US interest rates raised for first time in three years

BBC News · collected 2026-09-16 · by Michael Race
Read the original at BBC News ↗

Summary

The Federal Reserve raised US interest rates to a range of 3.75%-4% from 3.5%-3.75%, the first increase in over three years, on Wednesday despite opposition from President Trump who advocates for lower rates. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh stated that this decision was necessary due to persistently high inflation rates exceeding their target for more than five years. The move aims to combat rising prices but may also slow economic growth by discouraging spending and investment.
Written by the local model on 2026-09-17, using this article's own text rather than the other coverage of the same event (that is the story summary below).

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
27
claim-shaped sentences
Uncertain
22%
6 of 27 hedged
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject
Correction & hedging signals
95.5
corrections and hedging in what we collected; not a measure of accuracy
Outlets on this story
20
Economy/Business
Narrative spread
1
articles carrying this framing
Analyzed 2026-09-17 · how these are computed

AI analysis (generated at analysis time, not now)

Story summary

On September 16, 2023, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to a range between 3.75% and 4.00%, according to predictions from the CME Group's FedWatch tool which show a nearly 90% likelihood of this happening. This rate hike, aimed at curbing inflation that has remained above the Fed’s goal despite previous efforts, is likely to anger President Donald Trump who has repeatedly called for lower rates. Despite pressure from Trump and Vice President JD Vance, financial markets anticipate the central bank will act decisively due to high oil prices and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pushing inflation levels up again. The decision comes amid concerns that higher borrowing costs could further strain an already stressed economy, particularly affecting home buyers and those seeking loans or credit cards.

Written for “Fed Interest Rate Hike” on 2026-09-17, grounded in this article and the 19 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Score -0.25 Confidence medium 2 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning score -0.25 for article 14641 (medium confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-09-17

Story

📰 Fed Interest Rate Hike
Economy/Business · 20 article(s) covering the same event.

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 22% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
CBS News
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 29% hedged 7 of 24 📰 publisher trust 77
“Both articles describe the Federal Reserve raising interest rates to a range of 3.75%-4% on September 16, 2026.”
The Straits Times
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 11% hedged 2 of 19 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles report on President Trump's reaction to the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, occurring on the same day.”
The Straits Times
⚖️ Leans right further right than this 🔴 27% hedged 4 of 15 📰 publisher trust 59
“Both articles report on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates for the first time in three years on September 16, 2026.”
Semafor
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 8 📰 publisher trust 95
“The articles describe different central banks (ECB and Fed) taking separate actions on distinct dates.”
ABC News (AU) · 0.85 cosine similarity
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 7% hedged 2 of 27 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles describe the US Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points on the same date and for the same purpose of tackling inflation, despite opposition from President Trump.”
The Straits Times
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 15% hedged 3 of 20 📰 publisher trust 59
“The articles describe different economic events: one about the US 10-year Treasury yield breaching 5%, and the other about a raise in US interest rates by the Federal Reserve.”
The Guardian
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 17% hedged 4 of 24 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A describes a rise in US government borrowing costs and bond sell-off due to oil prices, while Article B reports on the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates. These are separate events with different times and focuses.”
The Guardian
⚖️ leaning not scored 🔴 4% hedged 1 of 24 📰 publisher trust 60
“Both articles describe the specific event of US interest rates being raised on September 14, 2026, despite opposition from President Trump.”
Fed poised to clash with Trump same event · 95%
Semafor
⚖️ Leans left 🔴 29% hedged 2 of 7 📰 publisher trust 95
“Both articles describe the Federal Reserve raising interest rates on September 16, 2026, despite opposition from President Trump.”
Semafor
⚖️ Centre further right than this 🔴 0% hedged 0 of 3 📰 publisher trust 95
“Article A reports on President Trump's statement about interest rates being low, while Article B describes the actual increase in interest rates by the Federal Reserve despite Trump's opposition, indicating two distinct events.”

Publisher

BBC News · 1033 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Michael Race
13 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 - Published US interest rates have been raised for the first time in more than three years and could be increased further in a bid to slow rising prices.
🔮 It comes ahead of the Federal Reserve making its latest interest rate decision next week, with growing expectations they will be increased in a bid to slow the rate at which prices are rising.
🔮 For two days, Toronto will host more than 100 global investors overseeing more than C$100tn ($72tn; £53tn) in assets, in the hope that new economic relationships will help Canada navigate an increasingly unstable geopolitical climate.
🔮 - Published When the central bank of the Netherlands confirmed this week that it had moved tonnes of the country's gold out of North America, it said the relocation would make it "better prepared for severe crises".
🔮 The president's remarks came as stronger-than-expected jobs figures in the US added to growing expectations that rates could be increased, with inflation still running high and American households feeling the pinch of rising prices.
🔮 But questions remain over the PM's plans, with surging government borrowing costs set to limit his room for manoeuvre at October's Budget.
🔮 Iranian Economy Minister Ali Madanizadeh said Tehran was "fully prepared" for the sanctions, which he said would lead to "another defeat" for the US.
🔮 The Bureau of Labor Statistics also revised down the number of jobs added in May and June by 103,000, signalling a slow summer of job creation.
🔮 In a world in which AI could upend human recreation and pastimes, executives at Thrive Eternal, a spin-off of venture capital firm Thrive Capital, saw an opportunity to lead a group of investors to place cash in the biggest sporting competition on the planet.
🔮 - Published Donald Trump said the Strait of Hormuz would open "very soon" or Iran would be "hit very hard" as oil prices fell to a three-week low amid hopes of a deal.
More on this subject from Michael Race
All 13 articles by Michael Race →

