gotten less attention from authorities, including California’s Silicon Valley; Madison, Wisconsin; and Stamford, Connecticut. asserted
that → see → Valley
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