Scott Alexander
25 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
🔮 [This is one of the finalists in the 2026 book review contest, written by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done.
🔮 This year’s survey will probably take 30 - 45 minutes.
🔮 It’s not necessarily wrong to deprioritize a topic because it vaguely reminds you of something that you have negative affect toward, but I would prefer these people admit they’re dismissing/ignoring it rather than claim to be engaging with it.
🔮 I don’t know, but he may have misinterpreted my original tweet as saying income doesn’t matter at all, in which case this data functions as an effective rebuttal.
🔮 [This is one of the finalists in the 2026 book review contest, written by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done.
🔮 Matt says his highest priority colleges that don’t have an organizer yet are MIT, Claremont, Northwestern, Carnegie Mellon, Amherst, Notre Dame, Duke, CalTech, Georgetown, UCLA, Dartmouth, Vanderbilt, Harvard, NYU, Williams, GWU, American University, Rutgers, and UNC Chapel Hill.
🔮 We (ACX and an effective altruist organization called Nest who are sponsoring this) will give you free advertising and cover your costs.
🔮 I remember when arguments about AI were things like “Sure, if you could magically get billions of dollars of compute, and magically scale AI up a thousand times, and magically get rid of hallucinations…” and the whole implausibility hinged on the word “magic”!
🔮 On average, commenters will end up spotting evidence that around two or three of the links in each links post are wrong or misleading.
🔮 There are many reasons to believe in such assistance: Napoleon’s rise from Corsican nobody to Emperor and would-be world conqueror was a bizarre deviation from the usual pattern of history.
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