Topics

American Fed Federal Reserve Israel the Federal Reserve

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 6× Fed ORG · 5× Warsh PERSON · 5× the Federal Reserve ORG · 4× White House ORG · 2× American NORP · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× Federal Reserve ORG · 1× Israel GPE · 1× Kevin Warsh PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said the move was because "inflation is too high and has been for too long", adding that it was a "sober" and "responsible decision". However, Trump said rates "should be 1%, or less, because we are the Best Credit in the World - BY FAR". Higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive for people wanting to secure loans, mortgages and credit cards, but can lead to better returns on savings. Warsh said while there was "an attitude of optimism" within the Federal Reserve leadership, inflation remained a problem. "For more than five years, inflation has been running above target," he said.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-17
🔮 - Published US interest rates have been raised for the first time in more than three years and could be increased further in a bid to slow rising prices.
2026-09-17 · BBC News
US interest rates raised for first time in three years · mixed framing

Claims (27 extracted, 6 hedged)

- Published US interest rates have been raised for the first time in more than three years and could be increased further in a bid to slow rising prices. uncertain
rates → publish → prices
Rates were hiked to 3.75%-4% from 3.5%-3.75% by the Federal Reserve in a unanimous decision on Wednesday despite fierce opposition from President Donald Trump, who had called for rates to be cut. asserted
rates → hike → Trump
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said the move was because "inflation is too high and has been for too long", adding that it was a "sober" and "responsible decision". However, Trump said rates "should be 1%, or less, because we are the Best Credit in the World - BY FAR". Higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive for people wanting to secure loans, mortgages and credit cards, but can lead to better returns on savings. Warsh said while there was "an attitude of optimism" within the Federal Reserve leadership, inflation remained a problem. "For more than five years, inflation has been running above target," he said. asserted
he → say → target
Ahead of the mid-term elections in November, affordability is one of the top concerns of American voters, who have seen diesel prices hit an all-time high and petrol rise above $4 (£2.99) a gallon on average. asserted
petrol → see → 4
Global oil prices have surged since the start of the US-Israel war with Iran, driving up the price of car fuel as well as the cost of goods and services generally. asserted
prices → surge → goods
The price of oil is also key in to the costs businesses face in transporting goods across the country and around the world to sell. asserted
businesses → face → world
The higher costs can result in companies increasing prices, hitting the pockets of households. asserted
companies → result → households
Warsh told a press conference following the decision to raise interest rates that the Fed "cannot effect any individual price whether it be oil prices, whether it be food stuffs at the grocery store", but could ensure price rises do not broaden across the economy. uncertain
rises → tell → economy
He added that strong jobs market and wider economy meant the Fed was focused on stablising prices, adding that those least well off had most to gain from lower inflation. Central banks tend to increase rates when inflation is high to discourage spending and encourage saving in the hope this will reduce the pace of price rises. asserted
this → add → rises
But it's a balancing act, as higher rates can also encourage businesses to hold off on investing and hurt economic growth. asserted
rates → encourage → growth
Disagreement with the White House Asked about the message the decision sent to Trump, Warsh chuckled before saying "I have got nothing for you on a discussion with the president," as he batted away similar questions with the same response. asserted
he → ask → response
The Federal Reserve is independent of the government, but has faced sharp criticism from Trump over its decisions on rates in recent years. asserted
Reserve → face → years
Trump was heavily critical of Warsh's predecessor Jerome Powell, who stepped down at the end of his term earlier this year, for not cutting rates. asserted
who → step → rates
Following Wednesday's announcement, Trump said rates should be cut to "1%, or less". asserted
rates → follow → %
"LOWER THE INTEREST RATES FOR THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND FAST!", he posted on social media. asserted
he → lower → media
Earlier a White House press secretary Kush Desai told Fox News the president and White House had "reiterated our commitment to the independence of the Federal Reserve on numerous occasions" but added it did not prevent Trump being able to voice his opinions. asserted
Trump → tell → opinions
Warsh said at the press conference that "part of the independence of the Federal Reserve is we stay in our lane". asserted
we → say → lane
This hike by the Fed is the first move rate move in any direction since they were cut in December 2025. asserted
they → cut → December
The last time they were raised was in July 2023. asserted
they → raise → July
A 0.25pp increase will likely add to increasing mortgage rates for homebuyers, as the rates set by banks and other lenders are heavily influenced by the Fed's policy rate. asserted
rates → add → rate
Major US banks JP Morgan, KeyCorp and BNY raised their prime lending rate on Wednesday to 7% from 6.75% in response, which will rates charged on credit cards and personal loans. Mortgage costs have climbed over the past year but remain below peaks seen in 2023. asserted
costs → raise → 2023
A 30-year fixed deal is 6.76% on average, while a 15-year deal is 6.09%, according to figures from Freddie Mac. uncertain
deal → fix → Mac
Due to many US homeowners having 30-year and 15-year fixed-rate mortgages, changes to interest rates will not impact monthly repayments, though they could affect those looking to secure a loan for a home or refinance. uncertain
they → have → home
Warsh declined to provide his own view on where he saw interest rates going into the future, but the majority of his fellow policymakers said they believe rates would be hiked again before the end of this year to between 4-4.25%. asserted
rates → decline → %
A small majority said rates could rise further to the 4.25-4.5% next year, before cuts begin in 2028 and 2029. uncertain
cuts → say → 2028
The forecast suggested price rises will ease in the coming years, with inflation, the measure used to assess the cost of living, predicted to fall steadily to the Fed's 2% target by 2029. uncertain
inflation → suggest → 2029
The US is not alone in tackling the inflation impact from the conflict in the Middle East, with the European Central Bank raising rates last week and the Bank of England set to make its own decision on Thursday. asserted
Bank → tackle → Thursday
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