The Aporia · Newsom’s support for 2028 presidential bid tanks, AOC and other contenders rise: poll

Newsom’s support for 2028 presidential bid tanks, AOC and other contenders rise: poll

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Goelz, A. (2026, September 16). Newsom’s support for 2028 presidential bid tanks, AOC and other contenders rise: poll. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/09/16/us-news/newsoms-support-for-2028-presidential-bid-tanks-aoc-and-other-contenders-rise-poll/

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Quick Summary

Governor Gavin Newsom's support for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination has dropped to third place with 14% in a recent Bowling Green State University/YouGov poll conducted from August 25 to September 1, behind Kamala Harris (17%) and Pete Buttigieg (16%). Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is also gaining ground, tied with Newsom at 14%. The poll surveyed 1200 US registered voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.

Written by AI on 2026-09-17, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

A new Bowling Green State University/YouGov poll from August 25 to September 1 shows Governor Gavin Newsom slipping in the race for the 2028 Democratic nomination, dropping to third place with 14% support. He is now behind former Vice President Kamala Harris at 17%, and Pete Buttigieg at 16%. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has also risen to third place alongside Newsom, while Senator Mark Kelly trails with 10% support. AOC mentioned in an August interview that she hasn't ruled out a 2028 run but is focusing on the 2026 midterm elections. Buttigieg's and Kelly's profiles have grown as well through visits to early voting states, while Newsom has stated he won’t run if Harris does.

Written for “2028 Presidential Bid Polls” on 2026-11-02, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

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This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.

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Hedges 0 of 21 claims Outlet record 66/100

“Article A reports on Newsom's statement about not running for president if Kamala Harris does, while Article B discusses a poll showing Newsom's declining support for a presidential bid in 2028.”

Gavin Newsom says he won’t run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris does Different event

NBC News

Hedges 0 of 19 claims Outlet record 60/100

“While both articles discuss Gavin Newsom's reluctance to run against Kamala Harris in 2028, they describe different aspects of the situation: Article A reports on the announcement itself, while Article B discusses poll results and positions of other contenders.”

Gavin Newsom reveals he won’t run for president in 2028 if a certain other Democrat does Different event

The Independent

Hedges 1 of 25 claims Outlet record 59/100

“The articles describe different aspects of Newsom's potential presidential run and his stance regarding Harris running; they do not cover the same specific incident or occurrence.”

Newsom won’t run for US president in 2028 if Harris does Different event

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Hedges 0 of 3 claims Outlet record 63/100

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Hedges 1 of 26 claims Outlet record 69/100

“The articles discuss different aspects of Gavin Newsom's potential presidential run and his decision regarding running if Kamala Harris does, but they describe separate occurrences: one is an interview excerpt where Newsom expresses his stance, while the other reports on a poll reflecting changes in support for Newsom.”

Newsom’s Harris gamble: Clearing the field or betting she won’t run? Different event

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Hedges 12 of 69 claims Outlet record 70/100

“Article A discusses Newsom's declaration about not running if Harris runs, while Article B reports on poll results showing Newsom slipping in support among other contenders.”

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Hedges 1 of 11 claims Outlet record 66/100

“Article A reports Newsom's statement about not running if Harris does, while Article B discusses a poll showing Newsom slipping in support for the 2028 presidential race.”

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0 of 12 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")

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takes no side on a contested political question

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66/100

New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.

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Who wrote this

Ally Goelz

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Claims (12 extracted, 0 hedged)

Gov. Gavin Newsom is slipping in 2028 presidential polls, as other Democrats pick up steam. asserted

Democrats → slip → steam

A new Bowling Green State University/YouGov poll found Newsom had dipped to third-place pick for the Democratic nominee with 14% support. asserted

Newsom → find → support

That’s behind former VP Kamala Harris (17%) and former Biden Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg (16%). asserted

That → ’ → Harris

Newsom led the pack in a February YouGov poll and has typically been in the top 2 with Harris. asserted

Newsom → lead → Harris

He told CNN this week asserted

He → tell → CNN

he won’t launch his White House bid if Harris, a fellow Californian, puts her hat in the ring for a third try at the presidency, citing “mutually assured destruction. asserted

Harris → launch → destruction

The latest poll, conducted Aug. 25 through Sept. 1, shows Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) gaining momentum. asserted

Cortez → conduct → momentum

The Squad rep is tied with Newsom in third place at 14%, followed by Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ) at 10%. AOC said in an August interview that she “hasn’t ruled out the possibility” of running in 2028, and that she’s focused on winning the 2026 midterms. Buttigieg’s support has also grown this year, as Newsom falters. asserted

Newsom → tie → midterms

Kelly has also been making early presidential moves by visiting early voting states and raising his profile. asserted

Kelly → make → profile

YouGov’s latest September poll was conducted with 1200 US registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points. asserted

poll → conduct → points

It did not survey voters about Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA), who is polling favorably in other surveys. asserted

who → survey → surveys

The Post reached out to Harris’s, Newsom’s, AOC’s, Buttigieg’s, and Kelly’s offices and did not receive an immediate response. asserted

Post → reach → response

Newsom’s support for 2028 presidential bid tanks, AOC and other contenders rise: poll

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Claims (12 extracted, 0 hedged)